Loy-Md v opponents (Field Goal Attempts)

[buddy]

Prior to their game at Maryland, Loy-Md's opponents did the following....

St Peter's shot the ball 25 more times than Loyola
Canisius 14 more times
Siena 17 more times
Rider 15 more times

 

[Box and one]

Buddy,but as long as they covered in those games the other team can shoot 20 more times.
Loy-Md is bad.Throw the maryland game out.In MAAC on the road they lost to Siena,Iona and Fairfield by 16,12 and 12.And covered all of them.They are 4-1 as an away dog.
Will post more info later.

 

[buddy]

Box,

Loyola's Last Five Games:

+39.....@ Maryland.....58-85.....+2 ats (most recent)

+1.......v ST PETERS....54-73.....-18 ats

+6.......v CANISIUS.....65-79.......-8 ats

+18....@ Siena...........65-81.......+2 ats

+5.......v RIDER..........74-69.......+10 ats *****


***** = In this game, Loyola shot 23/47 for 49%. Rider shot 15 more times, but only shot 23/62 for 27%

I think Loyola's last two narrow ats road covers (+2 / +2) does not bode well for this team. Couple that stat to a team which is bad to begin with and I think their ats luck on the road comes to a halt today.

jmo.

 

[taker02000]

Not that it really matters, but they covered Maryland by 12 points...

 

[Box and one]

Taker,I forgot to mention that.I was throwing in MAAC games.
Buddy,you might be right.It's as small play for me.Magarity is so upset with his team.If he gets the chance to beat up on someone he will.
I just see it as a 8-10 pt game.I had the line at 9.So I feel I'm getting a small gift at 13. GL

 

[Heyward]

Marist has also not been impressive at home. Lost to Siena and Rider each by 13 points recently. Sure, Loyola lost at Siena by 16 but that's only a 3 point difference, so the 12.5 line is hard to figure out. Loyola lost at Manhattan by 12, Marist lost to them at home 8, Loyola lost at Fairfield by 12, Marist lost to them at home by 9, etc., etc. Frankly, I'm not seeing much difference.

Now, of course, I see Marist as one of fletcher's picks, and I've always respected his opinion, but I just don't see it. Eric, if you see this, any info I'm not considering?

 

[djv]

:bigun: :toast: GL

 

[buddy]

Taker,

Thanks for the heads up on the math mistake.

That's one of my problems with trying to do these math calculations. A mistake by a single digit can be very misleading in relation to an ATS trend.

I'm a firm believer ats margins are very important, but since this mistake was identified, it does change things in regards to my stand on this game.

Marists' Last Five Games:

+17.....@ Manhattan.....53-74.....-4 ats

+11'....@ Siena.............79-74.....+16' ats

-3'......v RIDER...............60-73.....-16' ats

+1......v SIENA................68-81.....-12 ats

+7.....@ Iona..................74-88......-7 ats


In terms of ats margins, team roles and venues, there's nothing very impressive in this portfolio either.

The win/cover at Siena is a plus and the most recent -4 ats no cover at Manhattan is understandable given the Jaspars have been red hot.

This game is like choosing the lesser of two evils.

I call the recent performance a draw, but the common opponent edge has to go to Loyola.

What to do?

:shrug: