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2014 NFL REGULAR SEASON WINS
TEAM WINS OVER UNDER
CARDINALS 7.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
FALCONS 8.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110
RAVENS 8.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
BILLS 6.5 OVER -130 UNDER +110
PANTHERS 8.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110
BEARS 8.0 OVER -140 UNDER +120
BENGALS 9.0 OVER -135 UNDER +115
BROWNS 6.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130
COWBOYS 8.0 OVER -110 UNDER -110
BRONCOS 11.0 OVER -140 UNDER +120
LIONS 8.0 OVER -150 UNDER +130
PACKERS 10.0 OVER -145 UNDER +125
TEXANS 7.5 OVER -145 UNDER +125
COLTS 9.5 OVER +130 UNDER -150
JAGUARS 4.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130
CHIEFS 8.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
DOLPHINS 8.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130
VIKINGS 6.0 OVER +105 UNDER -125
PATRIOTS 10.5 OVER -135 UNDER +115
SAINTS 9.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130
GIANTS 7.5 OVER -135 UNDER +115
JETS 7.0 OVER -125 UNDER +105
RAIDERS 5.0 OVER +130 UNDER -150
EAGLES 9.0 OVER +115 UNDER -135
STEELERS 8.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
CHARGERS 8.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
49ERS 10.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
SEAHAWKS 11.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
RAMS 7.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110
BUCS 7.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN
TITANS 7.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110
REDSKINS 7.5 OVER +125 UNDER -145
**TEAMS MUST PLAY 16 REGULAR SEASON GAMES FOR ACTION**
**NO PARLAYS**
**A TIE GAME IS CONSIDERED A LOSS TOWARDS NUMBER OF REGULAR SEASON WINS**
CC from Ess-pen yesterday released his Division winners and predictions, I'll put those next to each team along with my analysis FWIW for 2014. We have to remember, pre-season can wreak havoc on a season when you are picking total wins/losses for a 16 game only season as post-season does not count.
CARDINALS 7.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC predicts 9-7.
Team was 10-6 last year, I like OVER 7 1/2, 2nd year team chemistry and better running game will be focal point in PS.
FALCONS 8.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110 - CC predicts 9-7. 6 losses by less than 6 pts LY.
I see 8-8, they lost Gonzo and running game is just ok, Julio Jones should be healthy, PUSH
RAVENS 8.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC loves them to rebound, 10-6.
Ravens were 8-8 LY, as long as off-season crap doesn't come into locker room and on the field, I think Ravens can go 10-6 at worse. OVER
BILLS 6.5 OVER -130 UNDER +110 - CC respects them at 7-9.
I don't think EJ Manuel is that good of a QB for the NFL, Buff had 3 wins by less than 3 pts LY, all give away wins by their opp, Miami, Carolina and Baltimore, that won't happen again this year. I see 5-11 or 6-10.
PANTHERS 8.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110 - CC thinks they blow up and lose 4 more than they won in 2013?
12-4 team last year with sound running game, maturing QB and system in place and a "D" that's steadily improving and a weak division, 10-6 OVER!
BEARS 8.0 OVER -140 UNDER +120 - CC loves them, thinks they will go far in 2014, 10-6.
Team went 8-8 LY with a banged up Cutler and BU QB starting a lot of games. Good receiving core, system in place for 2nd year and strong running game, focal point will be "D" this year. I do see a 10-6 record too. OVER
BENGALS 9.0 OVER -135 UNDER +115 - CC calls Dalton "soft", 9-7.
Cincy went 11-5 LY and in a division where they and Ravens should be improved, Cleve and Pitt on downswing. See a 10-6 at worse record for a bunch that has been together now for over 3 years.
BROWNS 6.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130 - CC says they will be "fun". 6-10.
Team went 4-12 last year. Hoyer should be healthy and when he is, he's a very good QB, running game and receiving core will be focus along with new HC with a new system in place. I don't see 3 more wins than last year so I will say UNDER.
COWBOYS 8.0 OVER -110 UNDER -110 - CC says they will implode, Tony Romo will fade after 13 games played with his back, finish at 5-11.
Team went 8-8 last yr in a div with an improved Philly team and a NYG team that sucked, Eli led league in INTs and NYG "D" sucked. So Dallas will probably finish with same 8-8 record at best. PUSH
BRONCOS 11.0 OVER -140 UNDER +120 - CC says 11-5, lots of FA moves in off-season.
Super Bowl team went 13-3 last year and are off humiliating SB loss. So what kind of team shows up this year? KC & SD both will be improved with 2nd yr systems in place and with starting QBs back, so pressure on Denver to repeat in their DIV for sure. 5-3 or 6-2 Div record, out of division winnable games Indy at home in revenge mode from LY in Indy. Arizona at home, not an easy one. NYJ away, New England away won't be easy, STL should win, Miami should win at home, Buffalo at home should be a win, Cincy away a toughie so, we're looking at 11-5 or 12-4. PASS
LIONS 8.0 OVER -150 UNDER +130 - CC says bad hire on Jim Caldwell, 6-10.
