Lotta Legal Gamblers Took The Pipe

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DeweyOxburger
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Microsoft walks away from Yahoo deal

YAHOO BID PULLED : TAKEOVER TALKS END WITH NO DEAL

By Pete Carey and Elise Ackerman
Mercury News
Article Launched: 05/04/2008 01:32:37 AM PDT

Microsoft Chief Executive Steve Ballmer vowed last week not to pay "a penny" more than he thought Yahoo was worth, and he kept his word Saturday.

After intense weekend negotiations stalemated on price, with the Redmond, Wash., company raising its bid by $5 billion and Yahoo demanding twice that, he walked away from what would have been one of the biggest technology deals ever.

"Clearly a deal is not to be," Ballmer wrote in a letter to Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang.

Yang responded in a statement on Yahoo's Web site: "With the distraction of Microsoft's unsolicited proposal now behind us, we will be able to focus all of our energies on executing the most important transition in our history so that we can maximize our potential to the benefit of our shareholders, employees, partners and users."

The decision sounded genuine and final, and Yahoo's board chairman expressed confidence in Yahoo's stand, but clearly talks could resume if Yahoo's shareholders demand it.

Several analysts expressed surprise at the turn of events.

"It seems like an amazing turn in this whole saga," said Greg Sterling of Sterling Market Intelligence. "Until very, very recently, it appeared this was all but a done deal."

But David Garrity of Dinosaur Research said it appeared to him that Microsoft was acting rationally. "I think the poker was getting to be high-stakes and I think Microsoft did the right thing for the time being by walking away."

But it is by no means certain that this deal is dead. Microsoft certainly can come back with an offer later, especially if Yahoo's stock price falls. Even though he withdrew the offer, Ballmer continued Saturday to emphasize that he thought the deal was best for Yahoo and the Sunnyvale company's shareholders.

"I still believe even today that our offer remains the only alternative put forward that provides your stockholders full and fair value for their shares," Ballmer wrote to Yang.

As Sterling put it, "There are enough twists and turns to this to make me think this is not 100 percent over."

Now, investors will be watching to see how Yahoo's stock performs Monday. It had reached $28.67 a share Friday in expectation of a deal. But it was trading slightly over $19 a share Jan. 31, the day before the Microsoft offer.

Yahoo is taking a calculated risk that shareholders will stick with it in the absence of a deal that originally had offered a 62 percent premium on its share price, and a 70 percent premium with Microsoft's latest offer.

But Chairman Roy Bostock said in a statement that Yahoo's board and managers "have been steadfast in our belief that Microsoft's offer undervalued the company and we are pleased that so many of our shareholders joined us in expressing that view."

Some analysts weren't impressed.

"The board is required to look out for shareholders' interest," observed Martin Pyykkonen of Global Crown Capital. "By letting this slip away, they are not looking out for shareholder interest. . . . I would like to think that Yahoo can survive independently but they are up against a lot of challenges," Pyykkonen said, adding that "no valuation you can come up with" justifies Yahoo's demand for $37 a share.

"I would not want to be a board member of Yahoo and turn down a significant premium offer," he said.

Garrity, of Dinosaur Research, said he thinks Yang "is going to have a number of questions from a wide range of shareholders to respond to. We are in a situation where expectations became divorced from reality."

Ballmer went after Yahoo because he felt that Microsoft, a distant third in online advertising revenue, needed a partner to compete with Google, which dominates online advertising revenue.

"I believed that a combination of our two companies would have created real value for our respective shareholders and would have provided consumers, publishers and advertisers with greater innovation and choice in the marketplace," Ballmer wrote to Yang.

The two sides engaged in intensive negotiations in the days leading up to Saturday's announcement, which occurred a week after the deadline Microsoft had set for Yahoo to respond to its offer.

On Tuesday, Yang and Bostock called Ballmer twice, according to a source familiar with Microsoft's thinking, and told him not to pay attention to the $40-a-share price Yahoo's bankers had earlier discussed with Microsoft.

"That's just the bankers," they told him, according to this source. "Don't walk away. Don't go hostile."

