College football YTD : 30-15
A game contested to be MAC champions is kinda like a contest to be tallest midget. It will feel good to the victor but really has little value in the grand scheme of things. Both of these teams were much, much better last season yet no other MAC teams could rise up to prevent a rematch of last years game.
I'd be lying if I had a strong read on this one so I favor a total play based on a few things. Neither NIU or BG possess a vertical passing game that has much in the way of quick strike capabilities. Another reason is that I like the match up of NIU's rushing attack against a BG defense that is pretty weak against the run. They are weak against the pass as well but if NIU can run it on them they will all night. BG gives up 6 ypp. which is awful, only Eastern gave up more yards per play.
All that said, I don't trust NIU enough to lay points and won't.Their offense is far less dynamic than it was with guys like Lynch and Harnish at QB the last few years.
Key stats: BG has not topped 30 points in their last five games nor has NIU allowed more 24 in their last 5 games.
This leads me to:
BG team total under 29 (2)
A game contested to be MAC champions is kinda like a contest to be tallest midget. It will feel good to the victor but really has little value in the grand scheme of things. Both of these teams were much, much better last season yet no other MAC teams could rise up to prevent a rematch of last years game.
I'd be lying if I had a strong read on this one so I favor a total play based on a few things. Neither NIU or BG possess a vertical passing game that has much in the way of quick strike capabilities. Another reason is that I like the match up of NIU's rushing attack against a BG defense that is pretty weak against the run. They are weak against the pass as well but if NIU can run it on them they will all night. BG gives up 6 ypp. which is awful, only Eastern gave up more yards per play.
All that said, I don't trust NIU enough to lay points and won't.Their offense is far less dynamic than it was with guys like Lynch and Harnish at QB the last few years.
Key stats: BG has not topped 30 points in their last five games nor has NIU allowed more 24 in their last 5 games.
This leads me to:
BG team total under 29 (2)

