Sorry Jeff, just the way my numbers came up, I don't care about the spread when I make my numbers. I sense you didn't get the answer you wanted, so I'm sorry. I'm not much for write-ups, so I guess it was to shallow.
If you want to look at the last five games, I favor Oregon St by up to 8 points. But that is why I mentioned Pittsburgh's turnovers, and why my numbers might be flawed.
Both teams have great ground attacks, but give a slight edge to PIT in the passing game. If you look at raw numbers, you will think I'm crazy. As with the Panthers being prone to turnovers, I see another liability for Oregon St in QB Derek Anderson. His interceptions scare me, especially concerning TD/INT ratio.
Then I have to come back to the PAC 10. So much talent in this league and part of reason I took UCLA yesterday. The Big East isn't to shabby either.
So, I felt the number was to close to take a side. But I see two very good defenses and two teams that now how to run the ball. I also felt the Panthers secondary might tame Anderson.
Why I humbly played the under 45.5.
Hope this helps some Jeff. gl! tonight!
kcwolf