MAC Hoops Wednesday 2/11 ::: 2nd GOY Inside
- Thread starter hellah10
- Start date
I don't see anything wrong with a 50 unit play if you think you have a huge edge on a game.
A friend of mine who makes a living at college football routinely bets between $2000 and $15,000 for most plays, but his game of the year this year was Central Florida over Central Michigan on October 25. He bet $50,000 on Central Florida @ -7, and the line got pushed to -11.
They won by 18.
He capped it as Central Florida -17.
So depending on what you'd call a unit for him, that's 25 units if 1 unit is $2000 and 50 units if 1 unit is $1000.
With Kelly Criterion betting, you are supposed to fire a much larger % of your bankroll on games with massive perceived edges. If you lose that game, your future bets will just be a % of a lesser bankroll. But you take that chance in certain situations, because if the edge is that big, then the reward is worth the risk.
At blackjack, if I know I am going to be dealt an ACE as my first card, I have a 52% edge on that bet. So basically I can bet around $40,000 on that hand if my bankroll is $100,000. If I lose the $40,000, then I MUST readjust and assume a $60,000 bank and then fire just under $24,000 on the next bet.... and so forth. In that spot, with a 52% edge every hand, I WILL GET RICH, BELIEVE ME, as long as I adjust my bankroll and bets after each hand.
SO GOOD LUCK HELLAH!!! WHACK EM!!! GO EASTERN MICHIGAN!!!
A friend of mine who makes a living at college football routinely bets between $2000 and $15,000 for most plays, but his game of the year this year was Central Florida over Central Michigan on October 25. He bet $50,000 on Central Florida @ -7, and the line got pushed to -11.
They won by 18.
He capped it as Central Florida -17.
So depending on what you'd call a unit for him, that's 25 units if 1 unit is $2000 and 50 units if 1 unit is $1000.
With Kelly Criterion betting, you are supposed to fire a much larger % of your bankroll on games with massive perceived edges. If you lose that game, your future bets will just be a % of a lesser bankroll. But you take that chance in certain situations, because if the edge is that big, then the reward is worth the risk.
At blackjack, if I know I am going to be dealt an ACE as my first card, I have a 52% edge on that bet. So basically I can bet around $40,000 on that hand if my bankroll is $100,000. If I lose the $40,000, then I MUST readjust and assume a $60,000 bank and then fire just under $24,000 on the next bet.... and so forth. In that spot, with a 52% edge every hand, I WILL GET RICH, BELIEVE ME, as long as I adjust my bankroll and bets after each hand.
SO GOOD LUCK HELLAH!!! WHACK EM!!! GO EASTERN MICHIGAN!!!
Been taking your MAC picks for a while Hellah.
GOY is all I need to buck up. The MAC King.
2nd, 3rd, 10th i don't care
GL man!
GOY is all I need to buck up. The MAC King.
2nd, 3rd, 10th i don't care
GL man!
Thanks for the kind words fellas...good luck to us
adding...
Miami(OH) +1
re-up...
Ball St +5.5 - Man I got dicked on this line
adding...
Miami(OH) +1
re-up...
Ball St +5.5 - Man I got dicked on this line
Good Article
Good Article
Intense defense keys EMU run
Foes shooting 42.3 percent as Eagles have won three of their last four games
Wednesday, February 11, 2004
BY MARK HELLER
News Sports Reporter
Shots are falling, ball movement is better and turnovers reduced.
All of those nuggets - three big reasons why the Eastern Michigan men's basketball team has won three of its last four - held little conversational interest this week. Not so much
because they're unimportant, but because the Eagles kept talking about their defense.
Not exactly a favorite topic at the Convocation Center the past few years.
On Jan. 19, the Eagles surrendered 85 points in a loss to Miami. Since then they've
allowed just over 66 per game. In those same five games, the opposition hasn't shot better than 42.3 percent from the field.
Against Buffalo (41.3 percent) and Akron (37.5), those cold numbers were inflated by a fury of easy baskets during garbage time.
"We weren't working together," sophomore center John Bowler said. "We were five different individuals guarding five individuals.
"Last year we had senior leadership of Steve (Pettyjohn) and Ryan (Prillman). In the beginning this year we had nothing. We've grown up and developed."
It's more developing than
developed, at least to Eagles coach Jim Boone. It's "a process with a young team" of growth via learning the hard way. His team is not yet where he wants them to be, but they're getting there.
For that, it's Ricky Cottrill who helps turn the switch. With aid from Markus Austin, the senior guard leeched onto the Mid-American Conference leading scorer, Derrick Tarver. Tarver scored half of his 12 points - 10 below his season average - on free throws, and had the Akron guard pleading with the referees nearly every time down the floor.
"It's confidence," said Cottrill. "You lose four games and come back in here and practice hard. You learn how to work with each other and guys understand their roles and what we're doing."
