July 23rd
- Thread starter HONUS
- Start date
Honus,
I remember you from years ago, either wagerstreet or/and talksport. You used to post there, long time ago, correct?
Not that I know, but maybe you should alter your moneyline requirement for making a play to either one of these criteria: go against an absolute moneyline movement of 35 cents (or 40) or more or go against any total move taking a minimum of +125 (or both). Fewer plays, but lower win % required; plus, even if the initial move was correct, your now betting that the plays you fade can't win more than 55.5% of the time.
any thoughts about attempting to make your system requirments for plays more stringent?
mack
I remember you from years ago, either wagerstreet or/and talksport. You used to post there, long time ago, correct?
Not that I know, but maybe you should alter your moneyline requirement for making a play to either one of these criteria: go against an absolute moneyline movement of 35 cents (or 40) or more or go against any total move taking a minimum of +125 (or both). Fewer plays, but lower win % required; plus, even if the initial move was correct, your now betting that the plays you fade can't win more than 55.5% of the time.
any thoughts about attempting to make your system requirments for plays more stringent?
mack
Yes, you are correct. I can't remember which one I was at, but I've been here steadily for 3 years. You have a good memory!
I've got my records so I think this would be a worthwhile exercise to look at. I can break it down by line. Interesting idea. Thanks.
I've got my records so I think this would be a worthwhile exercise to look at. I can break it down by line. Interesting idea. Thanks.
Oh yea, here are some more (I got sooo excited; I won a game):
TOR/BAL U9 +115
KC/DET O9 +115
MIN/CWS O9 +115
TOR/BAL U9 +115
KC/DET O9 +115
MIN/CWS O9 +115
STL/SF O8 +130 (could have taken O7.5 +110, but decided to get greedy on this one. Don't mind so much when a win turns to a push. Do mind when a push turns to a loss).