A day later, executives for the two companies met in Palo Alto, and Yang asked for a bid of $38 a share.

On Saturday morning, the source familiar with Microsoft's thinking said, Yang and Yahoo co-founder David Filo flew to Seattle to meet with Ballmer and Microsoft executive Kevin Johnson. Ballmer offered the two $33 a share. The Yahoo board was willing to take $37 a share, Yang and Filo said, according to the source, but the two co-founders wanted more.

A source familiar with Yahoo's thinking said that sounded like a mischaracterization of the Saturday meeting. "Jerry and Filo absolutely had the full backing of the board," the source said.

Both sides agree the meeting ended inconclusively, and Yang and Filo flew back to the Bay Area.

At 4 p.m., Ballmer called Yang and withdrew the offer.

"I feel that our discussions this week have been particularly useful," Ballmer would write Yang, "providing me for the first time with real clarity on what is and is not possible."

Ballmer also indicated that he did not feel a battle for control of Yahoo's board, or a so-called proxy battle, made sense.

"After giving this week's conversations further thought, it is clear to me that it is not sensible for Microsoft to take our offer directly to your shareholders," he wrote.

Another reason Microsoft decided not to pursue such an approach, he said, was because Yahoo indicated it would respond to such a "hostile" bid by outsourcing some advertising sales to Google. Ballmer was especially critical of that, saying it would make a deal for Yahoo "undesirable" by undermining its viability and creating regulatory and legal problems.

The announcement ends weeks of standoff that began with Microsoft's offer of $44.6 billion, or $31 a share, and Yahoo insisting it was worth far more.

Each company has been showing signs of age as the newer, nimbler Google dominates the lucrative business for Internet search advertising and begins to move into Yahoo's territory of Internet display ads.

After years in denial, insiders say, Microsoft realized it had to catch up with Google before the Mountain View company became the next Microsoft - so entrenched that no competitor could dislodge it.
 

vinnie

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speaking of pipes
25surprise.gif
 

saint

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I'm not sure wtf the yahoo folks were thinking. I mean how greedy can you get? The offer they were given was above and beyond what that company is presently worth, don't you think? Am I the only one (who doesn't own yahoo stock) that hopes it takes a nosedive on them for that display of greed?!
 

saint

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AP
Yahoo shares fall 19.7 pct as Microsoft withdraws $44B bid
Monday May 5, 9:41 am ET
Yahoo shares fall 19.7 pct as hopes dim following Microsoft withdrawal of $44B bid

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) -- Investors are trashing Yahoo shares, sending them down 19.7 percent in early trading.

Hopes for the once-dominant search engine are dimming Monday after Microsoft's withdrawal of a nearly $44 billion takeover bid over the weekend. The two companies failed to agree on a price.

Yahoo Inc. Chief Executive Jerry Yang believes Microsoft Corp.'s sweetened bid of $33 per share was still too low. Microsoft would not meet his demand for $37 per share.

Analysts believe Yahoo's stock price will surrender most, perhaps all, of its 50 percent gain since Microsoft made its initial offer on Jan. 31.

In the opening minutes of trading, shares are down $5.64 at $23.03. Shares closed at $28.67 Friday, when investors were hopeful about a deal.
 

dawgball

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I feel that if Yahoo drops much lower, it is a buy because it will get into territory for Microsoft (or someone else) to re-initiate the bid. Without an external buy-out, this company is dead in the water for the long haul.
 

saint

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I feel that if Yahoo drops much lower, it is a buy because it will get into territory for Microsoft (or someone else) to re-initiate the bid. Without an external buy-out, this company is dead in the water for the long haul.

I agree and am trying to decide how long to wait to pull the trigger. I wouldn't be suprised if microsoft ended up buying them in the end. If you had a chance to read the letter from the microsoft ceo it seemed to keep the door open a little. Both companies need each other, microsoft just happened to call yahoo's bluff. There are some unhappy shareholders from what I've read.
 

