Took a couple day layoff to relax, but I'm back with the giant Tuesday night card. 10 games tonight, Dunkel has them like this...
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 19
Boston 11.95 ( 3) Toronto * 9.33
Calgary * 9.40 ( 0) Detroit 9.13
Carolina * 10.81 ( 3) Ottawa 7.67
Chicago 11.04 ( 1) Edmonton * 9.99
Florida 11.02 ( 1) Atlanta * 9.95
Minnesota * 10.45 ( 1) Los Angeles 9.52
N.Y. Rangers * 11.07 ( 1) Anaheim 10.54
New Jersey * 9.66 ( 1) Buffalo 8.20
Tampa Bay * 10.68 ( 1) Philadelphia 9.50
Washington * 11.87 ( 3) San Jose 9.14
Boston (6-1-2-1 road) @ Toronto (4-7-1-0 home): Dunkel index difference of 2.62 points in favor of Boston. Away favorites favored by 2.50-2.99 points have gone 0-1. Boston continues their road trip and have only lost twice in their last 10 games, going 7-1-1-1. Toronto continues to be a sub-.500 team. There haven't been very many teams favored by more than 2.50 points (there are three going tonight). Home teams and underdogs have gone 3-1 in the 2.5+ range. I don't have enough info to call a side on this one, my instinct says Boston...
Detroit (4-3-0-0 road) @ Calgary (1-4-3-1 home): Dunkel index favors Calgary in this one by .63 points. Home favorites of .50-.99 points are only 3-7 and I see this trend continuing tonight. 18 games fall into the .50-.99 range and the Dunkel dog has won 13 of them. My pick: Detroit
Ottawa (3-3-1-0 road) @ Carolina (6-2-3-2 home): Carolina is favored big here, by 3.14 points. Only one other game since Nov 5th has fallen into this category, with the home favorite running away with the win. Carolina is my early play here...
Chicago(2-2-2-0 road) @ Edmonton (2-3-2-1 home): Chicago's favored on the road by 1.05 points, which leads to a 4-8 record. Chicago's travellin on their one day layoff. I think Chicago rolls on the road. This seems to be a team coming around, they're 4-0-2-0 in their last 6 while Edmonton is 4-3-0-0 in their last 7. My book has Chicago getting a half point and I like that play here.
Florida (3-4-1-2 road) @ Atlanta (2-5-0-1 home): Oh boy. Florida's rated 1.07 points better than Atlanta. Road favs in this situation have gone 4-8, as this is the same situation as the Chicago game above. Florida came home and lost after losing on the road the game before to the Sens. I think they go against the trend here and topple Atlanta. Florida seems prone to ties, so I wouldn't give the half point here. That makes a money line play on a road favorite for -120. Not sure on this play, need to read a little more before I play it.
Los Angeles (5-4-1-2 road) @ Minnesota (7-3-1-0 home): Index rates Minnesota .93 points better than LA. Home favs in this range are only 3-7. LA is 2-3 in their last five while Minn is 3-2-1 in their last 6. I like Minnesota at home here.
Anaheim (5-3-2-2 road) @ NYRangers (4-5-1-0 home): The Rangers are rated over Anaheim by .53 points, giving way to a 3-7 record by the system. Anaheim is playing their 4th in the last 6 days and they all have been on the road. They're 2-1 on this stretch with wins coming against Columbus and Atlanta. The lone loss was to Detroit. The Rangers are coming off a 4 game road trip, where they went 2-2. They lost their last one at Vancouver, but have had two days to get back to New York and rest up. Despite a possible first-home-game-letdown, I think New York beats up on a tired and road-worn Anaheim team.
Buffalo (1-6-2-0 road) @ New Jersey (6-3-0-0 home): New Jersey is favored by 1.46 points at home, giving way to a trend record of 7-5. I agree with the trend here, I don't think Buffalo has enough to fend off New Jersey.
Philadelphia (4-2-2-0 road) @ Tampa Bay (7-0-0-1 home): Tampa's favored by 1.18 points in this one which makes the system play on Tampa, with a record of 7-5. I agree with this play. My book has Philly laying the half point, I don't buy it. Like Tampa to win without the +.5 point, so I'm playing the money line on Tampa at +105.
San Jose (4-4-0-2 road) @ Washington (4-2-0-0 home): Washington is the big home favorite here at 2.73 points. The third big favorite tonight. San Jose plays better on the road than they do at home, (they've put themselves in real good position to win 6 of their 10 road games). Washington is coming off a two game road trip while San Jose is continuing an extended road trip, on which they've gone 1-2, winning their last game over Florida. I don't expect a streak here and foresee Washington winning. Giving the half point at +100.
