LSU -3 over Miss St

LetsMakeMoney

~Gambla~
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Mar 6, 2005
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A number being lower than I thought it would be not gonna sway my opinion. Have lost numerous games taking a dog because "the line looked too low"

gut instinct campaign '11

Amen brotha,i'm doing the same from here on out back to the old ways...too much overthinking and capping is not good :nono:
 

ryanmcgwyer

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Sportsbook has Lsu minus 3.5 at -120. I am going to pound Lsu and he under. Aside from a bunch of turnovers Lsu wins this game
easily. A line of 3.5 is an insult. Memphis had nearly 400 yards of offense, auburn 500 yards? Lsu gave up 50 yards to James of Oregon and negative yards last week. I don't think you have seen a defense lime this in a while. Put some money on the tigers and the under and watch the game. Lsu wins and covers if they don't turn it over more than 3 times.
 

Rebel21

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I'm completely confused by this line
A top 5 team that beat a Preseason top 5 team convincingly is playing a team THEY OWN who just lost to a team that basically lost AT home to Utah State???
Talent differential is immense

Color me confused...but I'll bite
 

Soko

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I'm completely confused by this line
A top 5 team that beat a Preseason top 5 team convincingly is playing a team THEY OWN who just lost to a team that basically lost AT home to Utah State???
Talent differential is immense

Color me confused...but I'll bite


I am also puzzled but I've taken it at -3
 

GolfGuruAU

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I'm locked in -2.5. It already has me nervous seeing all the LSU bets placed and zero line movement. Anyone else feel this way? Usually when I think one is this easy it never is. Trying not to over think it but damn.
 

in the black

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Last 5 years of ESPN Thursday night football.


Home team is 47-27 ATS on Thursday night
25-16 (.610) as a favorite
22-11 (.667) as a dog

Of the 22 covers by the home dogs 18 were outright wins.Includes outright wins as 9.5,9.5,10.5,and 24 point dogs.
 
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Hashish

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Last 5 years of ESPN Thursday night football.


Home team is 47-27 ATS on Thursday night
25-16 (.610) as a favorite
22-11 (.667) as a dog

Of the 22 covers by the home dogs 18 were outright wins.Includes outright wins as 9.5,9.5,10.5,and 24 point dogs.

Good info. Thanks for posting.
 

bulldog

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like lsu myself -3 against my dogs but somethink here smells bad. Really think it is a bad line and think i know about as much as vegas does about these 2 teams.

been trapped before and probably will be again thursday night

lsu -3 big play
 

Statman02

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Do you really think that the bookmakers would put out a bad line.....these guys have their breakfast.....lunch and dinner and their Cadillacs riding on every line....I doubt if they make many mistakes....I can tell by the most outspoken LSU supporters logos that they are LSU fans......so LSU has won the last 11 games against MSU by 20 something points a game.......Its an 11 game revenge game for MSU.....if you believe in revenge this is SUPER revenge......the big SEC supporters in here like to say all games in the SEC are tough.......well here is a SEC home dog in prime time.....you better believe theyr'e gonna be ready.....GO MSU and sorry about all you guys that are going to lose your houses
 

el JB

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it's true many MJ'ers have been SCREAMING TRAP on this one, and ALL the signs of line movement are quite scary as too low to compensate for the majority of bets on LSU....but then we have to open up to the possibility of this game BEING RIGGED....which i DON'T BUY....and to take a team just because no one else will ?:shrug: :SIB :nono:
 

Cie

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LSU O is no peach, to say the least. When you guys see how Lee reacts to pressure, you'll know why this line is in the 3.5-4 range. In baton rouge, this line would be LSU -10 to -11 imo, so this line appear to be within a reasonable range.

Backing LSU as a road fav is scary imo, even though I expect them to win the game behind stout D and sound ground attack. I question the effectiveness of the MSU LB corps, but I also acknowledge that Aub puts far more pressure on opposing defenses than LSU.

Another point that has not been mentioned is that LSU frosh punter, Brad Wing, is questionable. He is a massive weapon, and while most of you haven't heard of him, he'll go down as one of the best punters in college football history when he leaves LSU for the NFL. Given LSU offensive woes, I think he is a pivotal player for the Tigers.

GLTA
 

el JB

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it's true many MJ'ers have been SCREAMING TRAP on this one, and ALL the signs of line movement are quite scary as too low to compensate for the majority of bets on LSU....but then we have to open up to the possibility of this game BEING RIGGED....which i DON'T BUY....and to take a team just because no one else will ?:shrug: :SIB :nono:

THIS IS A NO WAY JOSE PLAY!!!!!!:00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour
 

ryanmcgwyer

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Statman, yes I do think the line was wrong. I said all week it was 5 to 7 points too low. The
Line had everyone paranoid and saved Vegas some money. I follow Lsu, not a homer I bet against them all the time. But there 3-0 against the chalk this season so show the tigers some respect and start making some money already.
 
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