Law's Pick 'O the Day-July 29

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thelawguy

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Forum Member
Jul 2, 2002
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Good Monday morning to you all. Hope that this weekend was a profitable one for you all. If you had Cleveland or St Louis yesterday....WoW...unbelieveable finishes with both teams being down at one point by at least 6 runs...talk about a Sunday night game!! For those you who still don't believe that the Cubs bullpen is one of the very worst in the majors....well, I guess now everyone is a believer. But, today is another day. So, let's kick the man's arse.

No wagers for me this weekend. I left off on Friday, going 2-1 for
-1.00 Unit. Arizona was on cruise control winning 12-0....Florida coulda won...but lost 5-6 (I had them on runline for the win)...and OAK lost a late lead giving up 9 runs in the seventh to Texas for my only loss. Yikes.

YTD record at MJ's 24-11 (a tad over 68%)...but poor money management sees me at -8.48 Units. (My first play at MJ's was a
-14.00 Unit play to really put me in the hole early.)

My early lean is K.C. today with Byrd, but I'm still checking things out. Be back in a bit with my final analysis and picks for today.
 
T

thelawguy

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 2, 2002
423
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Los Angeles area
K.C. -130 (2 Units)


I don't see anyway around it....K.C. should win this game.

Streaks don't impress me .....losing ones or winning ones...therefore I rarely ever factor in a losing streak. K.C. is on a 6 game slide...but I am only looking at the 'numbers' in this one.

Byrd has been the one bright spot for K.C. pitching this year. He is 13-7 with a solid 3.64 ERA and is among the american league leaders in wins. Sweeney is still out and K.C. will need to find a way to provide Byrd with a little run support...you can only pitch so effectively without putting up the runs yourself. I do like K.C. to score against Carpenter tonight and they should put up a respectable 5 spot in this game...I believe this will be enough.

Byrd is a stellar 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA career against Toronto...granted only 8 innings of work. Carpenter, on the other hand, has seen a bit more of K.C., going 57 + inn. with a 3-4 record and a 3.90 ERA. Carpenter's record this year is a little deceiving. Although he is 4-1, his ERA is still at 4.74. His last three starts have been quality ones and he has allowed only 6 earned rujns in 22 innings pitched....generally the right place for a recalibration to his prior win streak form, where his ERA was hovering around 5.24.

K.C. is coming "home" after a forgettable stint in CHIC against a powerful Sox team. Toronto is NOT the same caliber. K.C. is playing decent ball at home and has a 29-22 home record, while TOR isn't getting it done when they go South, going 19-31 away from the dome. TOR has won just 3 of its last 15 on the road.

As always, GL with whatever you play.
 
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A

Antonio

Guest
My lean would be on Kc as well, BUT you have 2 pretty hot pitchers, and trends that can go either way. I kinda like the under a bit more, neither team swung the bat well in the past series. Kc only managed 5 runs in the past 4 games. Line movement has slowly started to stay toward the Royals, gl tonite.
 
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