Lets talk about Alabama @ atm

hedgehog

Registered
Forum Member
Oct 30, 2003
32,886
694
113
50
TX
road favorite SEC opener -8.5 I don't think its enough to take the home dog, thoughts? maybe buy it down to 7 :shrug:
 

jesscolb

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 22, 2003
2,624
9
0
Alabama
Alabama struggled offensively in their first game vs Virginia Tech with 3 new starters on the offensive line........On the other hand A&M has been awful stopping the run vs Rice and Sam Houston State allowing almost 6 yards a carry and 33 points per game ...Saban off a loss the previous year and with an extra week to prepare has been good.......
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
Forum Member
May 4, 2005
28,156
1,220
113
65
Bellevue, Nebraska
road favorite SEC opener -8.5 I don't think its enough to take the home dog, thoughts? maybe buy it down to 7 :shrug:

Power rankings have this one at -6 (Sag) and another two I use at -5 and -7 for Bama, generally when the OL is higher than the 3 pwr rankings, the fav generally covers, revenge factor as well as a better "D" in this tilt, Bama took VT because of turnovers and lackluster offensive support, QB for Bama has had this game circled for a year and Saban in revenge factor about 88% win rate the following season, cover rate is only 72%, average margin 11 pts.

A&M with two cupcake games vs Rice & Sammy Hou and both put up points with decent drives. Bama offensively has some explosive players in key areas.

I'm gonna wait until the big boys bang the line around and hope it falls to -6 or less, I have Bama winning by 7!

GL FWIW!

:0003
 

hedgehog

Registered
Forum Member
Oct 30, 2003
32,886
694
113
50
TX
Power rankings have this one at -6 (Sag) and another two I use at -5 and -7 for Bama, generally when the OL is higher than the 3 pwr rankings, the fav generally covers, revenge factor as well as a better "D" in this tilt, Bama took VT because of turnovers and lackluster offensive support, QB for Bama has had this game circled for a year and Saban in revenge factor about 88% win rate the following season, cover rate is only 72%, average margin 11 pts.

A&M with two cupcake games vs Rice & Sammy Hou and both put up points with decent drives. Bama offensively has some explosive players in key areas.

I'm gonna wait until the big boys bang the line around and hope it falls to -6 or less, I have Bama winning by 7!

GL FWIW!

:0003

I am waiting until Friday night/Saturday morning to bet the game too as I think Alabama destroys them
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top