IS THIS ELIMINATION SATURDAY

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https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...he-college-football-playoff-picture-just-yet/


Bowl projections: Alabama not out of the College Football Playoff picture just yet

The college football rankings will shift this week, but here's how the playoff will be affected



No. 1 Alabama's 26-14 loss at No. 6 Auburn has ended the Crimson Tide's hope for an SEC championship and done serious, but not fatal, damage to their College FootballPlayoff hopes. Auburn will now face Georgia next week for the SEC title and a spot in the playoff.

The loss by Alabama has not changed the conference representation of the projected CFP teams, but it has changed the order with the SEC dropping from No. 1 to No. 3 as the ACC and Big 12 each move up a spot.

2018 College Football Playoff

DATEGAME / LOC.TIME / TVMATCHUPPREDICTION
Jan. 8National Championship
Atlanta		8 p.m.
ESPN		Title gameSemifinal winners
Jan. 1Rose Bowl
Pasadena, Calif.		5 p.m.
ESPN		Semifinal(2) Oklahoma vs. (3) Georgia
Jan. 1Sugar Bowl
New Orleans		8:45 p.m.
ESPN		Semifinal(1) Clemson vs. (4) Wisconsin

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Strength of schedule still figures to hold down Wisconsin, but as I have said before, I do not believe an undefeated, major-conference champion will ever get left out of the playoff. Note that if Auburn beats Georgia, you can also expect the Tigers to be in the No. 3 slot.

Alabama still has a chance at the playoff, though. The Crimson Tide will be the top one-loss team out of the playoff projection above. It will be interesting to see what the committee does with the Tide this week. However, being the top one-loss team does not mean that Alabama could not be jumped by a two-loss team.


Let's take a look at the adjusted selection committee bowl games. My full updated bowl projections will be released on Sunday.
Selection committee bowl games

DATEGAME / LOC.TIME / TVMATCHUPPREDICTION
Jan. 1Peach
Atlanta		12:30 p.m.
ESPN		At-large vs. At-largeAuburn vs. UCF
Dec. 30Fiesta
Glendale, Ariz.		4 p.m.
ESPN		At-large vs. At-largeUSC vs. Ohio State
Dec. 30Orange
Miami		8 p.m.
ESPN		ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/NDMiami vs. Alabama
Dec. 29Cotton
Arlington, Texas		8:30 p.m.
ESPN		At-large vs. At-largePenn State vs. Notre Dame

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<figure class=" img" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">
</figure><figure class=" img" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;"></figure>Jerry PalmCBS Sports Senior Writer


FOLLOWJerry Palm started writing about sports on the Internet right after Al Gore invented it. He was the first to bring RPI out in the open and is one of the pioneers of predicting the March Madness bracket....




 
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Here's how Alabama's loss will impact the playoff race


Heather DinichESPN Senior Writer


http://www.espn.com/college-footbal...e-uncertain-playoff-future-loss-auburn-tigers

On Tuesday, the College Football Playoff selection committee will release the fifth of its six rankings, and there will be a makeover after losses by No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Miami. Expect a strong debate about Clemson and Oklahoma for the No. 1 spot, and undefeated Wisconsin and two-loss Auburnshould both join the top four.

Next week's conference championship games are the final opportunity for teams to make a good impression for the committee. Here's a look at some of the questions the committee will consider after rivalry week, as well as the possibilities still looming ahead of Selection Day on Dec. 3:


1. No. 1 goes down: What does Bama's loss mean?

The Tide probably will fall out of the top four this week after their loss to Auburn leaves them at 11-1 and without even a division title. This is significant because when it comes to the criteria the committee uses to separate comparable teams, the Tide come up short in a few areas, including their lack of a conference championship. That can be overcome, as Ohio State proved last season, but Alabama has given the selection committee reason to call its schedule strength into question.


