interesting info

[AR182]

i read an article in a newsletter that i think posters would find useful. it basically states:

favorites are 26-15 ats(63%) so far this year. underdogs are running 18% points behind their prior year overall success rate. nfl home dogs are 1-8 ats this season. of all the teams to earn that one cover, it was the hapless arizona cards who broke the 0-8 ats season starting run for road favorites, by defeating the packers last week. many of these home-dog losses have been lopsided. one thing to note is that good teams win & cover on the road.


the question is.... will this trend continue or will it balance out at the end ?

good luck this weekend.

 

[rrc]

A site I use has....

A site I use has....

Favs 28-16

Home dogs 1-10

My bet is things come back in line the next couple wweeks. Good luck.

 

[ego74]

it'll even out, too much parody these days

 

[GM]

it'll even out, too much parody these days

Yes, if there's one thing we need less of, it's teams mocking other teams in a comical manner. :lol: Damn parody!!

(Sorry, not trying to be a prick, but I found that spelling mistake pretty funny....maybe it's just me....)

Anyways, yes, it will reverse I believe. We've seen similar stretches like this in the past. From my records:

2002, Weeks 14 & 15
Not as extreme as this year, but Favs went 20-12 over these 2 weeks, and Road Favs went 6-4. For the season though, Favs were just 116-147-4, and Road Favs were 37-52-2.

2001, Weeks 1 thru 4
Favs were even hotter than this year, going 36-18. Road favs went 13-9-3 over that stretch. Final season tally: 118-126-12 overall, 36-42-6 for the Road Favs.

2000, Weeks 5 thru 7
Favs rip off a 25-15-2 run, Road Favs going 9-2-2. Final season tally: 119-131-6 overall, 38-38-2 on the Road.

1999, Weeks 7 thru 9
Favs go 24-17. Road favs are 10-4. Final season tally: 115-131-9 overall, 35-46-6 on the Road.

So I'd say....IT'S DEFINITELY GONNA TURN! And probably sooner rather than later. It's happened each of the past 4 years. There should be some excellent profit to be made when the pendulum swings. And I'd guess that happens this week or next.

Hang in there and let's make some loot.

 

[GM]

(edit to remove double posting)

 

[On Top]

whether home dogs are 1-8 or 1-10 you can be sure that record will work close to or better than .500

 

[THE HITMAN]

Ahhhhh............I thought I was the only one chuckling over that parody thing. Leave it to you, GM.We're still thinkin alike. How you doin, Bud?

 

[GM]

Hey Hitman, what's up? Life is good. Just waiting for those doggies to start barking.

I probably shouldn't say it, but I am really liking this Week 4 card. I saw those opening lines last night and I was like "Ooooh baby, can we play these games today??" :lol:

Well that oughtta be the kiss of death. Touch wood.