if i was

RAYMOND

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Jul 31, 2000
45,868
1,257
113
usa
angels-1.5 runs +160:00hour
tigers
twins over 8.5 runs
braves- reds 2 teamer
 

RAYMOND

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 31, 2000
45,868
1,257
113
usa
BEGINNING FRIDAY MAY 28



St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Cardinals have outstanding pitching, but their offense is average at best (.258 team BA, 4.3 runs per game) and and the team has been lackluster in recent days (-$305 with a 4.98 ERA among starters in their last 11). But we?re not enthusiastic about the Cubs, who are among the biggest money-burners in MLB this season (-$1040). We?ll stay on the sidelines for the time being and re-evaluate as game day draws near. BEST BET: None.

Houston at Cincinnati (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Reds have moved into a dead heat in the NL Central putting together an impressive stretch of games in the month of May (6-4, +$215 last 10 days with 5.4 runs per game an a 3.67 ERA among starters). They swept the last place Astros the first time these teams met (3-0, +$375) and they should have an easy time of it this time as well. Houston has the worst offense in the league (.227 team BA, averaging a paltry 2.9 runs per game in those contests). Cincinnati is averaging almost two full runs per game more than Houston, and should have no difficulty dispatching the visitor at Great American Ballpark this weekend. BEST BET: Reds in all games.

Philadelphia at Florida (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Phillies have the NL East under control, but the Marlins can be pesky at times. They took 2 out of 3 from the visitor in an earlier series (+$185) and they have a couple of pitchers scheduled for this weekend that we especially like. Josh Johnson has looked very sharp as usual (2.43 ERA in nine starts) and Anibal Sanchez has also fared well (3.28 in eight starts). Philly does have solid numbers vs. righties, but we?ll take our chances with the home teams quality arms. BEST BET: Jo. Johnson/A. Sanchez.

Pittsburgh at Atlanta (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Braves appeared dead in the water not long ago, but they?ve rebounded nicely (7-3, +$210) last 10 days) and find themselves poised to make a move for the top slot in the division. They?ve already swept a pair of games from Pittsburgh (+$200) and should dispatch the lowly Bucs without much difficulty. The Pirates are slowing a profit on the year, primarily because of a few wins as huge underdogs, but they are truly terrible (5.61 team ERA, .235 team BA, next to last in the NL in both departments). We don?t see them getting far at Turner Field. BEST BET: Braves in all games.

N.Y. Mets at Milwaukee (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Brewers are in sorry shape at the moment (2-8, -$585 last 10 days) as their pitching staff continues to flounder (5.52 ERA). They?ve been decent on the road, but they check in with a pitiful 4-14 record here at Miller Park (-$1315). Expect a management shakeup to come soon. The Mets are another team beset with woes (only 4-7, -$175 in their last 11), but Mark Pelfrey looks fantastic (+$625, 2.91 ERA), and Johan Santana is heating up as the weather warms (1.84 ERA last two). Hopefully prices on the visitor won?t not be that bad. BEST BET: Pelfrey/J. Santana.

L.A. Dodgers at Colorado (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Dodgers? prospects appeared somewhat bleak entering the month of May, but they?ve been sensational (8-2, +$560 last 10 days), moving into first place in the competitive NL West. Now they get a chance to knock off another division rival here at Coors Field. LA can?t be trusted vs. lefties (-$525 with only 3.6 runs per game), but we like that 19-12 mark they?ve posted vs. righties (+$500 with 5.7 runs per game). And with Ubaldo Jimenez not expected to appear, the table is set for LA. BEST BET: Dodgers vs. righthanders.

Washington at San Diego (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Nationals have lost a bit of ground, but they are still hovering around .500, not bad when you recall their dismal 2008 & 2009 seasons. They?ve turned a nice profit overall (+$1000) and could be a solid underdog value here at Petco Park. The Padres are having a fine season, but they are coming off a so-so stretch, so they could be vulnerable. Livan Hernandez continues to dazzle in 2010 (+$605, 1.62 ERA in eight starts) and he?s likely to see action in this series. Take a shot when he?s on the mound. BEST BET: L. Hernandez.