Entering Saturday's game against Auburn, Alabama was No. 1 in ESPN's game control metric, which measures how a team controls a game from start to finish. So while the Tide have been dominant, the committee will also point out that their best wins have come against three-loss LSU, which lost to Troy, and four-loss Mississippi State. Their only other Power 5 win against an opponent over .500 was vs. Texas A&M.


The best-case scenario for Alabama would be to have Auburn win the SEC. It would also help the Tide if there were other two-loss conference champions. The ACC is guaranteed a one-loss champion, which probably will get in, so Alabama's best bet would be to see Wisconsin and/or Oklahoma lose in their respective conference championships.


Alabama's situation is different than Ohio State's last season in that the Buckeyes were rewarded for their nonconference win over Oklahoma. Alabama's season-opening win over Florida State does not resonate in the same way. Also, the Buckeyes were the sole Big Ten team in the CFP last season, despite not winning their own division. It's hard to envision the SEC champion, whether it's Auburn or Georgia, not making the top four. So who will the Tide take the place of, if not a team from their own conference?As for Auburn, if the Tigers beat Georgia to win the SEC, they would make a great case to become the first two-loss team in a CFP semifinal. With upsets over two teams the committee had ranked No. 1 in Georgia and Alabama, plus a second win over Georgia in the conference championship game, Auburn would arguably have the best wins in the country. Their only losses would be to Clemson and LSU, two ranked opponents.


2. So who's the new No. 1?

The debate probably will focus on No. 3 Clemson and No. 4 Oklahoma, each of which won convincingly on Saturday. Oklahoma has five road wins against Power 5 opponents and three wins against ranked opponents (Ohio State, Oklahoma State and TCU). Clemson has a win over the SEC West winner, Auburn, and Oklahoma has a win over Big Ten East winner Ohio State.

Oklahoma has five wins against Power 5 teams over .500 and no FCS opponents. Clemson has seven wins against Power 5 opponents with winning records, which is a big reason why the committee continues to forgive the Tigers' loss to 4-8 Syracuse. The Sooners' only loss is to Iowa State, which finished a respectable 7-5.

It's a significant debate because seeding matters when it comes to where each semifinal game is played. The committee won't put the No. 1 seed at a geographic disadvantage.

3. Can the Big 12 play its way out of the playoff with a title game?

In 2015, Oklahoma sat comfortably in the top four heading into the final ranking of the season, with no conference championship game to play and nothing to lose. This season, Oklahoma will again be firmly in the top four, but the Sooners will play TCU in the resurrected Big 12 title game, which was brought back for the sole purpose of best positioning the league for a spot in the top four.

Now Oklahoma has to beat TCU for a second time this season to stay in the top four. If the Horned Frogs win, the Big 12 will have a two-loss conference champion that could be snubbed in favor of, for example, a one-loss Alabama that didn't even win its division. The Big 12 title game could end up being a dagger to the league's playoff hopes, not the boost it was intended to be.

4. What about a two-loss Ohio State?

If the Buckeyes beat Wisconsin in the Big Ten championship game, it might come down to whether the committee would favor them over a one-loss Alabama that didn't win its conference title. As bad as Ohio State's 55-24 loss at Iowa was, ending the season with a top-four win against the only undefeated Power 5 team left in the country might trump anything on the Tide's r?sum? in the eyes of the committee.


The Buckeyes would also have wins over ranked opponents in Penn State and Michigan State. Auburn might not be the only two-loss team to crack the top four this year.
 