IntenseOperator

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Listening to Brinker on Sunday, he said Microsoft may have ended up losing in this deal in the long run. He said most, not all, big time tech company mergers tank in the long run.

Many a Microsoft investor wanted no part of this.
 

bsucards

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z


http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=YHOO&t=1d&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

Bill Miller, a portfolio manager for Legg Mason, Yahoo's second-largest shareholder, told the New York Times in a Sunday interview that he would have considered selling to Microsoft for $34 or $35 a share.

While that was more than Microsoft's offer, it was less than the $37 per share Yahoo's board insisted on.



Should be an interesting couple days for sure
 

dawgball

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I wish Microsoft would get back to what they do great and forget about keeping up with Google. They generate a ton of free cash flow and would probably do more so if they stuck to their guns a little more.
 

vinnie

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Yahoo facing shareholder fireworks at July 3 annual meeting By MICHAEL LIEDTKE, AP Business Writer
37 minutes ago



SAN FRANCISCO - When Yahoo Inc. holds its annual meeting July 3, expect fireworks from irate shareholders seeking retribution for the company's decision to remain independent instead of accepting a $47.5 billion takeover offer from Microsoft Corp.

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The first signs of outrage flared Monday as Yahoo's stock plunged 15 percent in reaction to Microsoft withdrawal of its sweetened $33-per-share bid and two lawyers already suing the company's board vowed to amend their complaint to account for a "massive loss in shareholder value."

The breaking point in the 3-month standoff occurred over the weekend when Yahoo co-founders Jerry Yang and David Filo met with Microsoft Chief Executive Steve Ballmer after he had agreed to raise the software maker's bid by about $5 billion, or more than $3 per share. Yang and Filo said Yahoo's board wanted $37 per share ? a price the company's stock hasn't reached in more than two years.

In response, Ballmer pulled his offer off the table.

In an interview Monday, Yang indicated he had expected Ballmer to counter.

"We engaged with them and we wanted to find a way to get something done. But they walked," said Yang, who was named as Yahoo's chief executive officer 11 months ago.

If he wants to remain CEO, Yang probably will have to show his turnaround strategy is compelling enough to propel Yahoo's stock beyond $33 per share within a year.

Yang has promised that a more sophisticated and far-flung ad network will accelerate Yahoo's net revenue growth by at least 25 percent in 2009 and 2010, up from the recent pace of 12 percent increase.

"The company is doing better than three months ago," Yang said Monday. "I think in many ways this (takeover threat) has been good for us. We still have a lot of work to do to demonstrate that we can be successful, and I am focused on that."

But Yang's credibility has been undermined by Yahoo's repeated forecasts of better times ahead while its profits steadily eroded during the past two years.

"We are not willing to give (Yahoo) the benefit of the doubt that they can make meaningful improvement over the next three years," UBS analysts Benjamin Schachter, Heather Bellini and Abhey Lamba wrote in a joint research note.

If Yahoo stumbles, that could entice Microsoft to return with another takeover bid that would be more difficult to turn down.

Venture capitalist Todd Dagres of Spark Capital likened this approach to a crocodile's.

"Rather than try to eat its prey while it's warm and tough, (Microsoft is) dragging it down to the bottom of the river, sticking it under a rock and eating it later when it's cold and soft," he said.

Although Microsoft has publicly indicated it will focus on measures besides buying Yahoo in its effort to make its Internet division profitable, several analysts predicted the software maker will revive its offer in the summer or fall if Yahoo doesn't snap out of its two-year funk ? the weakness that exposed it to an unwanted takeover in the first place.

"Should the frustration of (Yahoo) shareholders come to a boil, we believe (Microsoft) could re-enter the picture, essentially playing the role of the white knight," analyst David Hilal of Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. wrote in a Monday research note.

With similar opinions reverberating through the stock market, Yahoo's stock didn't sink as dramatically as many analysts anticipated. But Yahoo shares shed $4.30 to close at $24.37, wiping out nearly half the gain they had made since Microsoft made its bid Jan. 31. The drop left the Sunnyvale-based company's market value about $12.5 billion below Microsoft's last offer.

