Pulled off a 4-1 week last week. Hopefully the positive run will continue.
Home team in caps.
MIAMI-OH -12.5 Marshall 56.5
Big game for Miami as a win will lock up at least a share of the East Division in the MAC. It will also spell revenge for a hard luck loss at Marshall last year, in which Miami felt the refs took the game away from them. Miami lost their first game of the season at Iowa, 3-21, but the game was much closer than that if it weren't for four interceptions thrown by Ben Roethlisberger. Since then, they have run off eight straight wins, with none of the wins by less than five points. That five point win was over Cincinnati, in a game Cincinnati scored numerous touchdowns late for the backdoor cover. They also won by eight points at Kent a few weeks back and everything else has been by at least 20 points, including a 23 point win here over Bowling Green last week. These two have played an equal schedule strength but Miami has the much better defense, allowing just 5.0 yppl against teams averaging 5.2 yppl, while Marshall is allowing 5.5 yppl against teams averaging 5.3 yppl. Both teams average 6.2 yppl on offense against teams allowing 5.6 yppl. But Marshall, who runs for 4.6 ypr against 4.1 ypr and throws for 8.1 yps against 7.4 yps, will find it much tougher to move the ball against a very good Miami defense, which is allowing just 3.4 ypr against 3.9 ypr and 6.6 yps against 7.0 yps. Miami throws the ball very well, averaging 8.0 yps against 7.4 yps and should find some success against a below average Marshall pass defense, which is allowing 7.4 yps against 7.0 yps. Miami qualifies in a late season home momentum situation, which is 70-31-0, including 5-2 this year. My numbers also show Miami winning this game by about 17 points, before the situation they are in is accounted for. A little revenge from last year, combined with the better defense, in a positive situation, give Miami the win here. MIAMI 42 MARSHALL 20
YTD 29-34-1 -20.90%
2% MIAMI -12.5
Home team in caps.
MIAMI-OH -12.5 Marshall 56.5
Big game for Miami as a win will lock up at least a share of the East Division in the MAC. It will also spell revenge for a hard luck loss at Marshall last year, in which Miami felt the refs took the game away from them. Miami lost their first game of the season at Iowa, 3-21, but the game was much closer than that if it weren't for four interceptions thrown by Ben Roethlisberger. Since then, they have run off eight straight wins, with none of the wins by less than five points. That five point win was over Cincinnati, in a game Cincinnati scored numerous touchdowns late for the backdoor cover. They also won by eight points at Kent a few weeks back and everything else has been by at least 20 points, including a 23 point win here over Bowling Green last week. These two have played an equal schedule strength but Miami has the much better defense, allowing just 5.0 yppl against teams averaging 5.2 yppl, while Marshall is allowing 5.5 yppl against teams averaging 5.3 yppl. Both teams average 6.2 yppl on offense against teams allowing 5.6 yppl. But Marshall, who runs for 4.6 ypr against 4.1 ypr and throws for 8.1 yps against 7.4 yps, will find it much tougher to move the ball against a very good Miami defense, which is allowing just 3.4 ypr against 3.9 ypr and 6.6 yps against 7.0 yps. Miami throws the ball very well, averaging 8.0 yps against 7.4 yps and should find some success against a below average Marshall pass defense, which is allowing 7.4 yps against 7.0 yps. Miami qualifies in a late season home momentum situation, which is 70-31-0, including 5-2 this year. My numbers also show Miami winning this game by about 17 points, before the situation they are in is accounted for. A little revenge from last year, combined with the better defense, in a positive situation, give Miami the win here. MIAMI 42 MARSHALL 20
YTD 29-34-1 -20.90%
2% MIAMI -12.5