Arizona at San Francisco (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

A very disappointing week for the Giants (4-7, -$447 last 11), as they dropped key games to NL West rivals before seeing their offense completely shut down by the A?s last weekend. They surrendered 21 runs in a two game sweep by the D?backs at Chase Field (-$265), and saw aces Tim Lincecum and Barry Zito issue their poorest performances of the year. But we?re not too keen on Arizona (-$415 overall), a team whose all righty starting rotation is tailor made for SF (Giants 10-4, +$570 vs. righties at home). BEST BET: None.

Baltimore at Toronto (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Orioles dropped a three game set to the Jays at Camden Yards in April (-$400) and they?ll have a difficult time when they venture into Rogers Centre. Toronto is having a fine year, especially vs. righthanders (+$1155 with 5.9 runs per game) and none of the arms in the Baltimore rotation give us much cause for concern. If the Blue Jays can find one more quality starter, they could make a wildcard run. BEST BET: Blue Jays vs. righthanders.

Cleveland at N.Y. Yankees (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st

The gap between these teams is enormous (NY 3.90 ERA, .279 BA . . Indians 4.45 ERA, .245 BA) and there is no reason the Yankees shouldn?t take at least 3 out of 4 this weekend. Prices will be high, but Phil Hughes (+$265, 2.72 ERA) and A.J. Burnett (+$235, 3.86 ERA) appear to be solid opportunities. Both are likely to see action, bad news for a Cleveland team that is only 10-19 vs. righties (-$820, with 3.9 runs per game). BEST BET: Hughes/A. Burnett.

Oakland at Detroit (4) 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st

We love that young Oakland pitching staff (3.99 ERA) and they have a legitimate shot to pull an upset in the AL West, a division loaded with underachievers. But this might not be the ideal venue. The Tigers are a very formidable club this year (+$755 overall) and they?ve cleaned up here at Comerica (+$795). The Athletics have had tremendous difficulty in night games outside of McAfee Coliseum (only 2-10, -$750), and the first two games of this series are evening contests. BEST BET: Tigers in night games.

Texas at Minnesota (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

The Rangers have enjoyed great success at Arlington this year, but they?ve been far less imposing in the role of visitor (only 7-11, -$275 so far). The Twins are one of the top teams in the AL and that perfect 5-0 (+$515) record vs. lefties here at Target Field is something we intend to exploit. Texas?s rotation is loaded with southpaws, so we should get at least one or two opportunities to take the home team in this series. BEST BET: Twins vs. lefthanders.

Seattle at L.A. Angels (3) 28th, 29th, 30th

We?re shocked that a team with such high expectations is performing so poorly. Despite the 2nd best team ERA in the AL (3.76), the Mariners are a dismal 16-28 on the year, including a 6-15 mark outside of Safeco Field (-$860). Offense is obviously the problem (.238 BA. only 3.5 runs per game) so the door is opened for LA to make up some ground. The Angels are still sub .500, but the division is weak and they have an excellent duo of Ervin Santana (3.75 ERA) and Jered Weaver (3.36), at least one of whom is likely to see action in this series. BEST BET: E. Santana/Jr. Weaver.



BEGINNING MONDAY MAY 31



Philadelphia at Atlanta (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Braves have already lost 4 out of 6 vs. the Phillies (-$205) and their all-righty rotation could have trouble against the visitor?s lineup (Philly 21-10, +$755 with 5.3 runs per game vs. righties). We?ll avoid Tim Hudson (2.09 ERA in nine starts), but the rest of the Atlanta hurlers are likely to get pounded. PREFERRED: Phillies vs. all righthanders except Hudson.

Milwaukee at Florida (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd

As bad as the Brewers have been, their numbers on the road have not been all that bad, and they still have a bright spot in Yovani Gallardo (3.20 in 10 starts). The Marlins have lost money vs. righthanders in 2010 (-$505) so take a shot when Milwaukee?s ace is on the hill. PREFERRED: Gallardo.

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

Nothing illustrates how far the Cubs have fallen better than their pitiful 1-5 record in head to head play against the Pirates (-$835). Pittsburgh is a decent team here at PNC Park, and their numbers vs. lefthanders are surprisingly strong (+$815). Chicago has lost a bundle outside of Wrigley Field already this year (-$435 so far). PREFERRED: Pirates vs. lefthanders.

Washington at Houston (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd

The Astros are the worst team in the National League so far in 2010, and that includes a sorrowful 9-18 (-$955) record here at Minute Maid Park. The Nationals have been a steady money-maker this season (+$1000) and they have enough pitching to throttle Houston?s anemic attack (2.9 runs per game). A split of this four game set should make money. PREFERRED: Nationals in all games.

