LPGA Tournament of Champions

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Hee-Won Han to win 18/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
The only one of the selections to have played in both South Korea and Japan before the return to North America, but this is something that she has done in each of the last two years (her only previous appearances in this event) and it has not harmed her performance: in 2003 was never out of the top-3 all week, eventually losing in a playoff for the title, and last year she recovered from a slow start to finish 6th. Having finished 1st and 2nd in her last two starts in North America, she is certainly playing well enough to continue her form on this course.

Carin Koch to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, William Hill and Ladbrokes
Koch displayed how much of a course specialist she can be with her third 2nd place finish in five years in the Nine Bridges Classic two weeks ago and that is also a mark she has achieved on this course (2002). With finishes of 5th and 7th in two of her other three appearances here, this is clearly another course on which she can be termed a specialist and so deserves support at these odds.

Catriona Matthew to win 40/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Matthew finished alongside Koch in 2nd place in 2002 and with no worse than 17th in her four starts on this course, her course form is good enough. She may have played poorly in her last outing in South Korea, but with six top-10 finishes in her previous seven starts (and finishing 18th on the other occasion), such a bad outing can easily be dismissed. Matthew certainly does not win enough relative to the times that she is in contention, but these odds and a field without Sorenstam are adequate compensation.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Matchup plays (1.5pts)

Catriona Matthew to beat Sophie Gustafson -130 @ Centrebet
Gustafson finished ahead of Matthew in their last common event in South Korea two weeks ago, but she had not finished ahead of the Scot any previous event since July. And in terms of their performances in North American strokeplay events, the imbalance is even clearer. In their 18 such events this year, Matthew has finished ahead of Gustafson 16 times, the last time being in May. So having also finished ahead of her three times out of four on this course, Matthew should be a much clearer favourite this week.

Liselotte Neumann to beat Nicole Perrot -114 @ Expekt
Perrot makes her debut in this event following her shock victory in the Longs Drugs Challenge last month - her last top-10 finish in a strokeplay event had been in April at the Takefuji Classic. Her win did mean that she finished ahead of Neumann who was 3rd last week, but it was the first time that she had finished ahead of her since the Michelob Ultra Open over five months beforehand. That win was the result of a career week and should not be repeated this week on a course on which she is making her debut. That makes Neumann, who finished in the top-10 last year, a strong favourite to resume her dominance in this matchup.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts

Han 17th
Koch 7th
Matthew 27th

All three had chances throughout the week to finish in the top-4 and it had looked very promising in the early stages, but not by the weekend.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1; -0.45pts

Matthew/Gustafson LOST by 9
Neumann/Perrot WON by 13

Disappointing split as Matthew held a seven-shot lead over Gustafson during the 2nd round, but it was all downhill from there!

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-60; +0.52pts
Matchups: 47-22; +64.64pts
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top