Martinsville

DeadPrez

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good luck Shiner

2 for me to start

Bowyer +1000
Kenseth +1800

Matt K led a total of 298 laps last year combined at Martinsville.

Bowyer finished 2nd and 3rd last year.

:0008
 

ShinerGrinder

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Really like Bowyer this weekend. I was really hoping to get him at +1500 but looks like that won't happen. I am keeping an eye on him though.
 

ShinerGrinder

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.75X Kenseth +2000

I'm hopping on the bandwagon Prez! What a great number for Kenseth for any track....let alone one he did so well at last year with his first year at Gibbs.
 

Looselugs

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I`m actually leaning this way


Dale Jr over Bowyer +115
Matt Kenseth over Bowyer +115

If it rains out qualifying and it looks like it will be close. This will bury Bowyer starting 23 while the Dale Jr and Kenseth will start 2nd and 5th. There could be 200 laps before we could see Bowyer in the top 10. While JR and Kenseth get to enjoy those great chosen pit stalls. Practice Saturday could also be a wash adding more spice to the top starters.

Haven`t done anything yet, will wait until morning to decide. I live a few minutes from the track and should get a good read on the weather.

Its all gone but we had 5 inches of snow here on Tuesday:scared
 

Old School

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NASCAR Picks for Martinsville

by Brian Polking, Sunday, March 23, 2014 4:43:59 PM CDT FFToolbox.com

Track Info:
Length: 0.526 miles
Shape: Oval
Type: Short
Location: Martinsville, Virginia
View Average Finishes



The early-season scheduling carousel continues this weekend as the series shifts from the massive 2.0-mile Auto Club Speedway to the smallest track on the schedule. Martinsville Speedway will host Sunday's STP 500, and in addition to the track's tiny half-mile layout, its flat corners and paperclip-shaped layout makes it a unique challenge for drivers and teams. Martinsville is particularly rough on brakes, and when you throw in a narrow pit road that can be just as treacherous as the track itself, a promising day can go in the wrong direction in a hurry.

The track's unique layout also has some fantasy implications as a trio of drivers have absolutely mastered Martinsville and stand head and shoulders above the rest of the competition. The three have combined to win 12 of the last 15 races at the track, including three straight. As a result, you pretty much have to build your fantasy roster around at least one of those three drivers if you have any hope of having a successful week. You still have to round out your roster with some solid sleeper additions, but the clear separation between the top three options and everyone else makes a few your selections no-brainers.

1. Jimmie Johnson, #48 Lowe's/Kobalt Tools, Hendrick Motorsports [Yahoo Class A]

His numbers at Martinsville are almost unfair. In 24 starts, Johnson has eight wins, 17 top-five finishes and 21 top-10s to go along with a series-leading 5.3 average finish. Somehow he has actually been better the last 20 races at the track, compiling a series-leading 3.8 average finish. Johnson is the defending winner of this weekend's race, and he really needs to be owned in every format.


2. Jeff Gordon, #24 Drive to End Hunger/Axalta, Hendrick Motorsports [Yahoo Class A]

Gordon won at Martinsville last fall, adding to an incredible resume at the short track. In 42 starts, he has eight victories and 34 top-10s. He also has a 6.8 average finish at Martinsville overall and a 5.0 average finish in the last 20 races at the track. Get him in your lineup this weekend.


3. Denny Hamlin, #11 FedEx, Joe Gibbs Racing [Yahoo Class B]

Outside of the Hendrick Motorsports duo of Johnson and Gordon, nobody has been better at Martinsville lately than Hamlin. He is a four-time winner at the track, and his 8.1 average finish ranks third in the series. In 16 starts at Martinsville, Hamlin has finished eighth or better 13 times.


4. Brad Keselowski, #2 Miller Lite, Team Penske [Yahoo Class B]

He has never had a bad run at Martinsville, and Keselowski seems to keep getting better at the track. He has a 10.4 average finish eight starts and has never finished outside the top 20. More importantly, he has six finishes of 12th or better at the track, including four straight top-10s. Keselowski finished sixth and fourth in two starts at Martinsville in 2013, and it might not be long before he ends up in victory lane.


