initial thoughts for t.g`ing weekend...

gardenweasel

el guapo
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Jan 10, 2002
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"the bunker"
-----colorado buffaloes+4(-130).....just not a big believer in nebraska....a moribund,mediocre offense....virtually no effective passing game....a quarterback i`d never trust with my money in what appears to be a competitive game... i believe he completed 8 passes for under 100 yards vs k st last week...took beatings on the road vs texas and missou....colorado has 1 home loss this year....to oklahoma..they have covered the last 7 meetings vs nebraska.....solich is being asked to leave

understand the solich situation....that`s a concern...but,colorado has been gaining momentum down the stretch....they could garner a bowl bid with a win here...they have much trouble defending the pass....that won`t be an issue here..... won outright the last 2 years...

colorado could beat what i consider a better missou team with a better running game and a more balanced offense at home... and were facing a much more dangerous qb.....i`ll take the 4....unless somebody blows me away with some solid analysis...

nebraska with 2 road wins this year....vs qb-less kansas(no whittemore)and s miss before they turned their season around....i believe nebraska had a total of 11 first downs vs s.miss.....

k st burned nebraska`s secondary last week....they haven`t seen a REAL passing attack since early in the season... always reticent to take a passing team vs a running team....but,i`ll make an exception here...moneyline also....

---------missou tigers-26.....basically,it`s up to missou.... they seem to have a pattern emerging...they follow a road loss up with a big home win......i think iowa st has scored 17 points total in their last 4 games.....zack abron needs around 30 yards to reach 1000 yards rushing in his senior year....

it all depends on how ready missou is here....iowa st yielding over 200 ypg rushing ...now face one of the premier rushing offenses....one that actually has a decent passing game to go with it....and coming off a loss..

all depends on mindset.... and how benevolent or malevolent pinkel feels.......a mismatch...

games i`m leaning to but can`t write up until my fingers stop bleeding....

------ohio bobcats +18.....for the hell of it..

-------fla gators pick...fla st could easily be hovering around .500(close win vs virginia...nc st overtime....were outplayed by ga tech and won by 1 point)....impressed with fla wins over better teams than fla st(georgia and lsu...at a neutral site and away to boot).....

--------virginia cavaliers pick.....wtf is wrong with va tech late in the season....another swoon....big payback for uva...breaking the losing streak saturday...

-------wake demon deacons+8......i`ve looked at this game till i was cross eyed....every possible circumstance favors wake......home dog....bowl eligibility....sr day.....multiple revenge....maryland in second road game..md off huge last second win,with a bowl bid in their pocket......wake off a bye week....lord,it`s unreal....

...no discernable reason for maryland to be sky high for this middle rung acc team......

but,wake seems to have regressed considerably since getting out of the blocks quickly to start the season.............

to many technical reasons to play this....but that blowout vs uconn at home with an upcoming bye week facing them,makes you wonder what this bunch has left.... still,i`ll bite on the home dog +8


-----------over 65 lou tech/rice.....neither team plays much "d"....2 defenses that yield well over 400 ypg and 30 points per game.....should finish in the 70`s.... weather shouldn`t be an issue....

------------pitt panthers+4(getting miree back balances the offense)... offensive edge pitt....defensive edge miami...

------------bowling green falcons-7(just not thrilled with toledo`s road prowess vs solid clubs..the marshall win=backup qb and turnovers....marshall- 5...toledo-0)....big revenger...home dominated series


in many of these "lean games" i`m leaning toward playing against the higher rated team...anybody that has contrary analysis,feel free to turn me out....

recap...

buffs+4(bought)
tigers-26
over 65 owls/l tech
cavaliers pick
gators pick
falcons-7
panthers+4
demon deacons+8
bobcats+18.....

adding miami oh-13.5 first half....

g.l......
__________________
 
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AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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gw,

when i fiorst looked at the lines i immediately liked col. & pitt. but it seems that everyone else likes them too, which turns me off. at this point i may pass on those games.

i do like virginia-it seems that vt is in a tailspin.

i also like wake(might be my best bet)--maryland had a tough game last week vs. ncst & has accepted a bowl bid. so they might not be fully focused. also wake is 8-2-1 ats as a home dog off a su/ats loss.

i'm also leaning to boise, w. virginia, e. carolina, miss. st, & rice. but haven't played anything yet.

good luck this weekend.
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
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Jan 10, 2002
40,588
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"the bunker"
ar

ar

i played west va and was considering boise and rice...and am leaning toward tajking a flyer with miss st +20(it is a very good situation) after reading some solid posts on the play.......hate laying big wood this late in the year.....west va tends to play to the level of their competition...that scares me a bit(and was why i didn`t post it...still may buy off the play) .... having to win by 3 td`s......


curious to see where some of the other guys come down....i`m treading lightly this weekend.....i don`t want to go down the tubes this late in the game....i`ll post my final card tomorrow...

g.l.,bud
 
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gardenweasel

el guapo
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
40,588
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"the bunker"
i`ll take it

i`ll take it

..9 up 5 down......another week in which the losses were incredibly tough....did catch a break with b.g and the missed extra point.....had great luck with the plays from my added thread from this morning and hit a middle with kentucky +14 and tenn-7 2nd half.....

wins

miami oh-13.5...1st half
bowling green -7(luck)
u va pick....
missou-26
boise st-21
boise-13.5 1st half
rice+8
kentucky+14
tenn-7 2nd half...

losses....
colorado +4(an incredibly tough loss.... at the nebraska 3 yd line ...int to end the game...incredibly bad coaching)

ohio u+18....no contest...bad wager...

florida pick....no need to explain...bad beat...

wake+8.....way up at the half....shades of wake`s uconn collapse...another tough beat...

over 65 rice/la tech....49-14 with 10 minutes left....thanks la tech for doing doody in your pants in your last home game....2 td`s vs the rice defense?...whew....


pitt+4 pending.....i`m officially buying off this wager and calling it a wash(unless it falls on 3 or 4)...enough close bad beats today....could have been 13-1(of course,i could be bill gates,too,lol)..taking miami -3 to offest pitt wager.......maybe look for a 2.5....probably just take the 3...not interested in any more aggravation until tomorrow

i know there are many on the panthers....maybe i`ll put the shizzle on the miami nizzle............:confused: :shrug: :D ....

i`ll take 9-5.....not a bad college foots season ....g.l. tonight//
 
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