Colorado at San Francisco (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Rockies have not fared well outside of Coors Field so far this year (11-15, -$395) so this looks like a chance for the Giants to re-assert themselves within the division. San Francisco has been very effective vs. righthanders at ATT Park (10-4, +$570) and we like their chances in that situation, as long as Ubaldo Jimenez (+$690, 0.85 ERA in nine starts) is not pitching for the visitor. PREFERRED: Giants vs. all righthanders except Jimenez.

Cincinnati at St. Louis (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Reds are 10-5 in night games outside of Great American Ballpark (+$665) and they are currently giving St. Louis a run for the money in the NL Central. The Cardinals have an amazing pitching staff (3.06 ERA) but the team has lost money here at Busch Stadium. PREFERRED: Reds in night games.

Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Dodgers have been running roughshod over the Diamondbacks in head to head play this season (5-1, +$375) and they check in here with an 11-5 record vs. righthanders at Chavez Ravine (+$455 with 5.6 runs per game). Arizona is only 9-13 outside of Chase Field in 2010 (-$130), and they?ve yet to start a lefthander. Good opportunity for the home team. PREFERRED: Dodgers vs. righthanders.

N.Y. Mets at San Diego (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Mets have had trouble coping with the Padres in recent seasons (2-5, -$450 in 2009) and this is the best San Diego team we?ve seen in a while (+$1040 overall). New York has lost 7 of their last 11, and they are only 6-14 outside of CitiField this year (-$650). They?ll be fortunate to salvage a single win here at Petco Park. PREFERRED: Padres in all games.

L.A. Angels at Kansas City (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd

For the Angels, this series comes on the heels of a three game set vs. the Mariners, and they travel from here to Safeco Field. So they?ve got ten games vs. two of the league?s weakest clubs to make a move in the AL West. LA took 9 out of 10 from KC in head to head play last year (+$750) so we?ll avoid Cy Young ace Zack Greinke and fatten up on the rest of KC?s lackluster mound corps. PREFERRED: Angels unless opposed by Greinke.

Tampa Bay at Toronto (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd

The Rays have an 19-5 record outside of Tropicana Field, including an astonishing 14-3 mark in night games (+$1130 with 6.2 runs per game). The Blue Jays are a competitive team, but they?ve not fared well against lefthanders this season (0-4, -$415 at Rogers Centre) and Tampa Bay?s lone southpaw starter David Price is on the top of his game (+$310, 2.41 ERA in eight starts). PREFERRED: Price.

Minnesota at Seattle (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd

There is no shortage of lefthanded starters in the Seattle rotation and that is good news for the Twins. Minnesota checks in with a 9-4 record vs. southpaws (+$520) and their combination of quality pitching (3.96 ERA, 4th best in the AL) and hitting (.275 team BA, 2nd best in the AL) gives makes this an ideal setting to pad their lead in the AL CEntral. PREFERRED: Twins vs. lefthanders.



BEGINNING TUESDAY JUNE 1



Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd

The Orioles have only posted one win in six meetings with the Yankees this year (-$335), similar to what we saw when these teams faced off last year (5-13, -$265 in 2009). But prices will no doubt be prohibitively high, and New York has been losing money in recent days (-$625 last 11). PREFERRED: None.

Cleveland at Detroit (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd

The Tigers have already taken 4 out of 5 from the Tribe (+$295) and they?ve been very hard to beat at Comerica this year (14-6, +$795). The Indians are a bad team, and it?s unlikely they?ll enjoy much success on this trip to Detroit. PREFERRED: Tigers in all games.

Oakland at Boston (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd

The Athletics excel at McAfee Coliseum, but they?ve been dreadful on the road thus far (5-13, -$690). The Bosox have not played all that well, but their numbers vs. lefties here at Fenway are outstanding (7-3, +$310) and they should face at least one or two in this series. PREFERRED: Red Sox vs. lefthanders.

Texas at Chicago W. Sox (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd

The Rangers took 2 out of 3 in an earlier series, but they are less reliable when they leave Arlington (-$275). The duo of Mark Buehrle and John Danks is a formidable one, and at least one, if not both, should be available at US Cellular. PREFERRED: Buehrle/Danks.
 
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