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:popcorn2:0002
4:00 PM EST
GEORGIA5149u13 / 49 / 49u1249
AUBURN-2.5 -06-2.5 / -1.5 / -1.5 -11-1.5
AUB-RB-Kerryon Johnson-Probable | TV: CBSC, DTV: 221

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:popcorn2:0002

8:00 PM EST
MIAMI4848 / 47.547.5u13+306
CLEMSON-5 -06-9 / -9.5 / -10-9.5-360
Time-change to 08:00pm EST | MIF-RB-Mark Walton-OUT | TV: ABC

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:popcorn2
8:00 PM EST
OHIO ST.-2.5 -06-6.5 -05 / -6 / -6.5-6.5 -15-250
WISCONSIN53.553.5 / 53 / 53u1153+218
OHS-QB-J.T. Barrett-Probable | TV: FOX

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:popcorn2:0002
12:30 PM EST
TCU61.562.5o12 / 62.5 / 62.5o1563.5+230
OKL-7.5 -06-7 -05 / -7 EVEN / -7 -05-7 -15-265
TV: FOX

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:popcorn2:0002
 
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PLAYOFF RANKINGSRANKINGS UPDATED (11/21/2017)RANKTEAM
(FIRST PLACE VOTES)SCHEDULES/RESULTSPREV
[SIZE=+3]1[/SIZE] Alabama
Overall: 11-1
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Mercer 56-0
11/25 lost to Auburn 14-26


1[SIZE=+3]2[/SIZE] Miami (Fla.)
Overall: 10-1
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Virginia 44-28
11/24 lost to Pittsburgh 14-24
12/02 vs. Clemson 8:00 PM EST


3[SIZE=+3]3[/SIZE] Clemson
Overall: 11-1
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated The Citadel 61-3
11/25 defeated South Carolina 34-10
12/02 vs. Miami (Fla.) 8:00 PM EST


2[SIZE=+3]4[/SIZE] Oklahoma
Overall: 11-1
Conference: 8-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Kansas 41-3
11/25 defeated West Virginia 59-31
12/02 vs. TCU 12:30 PM EST


4[SIZE=+3]5[/SIZE] Wisconsin
Overall: 12-0
Conference: 9-0
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Michigan 24-10
11/25 defeated Minnesota 31-0
12/02 vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM EST


5[SIZE=+3]6[/SIZE] Auburn
Overall: 10-2
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Louisiana-Monroe 42-14
11/25 defeated Alabama 26-14
12/02 vs. Georgia 4:00 PM EST


6[SIZE=+3]7[/SIZE] Georgia
Overall: 11-1
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Kentucky 42-13
11/25 defeated Georgia Tech 38-7
12/02 vs. Auburn 4:00 PM EST


7[SIZE=+3]8[/SIZE] Notre Dame
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 0-0
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Navy 24-17
11/25 lost to Stanford 20-38


8[SIZE=+3]9[/SIZE] Ohio State
Overall: 10-2
Conference: 8-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Illinois 52-14
11/25 defeated Michigan 31-20
12/02 vs. Wisconsin 8:00 PM EST


9[SIZE=+3]10[/SIZE] Penn State
Overall: 10-2
Conference: 7-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Nebraska 56-44
11/25 defeated Maryland 66-3


10[SIZE=+3]11[/SIZE] Southern California
Overall: 10-2
Conference: 8-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/11 defeated Colorado 38-24
11/18 defeated UCLA 28-23
12/01 vs. Stanford 8:00 PM EST

11[SIZE=+3]12[/SIZE] TCU
Overall: 10-2
Conference: 7-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Texas Tech 27-3
11/24 defeated Baylor 45-22
12/02 vs. Oklahoma 12:30 PM EST


12[SIZE=+3]13[/SIZE] Washington State
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 6-3
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/11 defeated Utah 33-25
11/25 lost to Washington 14-41


14[SIZE=+3]14[/SIZE] Mississippi State
Overall: 8-4
Conference: 4-4
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Arkansas 28-21
11/23 lost to Ole Miss 28-31


16[SIZE=+3]15[/SIZE] UCF
Overall: 11-0
Conference: 8-0
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Temple 45-19
11/24 defeated South Florida 49-42
12/02 Memphis 12:00 PM EST



15[SIZE=+3]16[/SIZE] Michigan State
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 7-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Maryland 17-7
11/25 defeated Rutgers 40-7