Yahoo's stock price was $19.18 before Microsoft made its offer.

"I was expecting to see a more extreme reaction" to Microsoft's withdrawn bid, Stanford Group analyst Clayton Moran said. "Microsoft is trying to make it seem like it's not coming back (with another bid), but this somewhat muted reaction shows the market isn't buying it."

If Microsoft returned with a "real offer and a real proposal," Yang said, "we would be happy to listen."

Yang figures to get an earful from irate shareholders at the annual meeting. Yahoo finally set the meeting for July 3 after indefinitely postponing it in early spring as part of its effort to foil a possible hostile takeover attempt by Microsoft.

Now it may be Yahoo's shareholders who try to oust Yang and the rest of Yahoo's board instead of Ballmer, who had threatened an attempt to dump the 10 directors if they didn't accept Microsoft's offer.

Lawyers for two Detroit-based public pension funds that sued Yahoo in February, alleging it failed in its duty to act in shareholders' best interests, will amend their complaint to include the weekend's events, according to a statement Monday from the firm, Bernstein Litowitz Berger & Grossmann.

Meanwhile, Google Inc., whose dominance in online search triggered Microsoft's bid, appears poised to grow even stronger.

Unnerved by the prospect of its two biggest rivals joining forces, Google reached out to Yahoo to help thwart Microsoft's bid.

The collaboration has prompted Yahoo to consider turning over some of its advertising space to Internet search leader Google, whose technology yields higher profits from commercial links. If Yahoo announces an ad partnership with Google, that could preclude a renewed bid from Microsoft because Ballmer thinks the alliance will diminish Yahoo's long-term value.

Many analysts share Ballmer's opinion. While Google could boost Yahoo revenue by anywhere from $850 million to $1.6 billion annually, it might also hurt Yahoo by undercutting the appeal of its own ad platform.

An alliance between Google and Yahoo also would cause regulatory headaches because antitrust officials would to take a hard look at the partnership because the companies combined control more than 80 percent of the Internet's search advertising market.

While analysts debated how Yahoo and Microsoft should proceed, most agreed Google will benefit from the aborted takeover attempt.

Even if Google doesn't end up selling ads on Yahoo's heavily trafficked Web site, it has kept some of the Internet's biggest services out of Microsoft's clutches.

"We believe Google is a major winner given the failure of the Yahoo bid," Stifel Nicolaus analyst George Askew wrote in a Monday note. "Google is well positioned to continue to gain market share, benefit from any Yahoo (advertising) deal, and exploit any ongoing chaos at Yahoo and Microsoft."

Google shares gained $13.61, or 2.3 percent, to close at $594.90 Monday.

Time Warner Inc. also appears to be in a better negotiating position if it decides to sell its struggling AOL subsidiary, as many analysts anticipate.

Yahoo had been mulling a possible combination with AOL's online operations as a defensive measure against Microsoft. Now, Microsoft may make a run at AOL if it's interest in buying Yahoo is truly dead. And if Microsoft enters the picture, Google might offer to increase its 5 percent stake in AOL just to repel Microsoft.

A long list of Internet startups also could be in line for big windfalls if Microsoft and Yahoo step up their efforts to acquire more online weapons to challenge Google. And if Microsoft and Yahoo go shopping, Google has plenty of cash to get into bidding wars for potential takeover targets like Digg Inc., LinkedIn Corp. and Facebook Inc.

"Freed of one another, Yahoo and Microsoft are buyout prospectors: we would expect a rush-to-deal environment," BMO Capital Markets analyst Leland Westerfield.

Most analysts believe Microsoft has to make some kind of bold move after its online division lost $745 million through the first nine months of the company's fiscal year.

"Any notion of simply returning to the original, pre-Yahoo strategy is likely to be insufficiently defined and credible," Bernstein Research analyst Charles Di Bona wrote in a Monday note.

In a mild surprise, Microsoft shares fell 16 cents to $29.08 Monday. Most analysts thought the stock would climb because investors had driven down the shares during the last three months on worries that a Yahoo takeover would turn into an expensive mess.
 
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