Live dog tonight w/ analysis

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Updated 2005 record:
NFL: 7-2 +$2,700
NCAA Basketball: 30-21 +$3,290
NBA: 7-6 +$340
January Record: 25-17 +$4,000
February Record: 19-12 +$2,330
Overall record: 44-29 60% +$6,330

Hey guys - let's keep things rolling here tonight - looking to bring the winning streak to 4 days in a row and 11 of the last 12 days as winning days...

I have done some capping - and I have concluded that the best live dog out there tonight is LSU.

LSU plays at Mississippi St tonight - which is a difficult place to get a road win - but don't count out an outright victory for LSU here tonight. LSU defeated Miss. St. a mere 3 weeks ago by 7 and I have capped this to be a very close contest, and LSU may just end up on the winning end of it. Miss. St. has a huge game at Kentucky coming up on Saturday - and don't be surprised if they may be overlooking this LSU just a bit here tonight. Both teams sport a 6-4 conference record and LSU is a team that will play hard and fight until the end. Their last game they were down 15 to Arkansas and come back and battled to a 3 point loss - and had a chance to tie the game. Tonight I feel gettting 9 points is very generous for a team that has already beaten Miss. State just 3 weeks ago. I like LSU to play this game close and stay w/in the number and hoping for the outright dog win.

I think they stay within the number here and the moneyline is at LSU +400 - i am giving LSU a 50% chance of winning this game outright tonight - so I am going to divide my play on LSU tonight, putting 4.4 units on the LSU +9 line and a 1 unit wager on the LSU moneyline at +400.

The Play:

LSU +9 game
Risking $440 to win $400

LSU +400 moneyline
Risking $100 to win $400

GL guys - I will be keeping my eye on the halftimes - gonna focus more on halftimes, as those seem to be where we get our best edge...

-SAVE IT
 

buc

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Would have to agree 100% w/ you here. I realize LSU plays their best ball @ home, but just like last outing against (I think it was) Ark. they're getting another 8-9 points which is WAYYYY too many. This is NOT a LOCK but I'll takes those points everyday of the week w/ LSU.
 

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Hey gjn23 - your negative comments are not appreciated - please only bring positive energy - thank you...
 

gjn23

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sorry if you didn't like to hear the truth but lsu stopped making shots and msu cut about a 15 point lead down to 5 with 4 mins left....then again thats probably negative too.

in the end eveybody that had lsu + points and on the ml won.
 

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BOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!!!!! LSU wins outright - game went just how i capped it - they were in the game from start to finish - i gave them a 50% chance of winning outright - and final score LSU 80 Miss. ST 72....nice payday - another winning day!!! This is all for me 1-0 +$800 picking up $400 from the +9 game wager, and $400 from the moneline wager...winning streak back to 4 days and 11 of last 12 days have been winners...can't argue w/ those results...

BUC - congrats man - glad you were on it as well buddy...this was the most solid play on the board today...let's keep on rolling...

I almost pulled the trigger on LSU +6.5 2H - felt that they would win the game outright at that point and the 2H line forced Miss. St. to come back and win the game - line was a little inflated - but decided i'd just be happy w/ where they were at and hope they finished strong as projected...

Now hitting 63% winners for February, 61% winners for the year...and up over the $3K mark for February and $7K for the year - let's keep it up

GL guys - let's get 'em again tomorrow - again only if I see the edge will i play a play - no forced plays here by this capper - gl and it's party time!!!


Updated 2005 record:
NFL: 7-2 +$2,700
NCAA Basketball: 31-21 +$4,090
NBA: 7-6 +$340
January Record: 25-17 60% +$4,000
February Record: 20-12 63% +$3,130
Overall record: 45-29 61% +$7,130
 
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