Rebounding has also sidled up to defense. Bowler and James Jackson inside combine for 16 rebounds per game, but the likes of Dan Redder, JaQuan Hart and James Douglas have been an increased presence on the glass. Outside of Western Michigan piling up 18 offensive rebounds, the Eagles are second in rebounding margin (+2.5) in conference games.
Asked if his team's improved defense begins with rebounding, Boone said: "The key in
defense is wrapping up the possession. It ends with rebounding. You can make a lot of mistakes on defense but rebounding will cover it up."
Last year, the Eagles had Prillman and Pettyjohn to help with that, but Bowler and Jackson are both among the top three in rebounding, and this year's crew believes it's a better team athletically and, consequentially, defensively.
It's taken a little more than two months for some concrete evidence to end some self-doubt about whether the Eagles could shut teams down.
Now the validations might be just beginning.
"Once the train gets moving it's hard to slow that train down," Jackson said. "We're
going to keep it moving."
Mark Heller can be reached at mheller@annarbornews.com or (734) 994-6812.
Good Article
Intense defense keys EMU run
Foes shooting 42.3 percent as Eagles have won three of their last four games
Wednesday, February 11, 2004
BY MARK HELLER
News Sports Reporter
Shots are falling, ball movement is better and turnovers reduced.
All of those nuggets - three big reasons why the Eastern Michigan men's basketball team has won three of its last four - held little conversational interest this week. Not so much
because they're unimportant, but because the Eagles kept talking about their defense.
Not exactly a favorite topic at the Convocation Center the past few years.
On Jan. 19, the Eagles surrendered 85 points in a loss to Miami. Since then they've
allowed just over 66 per game. In those same five games, the opposition hasn't shot better than 42.3 percent from the field.
Against Buffalo (41.3 percent) and Akron (37.5), those cold numbers were inflated by a fury of easy baskets during garbage time.
"We weren't working together," sophomore center John Bowler said. "We were five different individuals guarding five individuals.
"Last year we had senior leadership of Steve (Pettyjohn) and Ryan (Prillman). In the beginning this year we had nothing. We've grown up and developed."
It's more developing than
developed, at least to Eagles coach Jim Boone. It's "a process with a young team" of growth via learning the hard way. His team is not yet where he wants them to be, but they're getting there.
For that, it's Ricky Cottrill who helps turn the switch. With aid from Markus Austin, the senior guard leeched onto the Mid-American Conference leading scorer, Derrick Tarver. Tarver scored half of his 12 points - 10 below his season average - on free throws, and had the Akron guard pleading with the referees nearly every time down the floor.
"It's confidence," said Cottrill. "You lose four games and come back in here and practice hard. You learn how to work with each other and guys understand their roles and what we're doing."
Rebounding has also sidled up to defense. Bowler and James Jackson inside combine for 16 rebounds per game, but the likes of Dan Redder, JaQuan Hart and James Douglas have been an increased presence on the glass. Outside of Western Michigan piling up 18 offensive rebounds, the Eagles are second in rebounding margin (+2.5) in conference games.
Asked if his team's improved defense begins with rebounding, Boone said: "The key in
defense is wrapping up the possession. It ends with rebounding. You can make a lot of mistakes on defense but rebounding will cover it up."
Last year, the Eagles had Prillman and Pettyjohn to help with that, but Bowler and Jackson are both among the top three in rebounding, and this year's crew believes it's a better team athletically and, consequentially, defensively.
It's taken a little more than two months for some concrete evidence to end some self-doubt about whether the Eagles could shut teams down.
Now the validations might be just beginning.
"Once the train gets moving it's hard to slow that train down," Jackson said. "We're
going to keep it moving."
Mark Heller can be reached at mheller@annarbornews.com or (734) 994-6812.
caught the 1h of the bg/ohio game
lots of fouls on both sides.
but ohio missed a TON of free throws, which is surprising because theyre a good FT shooting team. id guess ohio had to be around 50% from the line in the 1h at best. and they shot a lot of FTs
1h score not really indicative of the kind of half it was. bobcats might make a push
lots of fouls on both sides.
but ohio missed a TON of free throws, which is surprising because theyre a good FT shooting team. id guess ohio had to be around 50% from the line in the 1h at best. and they shot a lot of FTs
1h score not really indicative of the kind of half it was. bobcats might make a push
gman2 said:
good looking G...Im at class so I dont know whats going on, but Im gonna go ahead and fire in Ohio 2nd half...
thanks again
Bastard!!...just kidding..went 7-2 yesterday, lost my POD and your GOY:shrug: what gives...keep em coming, I'll keep playing them as long as you keep putting them out...still way up coat tailing your GOY's
GL
How
GL
How
Nice job on the Marshall GOY, didnt go that way but that is what makes this place tops. Only game i lost in the MAC oh Like i said Hellah nice job!!!!
GOAT said:
Don't be a Dick - we all take tough beats.
Keep at it Hellah - I was on E Mich and thought it was the right side - didn't expect Marshall to be so hot from 3 point range.