Lions finished 7-9 last year, they have pieces in place again, but is there any team chemistry and leadership in the lockeroom? Megatron can't win by himself and Stafford needs protection and their "D" needs to improve big time. 7-9 or 8-8 looks like a repeat.
PACKERS 10.0 OVER -145 UNDER +125 - CC says 10-6.
Team went 8-7-1 last year with Rodgers out for a big spell. Lots of injuries to OL and D last year and TE. There should be some improvement in 2nd yr players and overall chemistry. 4-2 or 5-1 Div record on paper, out of div, winnable games vs Jets, Miami, Atlanta, Buffalo, Tampa, so that's 10-6 or 11-5. PASS
TEXANS 7.5 OVER -145 UNDER +125 - CC says the team bailed LY on HC.
Team was 2-14 last year. They got rid of Schaub and now have new HC in O'Brien who did a very good job at Penn St but this is the NFL folks and he's been there as an AC with New Eng, I'm not sold on their QBs they have in camp and they should be better, but now have to learn a new system and "D" needs to improve on their 2013 performance. So 6 more wins this year than last year? I don't see it. 6-10 finish. UNDER
COLTS 9.5 OVER +130 UNDER -150 - CC loves them, 12-4, best QB he feels.
Indy went 11-5 last year. I see them duplicating that record as long as the team can keep Luck healthy, they have a road game at Denver (revenge in Mile High City for Broncos), Philly at home in wk 2 to begin with, but have winnable games out of div vs Dallas, Cleve, Pitt, NYG, Cincy, and tossups vs Balt & New Eng. 12-4 OVER!!
JAGUARS 4.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130 - CC says 6-10.
Team finished 4-12 LY with new HC and QB shuffling. Lost MJD. LY they swept Hou, beat Tenn & Cleve. TY they should go 1-5 or 2-4 in Div and out of div only winnable games would be vs Washington (coin flip), Cleveland (coin flip) Miami (Coin flip) and NYG (Giants better on paper, so another 4-12 finish looks likely, but one more win would put them at 5-11. PASS
CHIEFS 8.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC says 7-9. Really?
This was the surprise team I felt last year overall, they had only 2 wins in 2012 then went 11-5 LY? That's not a mirage folks. 2nd year chemistry in place, QB back in place and sound running game and improving "D". Should go 4-2 or 3-3 in Div and out of div winnable games vs Miami, Tenn, in first 3 weeks. Also STL at home, Jets @ home, @ Buffalo, @ Pitt, So 10-6 for me, OVER!!
DOLPHINS 8.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130 - CC says 5-11.
Team went 8-8 LY and Taneyhill with 2nd year system and HC in place, they are 3 less in wins than LY? At best 3-3 in Div, winnable games out of div vs Jags, Det, Minn. so 7-9? PASS
VIKINGS 6.0 OVER +105 UNDER -125 - CC says 5-11.
Team not that much better on paper than LY in my opinion, they have a New HC in Zimmer coming in, probably a new starting QB, but the games' best RB in Adrian Petersen but he must stay healthy and teams will key on the running game and the "D" really isn't that good and lost Jared Allen. They were 5-10-1 last year, and I see 4-12 or 5-11 as well, so UNDER is my lean right now!!
PATRIOTS 10.5 OVER -135 UNDER +115 - CC says 11-5.
Team was 12-4 LY, they have Gronk back but will he make a big diff? Team always finds some players to step up to the plate, but they need to have a strong running game and TB isn't getting any younger and is getting a step slower and predictable. This year's schedule has them with KC, Cincy, Denver, Indy and SD, all teams that finished above 500 LY and were playoff teams. They should go at worse 4-2 in div, could go 6-0, so can they get 5 wins out of div out of 8 games? PASS
SAINTS 9.5 OVER -150 UNDER +130 - CC says 10-6 one of better HC in the game.
2nd year with HC back at helm, lots of pieces back in place, running game will be focal point to improve along with "D". Team went 11-5 LY, I see that again this year. OVER.
GIANTS 7.5 OVER -135 UNDER +115 - CC says new off coordinator and aging team, 7-9.
Who'da thunk that Eli would throw so many INTs LY and the team would implode like it did? Eli will bounce back and I'm certain HC will have team focused better in 2014, they should go 3-3 in Div and be able to carve out 4 wins out of div so will that go over 7 1/2? UGH!! Out of Div games vs Detroit, Arizona, Houston, Atlanta, Indy, Seattle, SF, Jags, Tenn, STL, I see probably 5 or 6 wins, so 8-8 or 9-7? Leaning OVER slightly.
JETS 7.0 OVER -125 UNDER +105 - CC says 9-7.
Team went 8-8 last year and I don't see much improvement on paper. Geno will have Vick to compete with, but is that enough? Out of div games vs Oakland, Green Bay, Chicago, Detroit in the first 4 weeks, looks like 2-2 at best. San Diego, Denver, KC, Pitt, Minnesota, Tenn looks like another 2-4 or 3-3 at best, so that's 4-6 or 5-5, can they get 3 div wins vs Miami/Buff/NE? PUSH at 7-9.
