Kentucky vs. Marquette

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Kentucky (32-3 straight up, 22-10 against the spread) and Marquette (26-5 SU, 18-9 ATS) will collide Saturday in Minneapolis for the ninth time in NCAA Tournament history. The winner will advance to the Final Four in New Orleans to meet the Arizona-Kansas winner.


Tom Crean has pointed Marquette to its first Elite Eight since 1977. (AP)
Oddsmakers at Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened the Wildcats as eight-point favorites, with the total starting at 140.

UK advanced to its first Elite Eight since 1999 via a hard-fought 63-57 win over fifth-seeded Wisconsin. The six-point win wasn't enough to cover the 11-point spread, while 'under' players collected from the 130-point total.

The win was costly, however, as senior guard Keith Bogans left thegame with an ankle injury. His status for Saturday is in question.

Without Bogans, center Marquis Estill became the focus of the offense, and the big man responded. Estill finished with 28 points while no other UK player posted double-figure scoring.

Tubby Smith's team has now won 26 in a row SU, in addition to a 15-4-1 ATS spree.

When these schools met in Orlando for the second-round of the 1994 Tournament, Marquette knocked off Rick Pitino's team in a huge upset.

The Golden Eagles will have another upset in mind Saturday, but it won't resemble the magnitude of the '94 shocker because this Marquette team is loaded. Led by superstar Dwyane Wade, this team is dangerous.

Wade tallied 20 of his 22 points in the second half, while power forward Scott Merritt added 17 in a 77-74 upset win over second-seeded Pitt. The three-point Sweet 16 win came in a six-point underdog role. Money-line players backing Marquette brought home plus 220 on the comeback.

This is the first time Marquette has qualified for a regional final since the late Al McGuire guided the Golden Eagles to the '77 national title.


Tom Crean's team found a way despite an off shooting night from point guard Travis Deiner, who had only four points. Instead, Marquette showed its scoring depth with big performances in the paint from Robert Jackson (16 points) and Merritt, who buried a pair of clutch free throws with 11 seconds remaining.

Pitt's Julius Page should get credit for denying Deiner (2-8 FG) clean looks at the basket, but it isn't as if the Marquette point guard hurt his team. In fact, the sophomore dished out eight assists in 36 turnover-free minutes.

Obviously, Bogans' status is a big key to this game. His injury was enough to keep him out of a game that was in doubt for 39 minutes. Therefore, it's apparent the senior slasher will be at less than 100 percent if he can play at all.

Remember though, Indiana's Tom Coverdale played the final four games of last year's Tournament with a badly sprained ankle. Coverdale was effective at times, but his mere presence seemed to give the Hoosiers a lift. This same scenario will apply to Bogans.

Jackson and Estill's matchup in the paint will be a focal point. These players are no strangers, as Jackson spent his first three seasons of college in the SEC at Mississippi State.

UK head coach Tubby Smith owns a 23-8 SU record (17-4 at UK) in Big Dance play. This is the fifth-best percentage among active coaches. Smith will attempt to guide UK to its 14th Final Four appearance.

For what it's worth, the 'Cats are 31-6 in domes, including a 4-2 mark at the Metrodome. UK recorded a pair of wins at the Metrodome on the way to the '96 championship.
 

Hindsite

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I wouldn't touch this game unless I knew the status of Bogans.....

The cats could easily cover if he plays... Withou Bogans Marquette would be a very strong play.... Does anyone know for sure if he is going to be out?:confused:
 

Senor Capper

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Out " No. He's still questionable.

Out " No. He's still questionable.

Deep Wildcats Prepared To Play Without Senior Leader
March 28, 2003

AP
MINNEAPOLIS (AP) A day before Kentucky played for the chance to go to the Final Four, the Wildcats still didn't know if star guard Keith Bogans would be available.


Whether Bogans plays in Saturday's Midwest Regional final against Marquette will be a game-time decision. The Kentucky senior sprained his left ankle in the first half of Thursday's win over Wisconsin when he collided with the Badgers' Kirk Penney. He sat out the entire second half.

"It's a high ankle sprain," Kentucky coach Tubby Smith said Friday. "That can be a real bad thing. I've seen guys go a month without doing anything. He's able to put pressure on his foot and raise up on his toe. That's a good sign."

Smith is ready to start defensive specialist Cliff Hawkins in Bogans' place.

Bogans, the Southeastern Conference's player of the year, has had the ankle under constant care, relying on the old remedies of rest, ice, compression and elevation to get him healthy enough to play.

"I won't know until I get out there and run on it," Bogans said. "I don't want to get out there and hurt my team if I can't go.

"If it's up to me, I'm going to gut it out and play. I'm not going to sit. It hurt to watch yesterday."

Kentucky is perhaps the nation's deepest team, a roster without a true star that relies on a versatile mix of players capable on both the offensive and defensive ends.

If any team could withstand the absence of a player like Bogans, it would seem to be the Wildcats.

"We've got a lot of different players who can do a lot of different things," Hawkins said.

Bogans is the Wildcats' leading scorer at 15.7 points per game, though, and the one player who can consistently knock down the critical outside shot. Marquis Estill's 28 points fueled Kentucky's win in the semifinals against undersized Wisconsin, but the Wildcats will need someone on the perimeter to draw the Marquette defense away from Estill in the paint.

Guard Gerald Fitch sounded resigned to Bogans' absence.

"Keith brought a lot of scoring," Fitch said. "Guys are going to have to step up, myself included. I'm going to have to take my game to another level, especially offensively. We don't have that many shooters on the perimeter now."

Kentucky will probably play swingmen Antwain Barbour and Kelenna Azubuike more, and Smith said freshman guard Brandon Stockton may also get more playing time.

Marquette is planning on seeing Bogans play.

"Every time we've been in a situation that there was a question mark on a player who can break the game open like Keith Bogans can, you prepare like he's going to be there," coach Tom Crean said. "He's as efficient a guard as there is country right now, when it comes to doing the little things - coming off screens, reading screens, being ready to shoot, attacking the rim, pressuring the ball and passing lanes, running transition offense and defense. Even if he's not at 100 percent, he'll still be pretty good."

Some Marquette players said they'd be disappointed if Bogans didn't play.

"I'm quite sure he'll suck it up," forward Robert Jackson said. "I just want them to be full force when they play us. I'm a great player, and I like playing against great players. We don't want no easy road to the Final Four."

Said guard Travis Diener: "We want their team to be at their best, and we want our team to be at our best."

The best Bogans, a senior, could do on Thursday was offer encouragement. He may have to do that again on Saturday, knowing he could be back at full strength if the Wildcats advance to New Orleans next weekend.

"I know my teammates needed me," Bogans said. "It would help them seeing me out on the sidelines cheering for them. I was just trying to do whatever I could."
 
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