Just one Play for Wild Card Weekend

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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I lost my lone play last week but vow to bounce back this week.



:mad:



:0074



It's all about finding the best way to win so I put together a nice 3 game teaser to take advantage of the points.


Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

3 game 10 point teaser
New Orleans -1/2 over Seahawks
NY Jets +13 over Colts
Green Bay +13 over Eagles

Saints -1/2?The Saints running game took a big hit for the postseason as the team had to put both Chris Ivory and Pierre Thomas on IR this week?but the team still has Reggie Bush and will lean heavily on Drew Brees and their defense this week?the loss of those two will likely hurt their chances of repeating but not this week as they face a Seahawks team that enters the postseason with a losing record, a poor defense and a big questionmark at the QB position...The Saints beat the Seahawks 34-19 back on 11/21 and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC??plus the Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings between the two and the Saints were 6-2 SU on the road this season.
New Orleans 27 Seattle 17

Jets +13?The Colts came from behind to beat the Jets 30-17 last year in the AFC Championship game but face the Jets this week without TE Dallas Clark and WR Austin Collie who accounted for 11 catches 158 yards and 2 TD?s in that game?on the flip side the Jets strengthened their secondary by adding Antonio Cromartie but will be without Jim Leonhard who?s been out for weeks now?Peyton Manning has had his worst games facing man to man defenses but is 5-1 SU vs Rex Ryan?s defenses all time?I expect the Jets to crowd the line of scrimmage and take away the Colts run threat where Peyton is most dangerous in play action?the Jets defense will also blitz Peyton heavily in this game?on the flip side?The Jets rested both RB?s L.T. and Shonne Greene last week to be fresh for this game?expect the Jets to run the ball until the Colts defense (which is poor versus the run) stops them?I hate going against Peyton Manning anytime, but the Jets have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright thus the +13 is a bonus?The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in January, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games?The Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite?This one should go down to the wire!
New York 24 Indianapolis 23

Green Bay +13?The Packers beat the Eagles 27-20 in Philly back on opening day in a game in which Michael Vick came in after Kevin Kolb was hurt in the second quarter?The Packers have won two straight games to make the playoffs while the Eagles have lost two in a row and needed a late fourth quarter rally to beat the Giants to avoid dropping their last three?I think the key to this game is the weather and the health of Michael Vick since Vick has a banged up quad that not only makes him less explosive but it hurt his accuracy throwing the ball last week?add to that the fact that Vick hates playing in cold weather, has a banged up offensive line and will be facing a tough hard hitting defense this week?I really believe the Packers defense will keep him in check while the Packers offense behind Aaron Rodgers does their thing against the Eagles defense?The +13 points is another bonus in this one since the Packers have a good shot at winning outright this week!...The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Green Bay 23 Philadelphia 20
 

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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2010 Regular Season Plays Record:
15-7


(+14.55 Units)

Breakdown:

Big 3 Unit Plays:
3-0

Medium 2 Unit Plays:
7-5

Small 1 Unit Plays:
3-2

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
2-0

Leans:
14-10-2

Preseason Plays Record:
2-1


(+0.96 Units)
 

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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Lean:

Kansas City Chiefs +3
over Ravens
The Chiefs played poorly in their loss to the Raiders last week but were near perfect in their rout of the Titans the week before?on the flip side the Ravens struggled to beat the Bengals at home last week but have won 4 straight?the Ravens defensive front seven is very good but their secondary can be had while their offense never really clicked this season because they lack playmakers on the offensive side of the ball... Mason, Boldin and Housh are all chain movers but none of the three will threaten a defense vertically
...A big bonus in this game is the fact that the Chiefs have playmakers on the offensive side of the ball and in the return game that can take it to the house?plus they will be playng in their third straight home game in front of a very loud crowd?Everyone is overlooking the Chiefs this week?just a hunch - Upset Special!
Kansas City 20 Baltimore 17

Sorry Jack! :shrug:
 
Last edited:

MadJack

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Lean:

Kansas City Chiefs +3 over Ravens
The Chiefs played poorly in their loss to the Raiders last week but were near perfect in their rout of the Titans the week before?on the flip side the Ravens struggled to beat the Bengals at home last week but have won 4 straight?the Ravens defensive front seven is very good but their secondary can be had while their offense never really clicked this season because they lack playmakers on the offensive side of the ball... Mason, Boldin and Housh are all chain movers but none of the three will threaten a defense vertically
...A big bonus in this game is the fact that the Chiefs have playmakers on the offensive side of the ball and in the return game that can take it to the house?plus they will be playng in their third straight home game in front of a very loud crowd?Everyone is overlooking the Chiefs this week?just a hunch - Upset Special!
Kansas City 20 Baltimore 17

Sorry Jack! :shrug:

You don't have to be sorry to me, just your bankroll :0008

Good luck with your other play though :toast:
 

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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You don't have to be sorry to me, just your bankroll :0008

Good luck with your other play though :toast:

I just put it into a mixed parlay with some puck action...If I were to put some good coin on it I would have teased it and taken at least +9...

Good Luck Jack...hope I'm wrong!
 
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