Louisiana Tech Total

[forest29]

Lurk alot, post every once in a while.

Lousiana Tech Team Total O17 -110 (Nine.com)

Tech as scored at least 27 in 7 of 10 games this year. Scored less than 17 in only three games, two of which were away against Florida and Kansas to start the season.

Seems like a good value to me.

Thoughts?

:wall:

 

[buddha]

they have scored an average of 27 points against teams under 500 against teams over 500 they have scored an average of 14.5 points and they get a fresno team looking for redemption and have a record of 8 and 3 above 500 remember they schooled a boise state squad at home allowing that long td run in the 1st quarter but not letting boise get their offense going. remember fresno is undeafeated at home a perfect 5-0 and beat teams by an average score of 45-13 pretty impressive if you ask me. personally i dont think la tech is a value bet

 

[forest29]

LaTech actually averages 36.5 to teams below .500 but that's besides the point. Fresno has allowed 29.8 per game to teams over .500 (throw out the USC shootout and it's still 24.75 per game). Their home record is against teams with a combined record of .517, a good record at home nonetheless, but not exactly against dominant competition. Tech leads the conference in forced turnovers and turnover margin and are like 15th in the country in turnover margin so I think they create some addtional opportunites for themselves.

Any event, I believe Fresno wins, they are a good team, but I also believe Tech hangs long enough to put up the 17+

GLTY

 

[buddha]

you are correct they do give up 29.8 points a game against teams over 500 but all games were on the road. fresno is at home today and believe me fresno plays tough at home. the teams that they played on the road and gave up 29.8 points were USC / OREGON/NEVADA HMMM LET ME FIGURE THAT ONE OUT. TOTAL RECORD BETWEEN 3 TEAMS 28 AND 5 GO FIGURE but i do agree on one thing fresno wins but wont cover the final. playing the half if you read my earlier post i got this game fresno 34 la. tech 13 under 58 fresno will rest their starters in the fourth quarter.

 

[forest29]

Wow, I also had Tech O 7 1/2 for the 1H, cashed them both before the half.

Like I said, turnovers=opportunities.

Happy Hapy Joy Joy!

:em71: :em71: :em71: :lol2

 

[trolln4walii]

Nice call forest! :thumb:

 

[forest29]

Thanks Trolln

 

[DerekNJND]

fresno is at home today and believe me fresno plays tough at home.

YAH

Fresno's cheerleaders are the only ones who are tough at home

 

[forest29]

:mj07: :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

 

[blgstocks]

great call forrest, just wish i could have seen that posts befre the game started.

Who saw this one coming though, I heard so many posts about Pinnegar (however you spell it) showboating for pro scouts tonight

I didn't recap the stats but I swear he completed more passes to Tech than he did to his team

correct me if im wrong

 

[forest29]

Oh, he gave the scouts a show alright. The kid's probably crying like his newborn baby this mornin, he lost a whole lot more than a football game last night.

Sorry you didn't see the post in time.

GLTY today.