KLM Open

[sports student]

at 5 dimes:

Manassero -130 over Lafeber (tourney)
Manaserro -125 over Lafeber (1st round)

Manaserro held up well playing for the top last week and had the look of someone who expects to keep playing well. Lafeber not playing well and missed cut here last 2 years.

 

[Another Steve]

ODDS TO WIN KLM OPEN SIMON DYSON +2800

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 play (2pts):

Todd Hamilton to beat Shiv Kapur +105 @ 5Dimes [also available @ SkyBet and Extrabet]
Both players have been missing lots of cuts recently, so there respective position of 3rd and 1st are very surprising. As such, the only angle here is to oppose an inexperienced leader of an event. He has only led a European Tour event after 36 holes once previously and that was the co-sanctioned Johnnie Walker Classic in Asia; he shot 74 in the 3rd round. He has led a full European Tour event after 18 holes - the 2010 Czech Open - but he also shot 74 in the next round. As such, I'd expect him to make easy for Hamilton to win this matchup.

 

[Stanley]

Round 4 play (6pts):

Shiv Kapur to beat Christian Nilsson +100 @ Bet365
An eagle on the last hole was enough for Kapur to deny the victory for Hamilton in the 3rd round matchup, but it should set him up well for the last round as it puts him in the penultimate group in the final round and only two shots off the lead. Nilsson is one shot closer to the lead, but given that the last time that he finished in the top-30 was six months ago, has been in a run of form much worse than Kapur, and shot 78 and 79 in his last two Sunday rounds, he really should struggle playing in the final group tomorrow.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Tringale tb Aguilar +110; Fernandez-Castano tb Colsaerts -105; Jacquelin tb Colsaerts +110]