June 4th Pick

[kickserv]

NHL Season Record
----------------------------
MoneyLine 19-20
Over/Under 1-6
PuckLine 12-11
Parlays 15-26
Series 3-3

+18.17 units


Anaheim Mighty Ducks beat Ottawa Senators $2.75 *1 unit



everybody and their dog is on the Sens tonight....I'm going with the nice price:SIB

 

[IX_Bender]

No need to start another thread.




Got a decent amount of sleep, had a good meal and havent touched a drop all day so it seems that my logic for taking the Ducks plus money is valid. Now even super-canadian kickserv is betting against his country.





Im willing to listen to reason, analyze statistics, and discuss the merits of heart/desire, but Im not willing to lay -200 with Ottawa.



SOMEONE please explain to me why Im not betting on ANAHEIM at this price.

 

[kickserv]

IX........let us put it this way......if I had a gun to my head and my life was on the line if I picked incorrectly I'd pick the Sens......but the Ducks at +175.....I just could not pass that up :shrug:

 

[IX_Bender]

Thats exactly correct. You have to separate the game and the line from the expected outcome.

Theres no rationalizaton here, its pretty basic.

I'll agree that this game is not 50/50, but its certainly not 70/30.

Ducks +175 (just got the extra five locally)

 

[kickserv]

now Ottawa will win 9-0 :mj07: :mj07:

 

[COYOTEBLUE]

PRICE FOR OTTAWA TO WIN -1.5 GOALS IS THE SAME AS FOR ANAHEIM TO WIN ...

DO YOU ACTUALLY THINK ANAHEIM HAS A BETTER CHANCE OF WINNING THAN OTTAWA DOMINATING OR GETTING AN EMPTY NET GOAL ...

I DONT :00hour

 

[dez]

Change of style

Change of style

There will be a huge switch in the way the Ducks play tonight w/o Pronger. W/o Pronger look for Beauchimin and Niedermayer to play 110% all Game ! Defensive shutdown will continue on the big line where everyone thinks it'll be over 5 it will be either a push or stay under...

Ana + 170
Under 5 +110
:142smilie
Parlay Ana and the under
Lets GO DUCKS !!! :142smilie

 

[kickserv]

winner :SIB


NHL Season Record
----------------------------
MoneyLine 20-20
Over/Under 1-6
PuckLine 12-11
Parlays 15-26
Series 3-3

+19.92 units

 

[IX_Bender]

Nice payday to start the week.