Recap:
Dunkel Index Favorites to Win (36-45-9 since Nov 5th): 2-5-2
Boston L
Calgary L
Carolina T
Chicago
Florida L
Minnesota T
NYRangers W
New Jersey W
Tampa Bay L
Washington L
System Picks to Win (53-28-9 since Nov 5th): 4-3-2
Toronto W
Detroit W
Carolina T
Edmonton
Atlanta W
Los Angeles T
Anaheim L
New Jersey W
Tampa bay L
Washington L
My Picks (One for every game, NOT FINAL PLAYS! Includes early leans and feelings...): 3-4-2
Boston L
Detroit W
Carolina T
Chicago
Florida L
Minnesota T
NYRangers W
New Jersey W
Tampa Bay L
Washington L
Picks by all three groups to win:1-2-1
Carolina T
New Jersey W
Tampa Bay L
Washington L
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 19
Boston 11.95 ( 3) Toronto * 9.33
Calgary * 9.40 ( 0) Detroit 9.13
Carolina * 10.81 ( 3) Ottawa 7.67
Chicago 11.04 ( 1) Edmonton * 9.99
Florida 11.02 ( 1) Atlanta * 9.95
Minnesota * 10.45 ( 1) Los Angeles 9.52
N.Y. Rangers * 11.07 ( 1) Anaheim 10.54
New Jersey * 9.66 ( 1) Buffalo 8.20
Tampa Bay * 10.68 ( 1) Philadelphia 9.50
Washington * 11.87 ( 3) San Jose 9.14
Boston (6-1-2-1 road) @ Toronto (4-7-1-0 home): Dunkel index difference of 2.62 points in favor of Boston. Away favorites favored by 2.50-2.99 points have gone 0-1. Boston continues their road trip and have only lost twice in their last 10 games, going 7-1-1-1. Toronto continues to be a sub-.500 team. There haven't been very many teams favored by more than 2.50 points (there are three going tonight). Home teams and underdogs have gone 3-1 in the 2.5+ range. I don't have enough info to call a side on this one, my instinct says Boston...
Detroit (4-3-0-0 road) @ Calgary (1-4-3-1 home): Dunkel index favors Calgary in this one by .63 points. Home favorites of .50-.99 points are only 3-7 and I see this trend continuing tonight. 18 games fall into the .50-.99 range and the Dunkel dog has won 13 of them. My pick: Detroit
Ottawa (3-3-1-0 road) @ Carolina (6-2-3-2 home): Carolina is favored big here, by 3.14 points. Only one other game since Nov 5th has fallen into this category, with the home favorite running away with the win. Carolina is my early play here...
Chicago(2-2-2-0 road) @ Edmonton (2-3-2-1 home): Chicago's favored on the road by 1.05 points, which leads to a 4-8 record. Chicago's travellin on their one day layoff. I think Chicago rolls on the road. This seems to be a team coming around, they're 4-0-2-0 in their last 6 while Edmonton is 4-3-0-0 in their last 7. My book has Chicago getting a half point and I like that play here.
Florida (3-4-1-2 road) @ Atlanta (2-5-0-1 home): Oh boy. Florida's rated 1.07 points better than Atlanta. Road favs in this situation have gone 4-8, as this is the same situation as the Chicago game above. Florida came home and lost after losing on the road the game before to the Sens. I think they go against the trend here and topple Atlanta. Florida seems prone to ties, so I wouldn't give the half point here. That makes a money line play on a road favorite for -120. Not sure on this play, need to read a little more before I play it.
Los Angeles (5-4-1-2 road) @ Minnesota (7-3-1-0 home): Index rates Minnesota .93 points better than LA. Home favs in this range are only 3-7. LA is 2-3 in their last five while Minn is 3-2-1 in their last 6. I like Minnesota at home here.
Anaheim (5-3-2-2 road) @ NYRangers (4-5-1-0 home): The Rangers are rated over Anaheim by .53 points, giving way to a 3-7 record by the system. Anaheim is playing their 4th in the last 6 days and they all have been on the road. They're 2-1 on this stretch with wins coming against Columbus and Atlanta. The lone loss was to Detroit. The Rangers are coming off a 4 game road trip, where they went 2-2. They lost their last one at Vancouver, but have had two days to get back to New York and rest up. Despite a possible first-home-game-letdown, I think New York beats up on a tired and road-worn Anaheim team.
Buffalo (1-6-2-0 road) @ New Jersey (6-3-0-0 home): New Jersey is favored by 1.46 points at home, giving way to a trend record of 7-5. I agree with the trend here, I don't think Buffalo has enough to fend off New Jersey.
Philadelphia (4-2-2-0 road) @ Tampa Bay (7-0-0-1 home): Tampa's favored by 1.18 points in this one which makes the system play on Tampa, with a record of 7-5. I agree with this play. My book has Philly laying the half point, I don't buy it. Like Tampa to win without the +.5 point, so I'm playing the money line on Tampa at +105.
San Jose (4-4-0-2 road) @ Washington (4-2-0-0 home): Washington is the big home favorite here at 2.73 points. The third big favorite tonight. San Jose plays better on the road than they do at home, (they've put themselves in real good position to win 6 of their 10 road games). Washington is coming off a two game road trip while San Jose is continuing an extended road trip, on which they've gone 1-2, winning their last game over Florida. I don't expect a streak here and foresee Washington winning. Giving the half point at +100.
Recap:
Dunkel Index Favorites to Win (36-45-9 since Nov 5th): 2-5-2
Boston L
Calgary L
Carolina T
Chicago
Florida L
Minnesota T
NYRangers W
New Jersey W
Tampa Bay L
Washington L
System Picks to Win (53-28-9 since Nov 5th): 4-3-2
Toronto W
Detroit W
Carolina T
Edmonton
Atlanta W
Los Angeles T
Anaheim L
New Jersey W
Tampa bay L
Washington L
My Picks (One for every game, NOT FINAL PLAYS! Includes early leans and feelings...): 3-4-2
Boston L
Detroit W
Carolina T
Chicago
Florida L
Minnesota T
NYRangers W
New Jersey W
Tampa Bay L
Washington L
Picks by all three groups to win:1-2-1
Carolina T
New Jersey W
Tampa Bay L
Washington L
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