17[SIZE=+3]17[/SIZE] Washington
Overall: 10-2
Conference: 7-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Utah 33-30
11/25 defeated Washington State 41-14

18[SIZE=+3]18[/SIZE] LSU
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 6-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Tennessee 30-10
11/25 defeated Texas A&M 45-21

20[SIZE=+3]19[/SIZE] Oklahoma State
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 6-3
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 lost to Kansas State 40-45
11/25 defeated Kansas 58-17


13[SIZE=+3]20[/SIZE] Memphis
Overall: 10-1
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Southern Methodist 66-45
11/25 defeated East Carolina 70-13
12/02 at UCF 12:00 PM EST


21[SIZE=+3]21[/SIZE] Stanford
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 7-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated California 17-14
11/25 defeated Notre Dame 38-20
12/01 vs. Southern California 8:00 PM EST


22[SIZE=+3]22[/SIZE] Northwestern
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 7-2
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Minnesota 39-0
11/25 defeated Illinois 42-7


23[SIZE=+3]23[/SIZE] Boise State
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 7-1
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Air Force 44-19
11/25 lost to Fresno State 17-28
12/02 Fresno State 7:45 PM EST


25[SIZE=+3]24[/SIZE] South Carolina
Overall: 8-4
Conference: 5-3
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Wofford 31-10
11/25 lost to Clemson 10-34


-[SIZE=+3]25[/SIZE] Virginia Tech
Overall: 9-3
Conference: 5-3
Statistics | Schedule | Roster11/18 defeated Pittsburgh 20-14
11/24 defeated Virginia 10-0
-Others Receiving Votes:
 
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Poll Date : November 28, 2017
CFB Selection Committee <svg class="Cur(p)" width="10" style="vertical-align:inherit;fill:#8d919d;stroke:#8d919d;stroke-width:0;" height="10" viewBox="0 0 512 512" data-icon="CoreArrowDown" data-reactid="17"></svg>


<select data-tst="column-dropdown" class="Bgc(#fff)! C(#000)! Cur(p) M(0) P(0) Pos(a) T(0) Start(0) W(100%) H(100%) Op(0)" data-reactid="19" style="margin: 0px; vertical-align: middle; border-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); font-size: 16px; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; cursor: pointer; height: 19px; top: 0px; left: 0px; opacity: 0; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 197.547px;"><option selected="" value="ncaaf.poll.9" data-reactid="20">CFB Selection Committee</option><option value="ncaaf.poll.1" data-reactid="21">AP Top 25</option><option value="ncaaf.poll.3" data-reactid="22">Coaches</option></select>



TeamPTSW/LNext
1.
ccl.png
Clemson11-1vs MIA FSat, Dec 2, 8:00 PM EST
2.
aar.png
Auburn10-2vs GASat, Dec 2, 4:00 PM EST
3.
ooc.png
Oklahoma11-1vs TCUSat, Dec 2, 12:30 PM EST
4.
wwo.png
Wisconsin12-0vs OH STSat, Dec 2, 8:00 PM EST
5.
Alabama_Crimson_Tide_70x70.png
Alabama11-1
6.
ggb.png
Georgia11-1@ AUBSat, Dec 2, 4:00 PM EST
7.
mmi.png
Miami (FL)10-1@ CLEMSat, Dec 2, 8:00 PM EST
8.
ohio_state_70x70.png
Ohio State10-2@ WISSat, Dec 2, 8:00 PM EST
9.
ppb.png
Penn State10-2
10.
uub.png
USC10-2vs STANFri, Dec 1, 8:00 PM EST
11.
tta.png
TCU10-2@ OKLASat, Dec 2, 12:30 PM EST
12.
Stanford-Cardinal_70.png
Stanford9-3@ USCFri, Dec 1, 8:00 PM EST
13.
wwb.png
Washington10-2
14.
Central_Florida_Knights_70x70.png
UCF11-0vs MEMPSat, Dec 2, 12:00 PM EST
15.
ND_70.png
Notre Dame9-3

