This was my take from another post:
"Not that my picks have been anything to write home about lately, but I was leaning towards UVA +3 at home.
You said it, UNC has only been tested 3 times on the road so far this year. They got blown out in their cross-country trip to USC...the travel is somewhat of an explanation. But their other tests are a Kentucky game which they came out firing and won much easier than the final score portrays. We also know Kentucky is more of an average team than previously thought at that time, but nonetheless, that is a good win. The 3 point VT win was against a VT team coming off of 3 straight road games when UNC had played their previous 3 straight at home (therefore, rested vs. non-rested).
What worries me somewhat too is UNC's last game, which I usually do not let influence me too much ('bettors memory is usually only as good as the last game') other than letting it disguise the rest of a team's resume. But this was a 20+ ATS loss (depending on what you got it at) for UNC AT HOME. So, the public is expecting a rebound...then why did it open as a flat -3 and not -3.5? (according to scoresandodds) UVA has played fairly well at home, and just had a strong W/C on the road.
Just my thoughts...I at least wouldn't throw my bankroll on this one. They might be looking ahead to the stretch coming up that you mentioned above"
-all references are to another post about the UNC/UVA ML...it has more to do with how the O/L came out and the motive behind that.