Jack's Guinea Pig

[Anders]

Testing out a theory Jack was pondering in the "General Discussion" forum - why not fade the picks of a "bad handicapper" who plays with a limited knowledge.

Well, when it comes to bases, that's me

I'm not wagering on the MLB - apart from Redsfann's guaranteed 4-0 tips

- and have a limited knowledge of teams and pitching strengths - roughly equal to your average sports fan, let's say.

So what's listed below is how I've picked today's card - both sides and totals. Jack's theory is that in the long run, fading them should be profitable.

Or will it merely end up around 50%?

Won't be able to do this every day but will play a full card whenever I can and track results. Hope people have fun following this thread.

Right, time to jump on the wheel...

MLB plays, 25/7

Marlins -140/under 7.5 -110
D'backs -118/u9.5 -110
Bo Sox -151/u10 -115
Chi Sox +125/o11 -105
Yanks -170/u10.5 -105
Rangers -151/u12.5 -115
Mariners -250/u9 -105
A's -138/u9 +100
Angels -172/u10 -120
Orioles (Game Two) +150/o12 -105

All to win/risk one unit ($100) ... and all stricty on paper

[This message has been edited by Anders (edited 07-26-2001).]

[This message has been edited by Anders (edited 07-30-2001).]

 

[MadJack]

i'll join you in this experiment when i get home on saturday

 

[Its Gravy]

damn i jinxed the plays!!

[This message has been edited by Its Gravy (edited 07-26-2001).]

 

[Anders]

A "good"

start

Overall: 9-11, -$581.

Which means a nice profit for the faders. Obviously the losses by the Mariners, Anaheim and the Bo Sox "helped"

 

[Anders]

Thursday:

Cubs -125
Expos +115/u9.5 -115
Pirates -105/u9.5 -110
Mets -151/u8 -105
D'backs -205/u8 -110
Dodgers -125/u8.5 -110
Yankees -168/u11 -120
A's -153/u10.5 -120
Indians -140/o10.5 -110
Red Sox -172/u10 -110
Orioles +110/o11 +100
Mariners -173/u10.5 -105

Lotsa chalk

GL

 

[Anders]

Will update Thurs results when I get a mo...

FRIDAY:

Cards -102/u7 +105
Braves -210/u7.5 +100
Astros -160/u9.5 -105
Marlins -102/o9.5 -110
Mets -104/u8.5 -120
Padres -125/u9.5 -105
Giants +125/o9.5 +100
Rockies +118/o8 -120
Yanks -155/u8.5 +100
Indians -190/o10.5 -110
White Sox -105/u10 -110
Rays +147/o11 -115
Mariners -180/u9.5 -130
A's -210/u8.5 +100
Angels -132/u8.5 +105

GLTA

 

[Anders]

Thursday's results:
12-11, -$194

Season to date: 21-22, -$775

 

[Anders]

Friday's results:

A winning day

18-12, +469

Overall:

39-33 -$306

Hmmm, playing big chalk not profitable

The experiment continues...

 

[Anders]

Sunday:

Mets -125/under 8 -105
Marlins -125/u9 -105
Braves -128/u8.5 -115
Astros -151/u9 -115
Brewers -120/u9.5 -115
Cards -110
D'backs -220/u7.5 -120
Dodgers -142/o8.5 +100
Red Sox -130/o10 -105
Yanks -165/o10 -105
A's -205/o9 -115
Mariners -160/u8.5 -105
Angels -160/u9.5 -120
Rangers -172/u11 -120

 

[Anders]

Sunday's results:

13-14, - $528

Overall: 52-47, -$834

She's looking good Jack

Gotta keep playing those faves

 

[gsp]

You're not as bad as some I've seen other places. I guess wishing you good luck would be out of line

 

[Anders]

don't you curse my run of "good luck" gsp

 

[Anders]

Fading today...

Astros -130/o11 -120
Brewers -102/ u8.5 -105
Cards -113/u9 -110
Phillies -114/014 -110
Cubs -130/o8.5 -120
D'backs -235/u8 -115
Dodgers -155/u9 -110
Giants -162/u9.5 -110
Rangers +153/u10.5 -120
Mariners -165/o9.5 -115
A's +108/011 +100
Twins -122/o9.5 -105
Orioles -142/u9 -115
Red Sox -144/u9.5 -110
White Sox -140/u9.5

GLTA

 

[Anders]

Results:

16-13-1; + $2

LMAO

Overall: 68-60-1; -$832

Sorry, don't even have the five minutes spare today to make picks - back another day if anyone's interested in following the progression.

 

[Mickstr68]

Very interesting results!

 

[Anders]

Have found five minutes to cap today's games

so will keep thid thread going to see where it leads

Today:
Cards -126/u7.5 -120
Padres +123/u9 -105
Marlins -108/u9 -110
Dodgers -135/o9 -120
Gaints -128/09 -120
Mets -130/u8.5 -120
Braves -205/u8 -120
Cubs -156/u8.5 -110
Rays +200/u9 -110
Indians -108/o9.5 -120
Royals -135/o9.5 -120
Rangers -151/o12 -105
Angels -118/u9.5 -110
Mariners -175/o9 -115
A's -170/u9 -115