Madness

jordan23

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I have everyone today except Michigan

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk
 

DZ

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Getting 7-8 pts against the team that has won their tournament games by 2, 1 & 1 pts. Yes, thanks.

K-ST -4.5 2H 5x

Also got some down with live wagering...

K-ST +8.5 LIVE 3x
 

lowell

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K State in first half dribbled for 15 seconds or more at the top of the key before even trying to score. I think they have better athletes but not sure if they are smarter.
 

DZ

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K State in first half dribbled for 15 seconds or more at the top of the key before even trying to score. I think they have better athletes but not sure if they are smarter.

You're right. Weber not showing he's made any adjustments coming out of the half. I we don't see something different here out of this long timeout, I probably need to revise everything good I typed about him in my post earlier :eek:
 

DZ

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Played...

FL-ST/MICH ov111.5 LIVE (-115) 3x



Hoping there will be some fouling late. This also hedges on the FL St bet a little, I think. We'll see.
 

DZ

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Bizarre for FL St to let the last 20 seconds run out without fouling after committing to that strategy for the last two and a half minutes, but jackpot for me! Feels like I just hit a sweet middle.:0002
 

DZ

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NIT

NIT

Added some NIT plays for Tuesday:

WESTERN KENTUCKY pk
MISSISSIPPI STATE +3
2.5x each
 

DZ

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I like the first half unders in both games today, but could not post in time. I think we see a higher scoring 2H in this one.

DUKE/KANSAS 2H ov82 (-115) 5x
 

DZ

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Played these yesterday. Some have moved for and against me...

LOY-CHI +6 3x
LOY/MICH un60 1H 1x

KAN/NOVA ov73 1H 1x
KAN/NOVA ov155.5 2.5x
 

DZ

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Just took...

MICHIGAN +4.5 LIVE (+102) 3x


middle time...:0corn:0corn:0corn
 

DZ

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So, I have a 20-1 future on Nova (I never posted) from back in November. I risked half a unit to win 10 units, but I had other futures I added throughout the season and tournament, so with everything accounted for, I stand to win 8 units if Nova wins tonight after deducting for the losses of my other futures. I plan to ride that out tonight and not hedge, but if the opportunity arises with in-running to get them straight up at a discount, I will be all over that too.

If I were forced to make a play, I might look at the under on the 1st 10 minutes, as I expect a slower pace to start. If the 1H stays under and the game is within reach for Michigan, I'll look at the 2H over as well. As far as the side, it's Nova or pass. They've beat every opponent in this tournament by 12 or more and Michigan isn't even close to their toughest opponent. I would rank WVU, Kansas and possibly even TX-Tech higher than Michigan. You could cross your fingers and lay the 7 here, but honestly, it's been tough sledding if you've been trying to turn a profit betting this tournament laying strictly pre-flop bets. Live betting is your friend in the tournament, if it's available to you. Use it and grab the value. It certainly bailed me out on my Loyala bet in the final four.

GL
 
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