Wow! Thank you all for the over whelming number of responses and well wishes from you all. It really warms my heart. Now, if I can find a 400mg percocet for my back after 4 straight hours of shoveling my yard and my parents' yard. 29.6" of heavy ass wet snow.
Game #2. Arizona at Carolina.
Some interesting stats on both sides.
Carolina
-They are 7-0 ATS and SU when the posted line is + or - 3 points or less
-10-2 ATS on grass (includes 9 home games)
-7-1 last 8 at home as a 3 pt fav or less
-2-0 ATS and SU this year against teams with winning records
-That means they ONLY PLAYED 2 TEAMS ALL YEAR with winning records
-has allowed an opponent to rush over 78 yards just once in the last 8 games (7-1 record)
-Carolina is 0-1 when scoring under 20 points in a game
-they have scored over 20 points in 16 of 17 games this year
Arizona
-13-3 ATS and 15-2 SU last 17 games when posted line is between + or - 3
-6-2 ATS and 7-1 SU on the road this year
-4-0 ATS and SU last 4 games as a 3pt dog or less on the road
-Only 1-4 ATS this year when playing a team with a winning record, but 4-1 SU
-Has gained 68 yards on the ground TOTAL in the last 2 games
-The only game they lost in the past 9 games was the only game where they lost the turnover battle by 2 or more
-Arizona is 3-3 SU when giving up over 20 points this year, They are 11-0 SU when giving up 20 points or less
In the last 3 years, these 2 teams have played twice.
Carolina won last year 27-16 at home
Arizona won 22-6 in 2013 at home.
So it boils down to this. Will Carolina score over 20 points? Can the Cardinals hold the Panthers under 20 points? Arizona only allowed 6 opponents to score over 20, going 2-4 in those games.
To Beat Carolina, you must contain Cam Newton in the Air like the Falcons did in week 16
Arizona can win the turnover battle. The Panthers have been allowing mad come backs in the 2nd half of games. The Panthers have only faced 2 winning teams all year. Arizona is a tough team with a very good defense. They can keep Carolina under 20 and steal this game in Carolina.
But I definitely want the points in this game.
ARIZONA +3 (-100)