5. Clint Bowyer, #15 5-Hour Energy, Michael Waltrip Racing [Yahoo Class A]

Since joining Michael Waltrip Racing in 2012, Bowyer has been on fire at Martinsville. He has finished in the top 10 in all four starts at the track with MWR, compiling a 5.0 average finish. Bowyer has finished in the top five in his last three starts at Martinsville, including finishes of second and third last year.


6. Dale Earnhardt, Jr., #88 National Guard/Diet Mountain Dew, Hendrick Motorsports [Yahoo Class A]

Junior has been enjoying a solid stretch at Martinsville. In his last eight starts at the track, he has six top-15 finishes, including five finishes of eighth or better. Meanwhile, Junior has been at his best in the spring event, finishing in the top three in twice in the past three seasons.



7. Kevin Harvick, #4 Budweiser/Jimmy Johns, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class A]

He has always been pretty solid at Martinsville, but lately, Harvick has taken his performance at the track to another level. In his last seven starts at the short track, he has finished sixth or better four times. During the stretch, he picked up his first win at Martinsville in the spring of 2011.



8. Kyle Busch, #18 Mars Brands/Interstate Batteries, Joe Gibbs Racing [Yahoo Class A]

Although he has been a little boom or bust at Martinsville, there is no denying Busch's upside. Since the start of the 2007 season, he has finished in the top five in seven of his 14 starts. Granted, he also has six finishes outside the top-20 during the stretch, but he has finished in the top 15 in his last three starts at Martinsville. Busch can be a strong option depending on the format, but in Yahoo! leagues, it is tough to justify using him ahead of some other A-List options.



9. Matt Kenseth, #20 Husky/Dollar General, Joe Gibbs Racing [Yahoo Class A]

While Martinsville has never been his best track, Kenseth has been enjoying a pretty strong stretch at the track recently. He has four straight top-15s, and more importantly, he has two top-five finishes during the stretch after managing just a single top-five in his previous 16 starts. Kenseth isn't the ideal A-List option in Yahoo! leagues, but he could have one of his better Martinsville runs this weekend.



10. Tony Stewart, #14 Bass Pro Shops/Mobil 1, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class B]

He missed the fall race at the track last year while recovering from a broken leg, but Stewart could return with a bang this weekend. After all, he is a three-time winner at Martinsville, with his most-recent win coming in the fall of 2011. He could make a strong addition to rosters this weekend.



11. Greg Biffle, #16 3M/Bondo, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class B]

Biffle was absolutely awful at Martinsville early in his career, but he has suddenly come into a mini hot streak at the track. He has reeled off five straight top-15 finishes, including three straight top-10s. Biffle is still looking for his first top-five at the track so he is limited; that being said, he could be a sneaky source for a top-10 this weekend.



12. Ryan Newman, #31 Caterpillar, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class B]

While Newman had a miserable year at Martinsville in 2013, he has been solid at the track for the most part. He has a 15.3 average finish at the track in 24 starts, and in his last 10 starts, he has finished 11th or better six times. Newman has also won at Martinsville, taking the checkered flag in the spring of 2012.
 

Old School

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13. Kasey Kahne, #5 Farmers Insurance/Quaker State, Hendrick Motorsports [Yahoo Class A]

The good news for Kahne is that he has two top-four finishes in his last three starts at Martinsville. The bad news is that he has finished outside the top 10 in his other 12 starts at the track since 2007. During the stretch, Kahne has finished 25th or worse seven times; so although he has some upside, it comes with some serious risk.

14. Carl Edwards, #99 Fastenal/Aflac/UPS/Subway, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class B]

He has been solid at Martinsville throughout his career, but it has never been one of his stronger tracks. In 19 starts, Edwards only has one top-five finish and just five top-10s. Granted, he only has four finishes outside the top 20 at Martinsville, but there are definitely plenty of tracks where Edwards will provide owners with a little more bang for their buck.


15. Joey Logano, #22 Shell-Pennzoil, Team Penske [Yahoo Class B]

Logano has finished as high as second at Martinsville, but overall, he has been more a 15th-place driver at the track. In 10 starts, he has a respectable 15.9 average finish. He also has seven finishes of 18th or better, albeit with just two top-10s. Expect a decent run out of Logano, but his ceiling is somewhat limited.