RAIDERS 5.0 OVER +130 UNDER -150 - CC says 5-11, QB iffy situation. Line now is 4 1/2 -225/+180.
I like the vets on the roster, pre-season will dictate how well they do in regular season, there is some talent here at skill positions, schedule is very tough however, team finished 4-12 last year. I already played them over 5 at +125. I'll stick to that one.
EAGLES 9.0 OVER +115 UNDER -135 - CC says win their Div, go 10-6.
I agree 11-5 for me on paper, 2nd year in the system and better talent assembled in off-season and draft. D should be much improved. OVER
STEELERS 8.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC says team is imploding, Hailey and Big Ben at each other? 7-9.
Team finished 8-8 last year, they had trouble protecting Ben and their HC is a goof ball. He has no business being a HC!! They added some pieces in the draft, but it takes time for them to develop in the NFL. I see another 8-8 finish in a tough div. Out of div games vs Carolina, TB, Jags, Hou, Indy, Tenn, Atl, NO, KC, lucky to get 4 or 5 wins out of those and 2-4 or 3-3 in DIV that's 6-10 to 8-8.
CHARGERS 8.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC likes Rivers, 8-8.
Ok this team finished 9-7 last year, better than I thought with a new HC in town. Rivers has some receivers and OL is back, D is improved and div is very competitive. Out of div games vs AZ, SEA, BUFF and Jags first 4 weeks, looks like 2-2 or possible 3-1 to start. Jets, STL, Balt, NE, SF as well, looks like 2 wins out of those, another 9-7 season, OVER.
49ERS 10.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC likes them, 11-5.
Niners finished 12-4 LY and were close to getting to SB, Seattle bested them. I think with Kaep signing and pieces back in place, team should be improved and a lil more mature. 5-1 or 6-0 Div record possible, out of div games, Dallas, Chi, Philly, 3 out of 4 first games with Zona on the road will be tough test for this team. KC, NO, NYG, Wash, Oak, SD all winnable games. I like them 11-5 or 12-4, so leaning OVER
SEAHAWKS 11.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC thinks their may be a hangover this year. 10-6.
Focus will be on the Super Bowl Champ, but they have pieces back in place again and added in the draft, Norwood may be a sleeper at WR from Bama. 4-2 or 3-3 at worse in Div, out of div schedule shows Green Bay, SD, Den in first 3 weeks, Wash, DAL, Car, OAK, NYG, KC, @ Philly, which looks like at least 5-2 or 4-3 at worse. So 11-5 or 10-6? PASS
RAMS 7.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110 - CC likes their HC but thinks change at QB is needed, 7-9.
Team went 7-9 LY and were lucky to do that imho. 7 1/2 is a lot of wins with a gimp QB and all the off-field talk about Sam and so forth, but Sam hasn't made the team, he'll have to earn a spot and this is the NFL, not the USFL or WFL. Division is the toughest and lucky for them to get more than 2 wins, AZ will be improved and SF & Seattle won't go down easily. They beat Seattle by a fluke after Seattle's home/road/home/road east to west weeks caught up to them and Seattle will remember that 14-9 Loss on TV from last year. Out of Div games for STL are Minn, Tampa, Dallas & Philly first 4 of 5 weeks with bye in Week 4, KC, Den, SD, Oak, Wash, NYG after that out of div, lucky to get 3 or more wins there, so 6-10 or 5-11? UNDER 7 1/2.
BUCS 7.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN - CC says 6-10. Team went 4-12 with rookie QB Glennon LY. They have new HC with NFL experience and TB background in Lovie Smith. Div wins will be tough to find but should go 2-4 there, out of div games vs Pitt, Balt, Minn, Cleve, Wash, Chi, Cincy, Det, GB, looks like on paper, 3 or 4 winnable games or 5- 6 wins? UNDER!!
TITANS 7.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110 - CC says 5-11, Locker sucks. Vegas really thinks a team that was 7-9 last year will repeat that in wins this year? Whisenhunt isn't a bad HC, but he's got to turn over a few key areas and get a QB that has balls and can throw a ball. Division games they will be lucky to get 3 wins at best, I feel 2-4, that leaves 5 wins vs out of div teams, KC, Dall, Cincy, Balt, Pitt, NYG, NYJ, Cleve, Wash, with that said I only see 2 or 3 wins there, so that's a 4-12 or 5-11 record. UNDER!
REDSKINS 7.5 OVER +125 UNDER -145 - CC says 7-9. A 3-13 team with a gimp unproven NFL QB in Griffin back, there is a capable BU QB but he didn't have a great 2nd year as a BU to Griffin and Morris took a dump after strong season in 2012. I don't see 5 more wins than last year but again I thought the same with the Chiefs, plus now you have a new HC in Gruden who's supposed to be an offensive guru. Ok so lets say Wash gets 3 wins out of 6 div games, out of div they need 5 wins vs the teams like, Houston, Jags in the first 2 weeks is likely, Seattle at home, @ AZ, Tenn at home, Minn away, TB home, @ SF & Indy, STL @ home, I only see 4 wins at the most there, so 7-9 finish? Leaning UNDER
That's all!! Enjoy!
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