under in the early game looks safest to me
Jays have a shot; they've hit Pettitte okay before, are hitting okay in this series, and Burnett has been on fire in 8 starts since coming off of the DL. I get most Jays games, here in Toronto, and I've been very impressed with the way he's throwing. One of his gems was against the Yankees on September 13th; Jays won 2-1 over Kennedy who only allowed 1 hit over 7 innings (Burnett 4 over 8, allowing 1 run).
Only 1 of Burnett's 8 games since coming off the DL has totalled more than 9 runs, and that was a 6-4 final against the M's. He's also faced the Yankees, Boston, the D'Rays when they were hitting well a few weeks ago, and the recently fairly hot-hitting A's for a pair of games...ALL of those played under. The last time that Burnett pitched on 5 days rest he allowed 3 hits and 1 run to the D'Rays over 8 innings, walking 1 and striking out 8.
Man is too hot to go against right now. I keep pretty tight SP ratings and his is right up there in Jake Peavy territory (actually Jake made a recent move up and is currently rated a 90 while I've got Burnett at an 87).
I'm on the Jays, the Jays +1.5 and the under.
Like I said, I think the under is the safe play.
GL
