Jord20 NFL Playoffs
- Thread starter Jord20
- Start date
I came in saying i would be on all faves this weekend, but here i am on both dogs today. I don?t love this game.
Vikings +7/4
Ml
Over 44.5/21.5
Titans and over later.
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Vikings +7/4
Ml
Over 44.5/21.5
Titans and over later.
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I?m on the Chiefs huge through parlays at -10 plus money.
Added fh -6
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Added fh -6
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I'm seeing lots of love for KC all over the web, good luck with them, i may just watch the game. kc 37-24
That game was a dream for live too. Amazing
Seahawks LMAO.
My phone was ducked up, so i was down for a few hours. If you care about my plays or follow at all, you know what frauds i had the Seahags are. Good to see them and Pats both get rightfully blown out.
Beautiful day in Jord20 world.
Next week will be interesting
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Seahawks LMAO.
My phone was ducked up, so i was down for a few hours. If you care about my plays or follow at all, you know what frauds i had the Seahags are. Good to see them and Pats both get rightfully blown out.
Beautiful day in Jord20 world.
Next week will be interesting
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Chiefs -7/4
I've been saying for a couple months, I think this year is he Chiefs. I have loved what Tennessee has done - they even have a magical element to them this year. But, I think this line is a joke. It's a gross overreaction to the score of the last game, which was a bit flukey, IMO. I also think the last time these teams played was misleading. to me, a lot is going to have to keep going right for Tenn to keep this within 7.
KC -7 BIG
1H -4
I've been saying for a couple months, I think this year is he Chiefs. I have loved what Tennessee has done - they even have a magical element to them this year. But, I think this line is a joke. It's a gross overreaction to the score of the last game, which was a bit flukey, IMO. I also think the last time these teams played was misleading. to me, a lot is going to have to keep going right for Tenn to keep this within 7.
KC -7 BIG
1H -4
Why do you say the last time they played is misleading?
Mahomes through for almost 450, and Kelce and Hill both had big games.
Interesting tidbit I came across?since 2015 there have been 7 conference championship rematches from the regular season...the team that won in the regular season has went 6-1. The only loss was NO to LA last year.
GL
I don't want to overstate it as misleading, but I do think one game (or even 10 game) sample sizes get way too much credit in the betting and public discourse markets.
Obviously, first the game was in Tennessee. There was a fluky defensive touchdown. Hoping the chiefs kick a bunch of field goals with 550 yards gained again is probably not accurate with the offense flowing the way it is now. They had 2 starting offense lineman out that day AND it was Mahomes first game back. So possibly that's why they got conservative in spots they shouldn't have. KC was up 29-20 in 4th quarter, and a few more fluky things happened to give Tenn the shot which they capitalized on.
Balty went 0-2 on those 4th and short, and had some ugly turnovers. It's been well publicized how insane Tenn has been in the RedZone - maybe that sustains for 2 more games?! It wouldn't shock me for Tenn to win, but I do think a lot will have to go right.I don't see them being able to keep up here.
I think 7 is a great number, and so I pounded it. If it was 10, it would be a different story
Maybe misleading because KC settled for 5 FG attempts? I can't see them settling in this game with so much on the line.
I did hear a stat about teams who scored 40+ pts in the divisional round being something like 1-14-1 ATS in the championship round game. I tend to think one of, if not both dogs will cover. Every teaser this Sunday will have 49ers and Chiefs down to pk or -1 ish. You know that isn't cashing.
Great discussion gang and love your view BGC. I would offer this twist in perspective. I think KC is super strong, I also hate betting against King Henry and that ground game as he is a beast on a roll! That said, 7 or a purchase up to 7? on Tenny or down to 6? on KC scares me both ways.
However .... maybe the answer is Tenny TT Over 21?. We know KC will score and 30+ (at least in my mind) seems highly likely. We know Henry will get his share of yards and that Ryan Tannehill has shown he can toss the rock well either in regular situations and if chasing from behind. We know the KC ?D? is not their strength.
In summary and although maybe I am pressing to bet a game in which I hate the side (either way) and the total 52 and climbing again ?may? be inflated, I think they put the hook on the end of the TT to scare us away ... my play for game #1:
Tennessee Titans TT Over 21? for a Large Play.
However .... maybe the answer is Tenny TT Over 21?. We know KC will score and 30+ (at least in my mind) seems highly likely. We know Henry will get his share of yards and that Ryan Tannehill has shown he can toss the rock well either in regular situations and if chasing from behind. We know the KC ?D? is not their strength.
In summary and although maybe I am pressing to bet a game in which I hate the side (either way) and the total 52 and climbing again ?may? be inflated, I think they put the hook on the end of the TT to scare us away ... my play for game #1:
Tennessee Titans TT Over 21? for a Large Play.
can't get much closer :0002
about KC, i played them -5?
KC got and answered their wake up call after Hou 1st q
Ten got win over lame Ravens
dogs+points cashing so far quite well, is this trend really your friend... :shrug:
good luck with your plays guys :toast:
Jord20 NFL Playoffs
I?m on KC huge. 7 and 4.
I?m on GB +8 and +4.5 FH
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I?m on KC huge. 7 and 4.
I?m on GB +8 and +4.5 FH
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