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[h=2]IS THIS ELIMINATION SATURDAY[/h]
:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour
 
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Poll Date : December 03, 2017
CFB Selection Committee <svg class="Cur(p)" width="10" style="vertical-align:inherit;fill:#8d919d;stroke:#8d919d;stroke-width:0;" height="10" viewBox="0 0 512 512" data-icon="CoreArrowDown" data-reactid="17"></svg>


<select data-tst="column-dropdown" class="Bgc(#fff)! C(#000)! Cur(p) M(0) P(0) Pos(a) T(0) Start(0) W(100%) H(100%) Op(0)" data-reactid="19" style="margin: 0px; vertical-align: middle; border-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); font-size: 16px; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; cursor: pointer; height: 19px; top: 0px; left: 0px; opacity: 0; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 197.547px;"><option selected="" value="ncaaf.poll.9" data-reactid="20">CFB Selection Committee</option><option value="ncaaf.poll.1" data-reactid="21">AP Top 25</option><option value="ncaaf.poll.3" data-reactid="22">Coaches</option></select>


TeamPTSW/LNext
1.
ccl.png
Clemson12-1vs ALAMon, Jan 1, 8:45 PM EST
2.
ooc.png
Oklahoma12-1vs GAMon, Jan 1, 5:00 PM EST
3.
ggb.png
Georgia12-1@ OKLAMon, Jan 1, 5:00 PM EST
4.
Alabama_Crimson_Tide_70x70.png
Alabama11-1@ CLEMMon, Jan 1, 8:45 PM EST
5.
ohio_state_70x70.png
Ohio State11-2vs USCFri, Dec 29, 8:30 PM EST
6.
wwo.png
Wisconsin12-1@ MIA FSat, Dec 30, 8:00 PM EST
7.
aar.png
Auburn10-3vs UCFMon, Jan 1, 12:30 PM EST
8.
uub.png
USC11-2@ OH STFri, Dec 29, 8:30 PM EST
9.
ppb.png
Penn State10-2vs WASHSat, Dec 30, 4:00 PM EST
10.
mmi.png
Miami (FL)10-2vs WISSat, Dec 30, 8:00 PM EST
11.
wwb.png
Washington10-2@ PSUSat, Dec 30, 4:00 PM EST
12.
Central_Florida_Knights_70x70.png
UCF12-0@ AUBMon, Jan 1, 12:30 PM EST
13.
Stanford-Cardinal_70.png
Stanford9-4@ TCUThu, Dec 28, 9:00 PM EST
14.
ND_70.png
Notre Dame9-3vs LSUMon, Jan 1, 1:00 PM EST
15.
tta.png
TCU10-3vs STANThu, Dec 28, 9:00 PM EST
16.
mml.png
Michigan State9-3@ WA STThu, Dec 28, 9:00 PM EST
17.
LSU-70.png
LSU9-3@ NDMon, Jan 1, 1:00 PM EST
18.
wwc.png
Washington State9-3vs MI STThu, Dec 28, 9:00 PM EST
19.
OSU-70x70.png
Oklahoma State9-3@ VTThu, Dec 28, 5:15 PM EST
20.
mmg.png
Memphis10-2vs IA STSat, Dec 30, 12:30 PM EST
21.
Northwestern_70_copy.png
Northwestern9-3vs UKFri, Dec 29, 4:30 PM EST
22.
vvd.png
Virginia Tech9-3vs OK STThu, Dec 28, 5:15 PM EST
23.
mmq.png
Mississippi State8-4vs LOUSat, Dec 30, 12:00 PM EST
24.
nnn.png
North Carolina State8-4vs AZ STFri, Dec 29, 3:00 PM EST
25.
70x70_boise_state_broncos-primary-2013.1.png
Boise State10-3@ ORESat, Dec 16, 3:30 PM EST

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