Back to my one play a day, I had fun for a week with some exotic bets, first-halfs and 1st quarter wagers, but back to what got me to the dance :SIB
JANUARY 30TH TOP PLAY
ELON +9.5 - Hoping for a 10, but I think this is the best Dog Line
As always, I think this is an underdog that can hang tough today and quite possibly win outright at home, which correlates into taking it as a play in my book.
2 Things you have to look at in this game -
How does Elon do at home and how does Davidson do on the road?
1) How does Davidson do on the road?
I'll concede something to you, Davidson is a top 60 team in the nation, yes, top 60 in my book, however, Davidson does not necessarily blow anyone out and in particular on the road.
Why does Davidson have such a high ranking - it's b/c they are 7-0 against teams that are ranked between 100-200 in the power rankings.
However, Davidson has yet to beat a top 100 team all year despite several chances - that is neither here or there considering that Elon is a top 300 team - yea, I know 300 - but I'll get to that in a minute.
Davidson plays tight ball games regardless of who they play -
They went on the road to play NC Greensboro a top 150 team and won by 3.
They went on the road to play a top 215 team in in Chattanooga and won by 12.
They went on the road to play Arizona State a top 240 team and won by 5.
They went on the road to play Furman a top 215 team and won by 8.
They went on the road to play Wofford a top 300 team and won by 5 - Bingo.
They went on the road to play Georgia Southern a top 220 team and won by 9 - but that game was much closer for thsoe that watched it.
So, the question now becomes can Elon hang tough at home?
Elon lost by a point to Georgia Southern at home, lost by 10 to Chattanooga at home, lost by 4 to NC Greensboro at home, beat Wofford by 10 at home, lost by 3 to Citadel at home earlier in the year, but considering they were a bit banged up and not playing well, I see that as an outlier fact and they beat Western Carolina on the road by 13.
Also, Davidson has won this series for the past 8 years - yes, 8. However, just one time has this been series held in Elon during this span and that was back in 05' when Davidson came in as a 5 point road favorite and won 57-68 (11).
Davidson pounded this team by 25 earlier this year back in December at home and but Elon started that game out slow as it was road contest to gain experience I think more than anything- after all, they hung in 41/41 in the 2nd half and went toe to toe with Davidson which showed signs that this team can hang with Davidson - just need to be in the right surroundings - such as home.
The final 2 Trends that I liked going into this game:
Davidson is 1-4-2 ATS when facing a road spread of 7-12 points.
Elon is 4-1 ATS as a dog of 7-12 points.
Elon is also 4-1 ATS following a straight up shows which shows they come out stronger the next game.
I think Elon shows some heart today.
Let the Elon Phoenix Rise Baby!
JANUARY 30TH TOP PLAY
ELON +9.5 - Hoping for a 10, but I think this is the best Dog Line
As always, I think this is an underdog that can hang tough today and quite possibly win outright at home, which correlates into taking it as a play in my book.
2 Things you have to look at in this game -
How does Elon do at home and how does Davidson do on the road?
1) How does Davidson do on the road?
I'll concede something to you, Davidson is a top 60 team in the nation, yes, top 60 in my book, however, Davidson does not necessarily blow anyone out and in particular on the road.
Why does Davidson have such a high ranking - it's b/c they are 7-0 against teams that are ranked between 100-200 in the power rankings.
However, Davidson has yet to beat a top 100 team all year despite several chances - that is neither here or there considering that Elon is a top 300 team - yea, I know 300 - but I'll get to that in a minute.
Davidson plays tight ball games regardless of who they play -
They went on the road to play NC Greensboro a top 150 team and won by 3.
They went on the road to play a top 215 team in in Chattanooga and won by 12.
They went on the road to play Arizona State a top 240 team and won by 5.
They went on the road to play Furman a top 215 team and won by 8.
They went on the road to play Wofford a top 300 team and won by 5 - Bingo.
They went on the road to play Georgia Southern a top 220 team and won by 9 - but that game was much closer for thsoe that watched it.
So, the question now becomes can Elon hang tough at home?
Elon lost by a point to Georgia Southern at home, lost by 10 to Chattanooga at home, lost by 4 to NC Greensboro at home, beat Wofford by 10 at home, lost by 3 to Citadel at home earlier in the year, but considering they were a bit banged up and not playing well, I see that as an outlier fact and they beat Western Carolina on the road by 13.
Also, Davidson has won this series for the past 8 years - yes, 8. However, just one time has this been series held in Elon during this span and that was back in 05' when Davidson came in as a 5 point road favorite and won 57-68 (11).
Davidson pounded this team by 25 earlier this year back in December at home and but Elon started that game out slow as it was road contest to gain experience I think more than anything- after all, they hung in 41/41 in the 2nd half and went toe to toe with Davidson which showed signs that this team can hang with Davidson - just need to be in the right surroundings - such as home.
The final 2 Trends that I liked going into this game:
Davidson is 1-4-2 ATS when facing a road spread of 7-12 points.
Elon is 4-1 ATS as a dog of 7-12 points.
Elon is also 4-1 ATS following a straight up shows which shows they come out stronger the next game.
I think Elon shows some heart today.
Let the Elon Phoenix Rise Baby!
