After averaging somewhere up around 46 ppg early in the season, teams averaged 43 ppg last weekend and only about 40 ppg this weekend.
UNDERS were 9-5 this week with every team previously undefeated on OVERs going UNDER, except New Orleans. Correct me if I'm wrong.
For starters, the early season saw TONS of special teams TDs. I heard that going into this weekend, there were 17 special teams TD's compared to 22 from the entire year 2001. I tend to look at that as more of a random upswing than an indication of any trends.
It's hard to speak in general terms about this, but maybe the defenses are starting to adjust to the offensive trends. For instance, early this season the fake end around was being used by everybody on a high percentage of running plays. I don't know if defenses had a hard time adjusting, but I think they're more tuned into it now.
Anyway, the lines are still high, with a couple in the 50's this week, and a couple in the 40's that look like they should be high 30's. Don't let a few high-scoring games make you think its definitely going to keep up.
I've already put a little dough on a lot of unders this weekend. Not as big plays, but just because I think the O/U's are starting to shade a little too high. Don't get me wrong. I'm not trying to replace handicapping with across the board plays, but it would have paid off this weekend, and I want to jump on that UNDER ship before it leaves the harbor.
As always, all comments/criticisms are appreciated.
UNDERS were 9-5 this week with every team previously undefeated on OVERs going UNDER, except New Orleans. Correct me if I'm wrong.
For starters, the early season saw TONS of special teams TDs. I heard that going into this weekend, there were 17 special teams TD's compared to 22 from the entire year 2001. I tend to look at that as more of a random upswing than an indication of any trends.
It's hard to speak in general terms about this, but maybe the defenses are starting to adjust to the offensive trends. For instance, early this season the fake end around was being used by everybody on a high percentage of running plays. I don't know if defenses had a hard time adjusting, but I think they're more tuned into it now.
Anyway, the lines are still high, with a couple in the 50's this week, and a couple in the 40's that look like they should be high 30's. Don't let a few high-scoring games make you think its definitely going to keep up.
I've already put a little dough on a lot of unders this weekend. Not as big plays, but just because I think the O/U's are starting to shade a little too high. Don't get me wrong. I'm not trying to replace handicapping with across the board plays, but it would have paid off this weekend, and I want to jump on that UNDER ship before it leaves the harbor.
As always, all comments/criticisms are appreciated.
