Inside Scoop on Wednesday NCAA

Scoop Mackenzie

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Last night got the push with Memphis, but it was a late push so I will take it. If Memphis converted earlier with 6 instead of 3 this could have been a runaway.

On to tonight?s game:

Line: Eagles -20.5 / 54.5
First Half: Eagles -11.5 / 27.5O20


Rice at Southern Miss, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Rice: 10-0 Over off a non-conference game
Southern Miss: 19-5 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

Southern Miss will dominate this game, I hate to take two favorites in back to back games, but a good friend of mine once said that if you take bad teams you can expect bad things, and the 20 points look tempting, but Rice is that bad.

If Rice is going to compete in conference they will need All-America wide receiver Jarett Dillard, who was on the sidelines for most of the Texas game with a strained left hamstring. Quarterback Chase Clement has been under heavy pressure all season, since the opposing team has no fear of a running game that is averaging 88 yards per game at 2.4 yards per carry. The Rice pass defense would scare most owls away, as they have given up an average of 412.3 YPG the last three contests, yielding 53 PPG in the process. The Owls are 3-13 ATS in road games after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game.
Southern Mississippi has a short week of preparation after being bounced 38-16 at Boise State last Thursday. The Golden Eagles will try go back to work in conference play off recent important win over East Carolina in attempt to win the East Division. Senior quarterback Jeremy Young was the weak link in the offense in prior years, yet this season has stepped up his game, meaning USM is better equipped to play in higher scoring games than in the past. Coach Jeff Bower in his 17th season in Hattiesburg will always want to run the ball effectively and has running back Damion Fletcher to do so. Fletcher is averaging five yards a carry on a team gaining 172 yards per game on the ground in 41 attempts. That figure is less impressive when considering the teams they have played have allowed 188 YPG on the ground. Young will be looking towards his primary outlet is Chris Johnson, who has 21 pass catches this season.
The defense has contained weak offensive teams like Rice and been taken apart by clubs better equipped to move the ball. When facing teams like Tennessee-Martin and East Carolina, they held them to under 300 total yards offense. While on the other hand Boise State and Tennessee both surpassed the 470 total yards mark. The Golden Eagles are 19-5 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
When Rice team played as a Road team - Last 4 years - Coming off a lost on artificial Rice is 5-11 ATS

When Southern Mississippi team played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Coming off 1 game loss they are 12-5 ATS

No Look ahead here for the Eagles as they have a game against SMU next week for homecoming. The practices leading up to this game have looked great.
The Golden Eagles, which will face Rice in a 7 p.m., kickoff at Carlisle-Faulkner Field at "The Rock," started their preparations for the Owls (0-4, 0-0) Saturday night with an hour and a half practice and returned to work Sunday night with a two-hour workout in shorts and shoulder pads at the Joe P. Park Practice Facility.
Head coach Jeff Bower liked the way his team has responded in practice over the last two days.
"It was a pretty good practice," Bower said of his team's Sunday night workout. "The energy level was where we needed to be."
I am going to keep this a small play for just ? unit with QB issues with the Eagles.

Eagles -20.5

No play on the total yet, but they may change if I get some scheme info on Rice/Eagles D

s c OO p
 

Scoop Mackenzie

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Over 54.5

Adding this total for tonight. I am not taking it in the first half (yet) but this should be high scoring. Rice cannot stop anyone but they may get a few turnovers early. Young admitted as a red shirt he will be nervous at the rock on the tube.

Rice will pass alot and have a threat at wideout so points willcome with it.

Over trends:
When Rice team played as a Road team - Last 4 years - Coming off a lost on artificial the over is 12-3

When Rice team played as Road team as a Underdog - Last 3 years - Coming off a lost on artificial the over is 7-3

This has to do with the bad rice defense but its enough for me, maybe more later.

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spang

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Thats a great write-up with one rather important omission.Q B J Young is out tonight by the accounts that I have read. The 2nd teamer is not 100% as well leaving a redshirt freshman as the likely starter, has that status changed??
 
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Scoop Mackenzie

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I got this from the official website written on the 1st of October.

The biggest news out of camp this week was who will start this week at quarterback for the Golden Eagles. After senior Jeremy Young went down against Boise State with a high ankle sprain, Southern Miss coach Jeff Bower announced today that senior Stephen Reaves, who was slated to replace Young, was injured Sunday night in practice with a strained oblique.

"He pulled a muscle in his abdomen," said Bower. "I don't know what this means for Wednesday. It is going to be a game-time decision. He has not practiced today or yesterday. I would say right now we will probably start Martevious (Young), because he has practiced."

Martevious Young, a red-shirt freshman from Alexander City, Ala., saw his first action of his collegiate career in limited duty against Tennessee-Martin in the season opener. Young is excited about potentially making his first collegiate start.

"When I get under those lights I might be a little nervous, but I think that will pass pretty quickly," Young said.

The game is set for a 7 p.m., kickoff and will be shown on ESPN 2.

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