16. Brian Vickers, #55 Aaron's Dream Machine, Michael Waltrip Racing [Yahoo Class B]

He has been mediocre at Martinsville for most of his career, but Vickers is coming off back-to-back solid runs. He finished eighth at the track in the fall of 2012 while driving for Michael Waltrip Racing, and he finished 11th last spring while subbing for the injured Denny Hamlin. Vickers could make a decent sleeper play this weekend.


17. Jamie McMurray, #1 McDonald's/Cessna, Chip Ganassi Racing [Yahoo Class B]

McMurray has been running well at Martinsville the past couple of years; in 2013, he finished in the top 10 in both starts at the track. Meanwhile, he has six top-20s in his last seven starts at Martinsville, logging four finishes of 11th or better during the stretch. McMurray could be the most surprising source of a top-10 this weekend.


18. A.J. Allmendinger, #47 Kingsford/Clorox, JTG Daugherty Racing [Yahoo Class B]

Although he missed both races at the track last season, Allmendinger could make some noise in his return this weekend. After all, he has four top-15s in his last five starts at the track, including a second-place finish in the spring of 2012. A top-five is probably asking a bit much with his current team, but don't rule out a top-15 run from Allmendinger.


19. Aric Almirola, #43 Smithfield Foods, Richard Petty Motorsports [Yahoo Class B]

Since becoming a full-time driver in 2012, Martinsville has been one of Almirola's better tracks. He has a 13.0 average finish in four starts, cracking the top 10 twice and finishing in the top 20 in all four starts. At the very least, he should be good for another top-20 run Sunday.


20. Kyle Larson, #42 Target, Chip Ganassi Racing [Yahoo Class C]

He actually made his Cup debut at Martinsville last fall, but an engine failure ended his day early. Still, any experience is only going to help the rookie, and he seems to be improving by the week. Larson just oozes potential, and he is always worth considering as a C-List option in Yahoo! leagues.


21. Kurt Busch, #41 Haas Automation, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class A]

While he is actually a former winner at Martinsville, Busch has been awful for nearly a decade. He has gone 16 straight starts at the track without a top-10 finish, and during the stretch, he only has four top-15s compared to six finishes outside the top 25. If you have other options, you should probably use them.


22. Marcos Ambrose, #9 Stanley/Dewalt Power Tools, Richard Petty Motorsports [Yahoo Class B]

He has been enjoying a decent stretch at Martinsville, and in his last four starts at the track, he has three top-20s (including a pair of top-15s). Ambrose also finished a career-best eighth at the track last spring. He could be worth keeping an eye on this weekend.


23. Martin Truex, Jr., #78 Furniture Row, Furniture Row Racing [Yahoo Class B]

Aside from a few solid showings, Martinsville has been tough on Truex throughout his career. In 16 starts, he has a 22.3 average finish at the track and has only logged four top-10 finishes. More concerning is the fact that he has finished outside the top 25 seven times.


24. Austin Dillon, #3 Dow Chemical/Cheerios, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class C]

The rookie will be making his Cup debut at Martinsville, and while he has been solid in 2014, owners may want to temper expectations this weekend. For one, the Nationwide Series only visits Martinsville once per year, so he hasn't experienced the track much coming up through the ranks. Meanwhile, Richard Childress Racing has been just average as a team at the track. It could be a long day for Dillon
 

Old School

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[h=4]25. Paul Menard, #27 Menards, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class B][/h]Martinsville hasn't been overly kind to Menard. In 13 starts at the track, he has compiled a 21.8 average finish, and he is still looking for his first top-10. Menard also has eight finishes outside the top 20 at Martinsville, so it is even harder to justify taking a chance on his already-minimal upside.
[h=4]26. Danica Patrick, #10 GoDaddy.com, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class C][/h]She has had trouble making an impact at the Cup level, but Patrick was rock solid at Martinsville as a rookie. She finished 12th in the spring event and followed it up with a 17th-place run in the fall. Granted, the sample size is small, but she could have top-20 upside this weekend. If you play in a league where you have to use a unique driver every week, this could be the time to deploy Patrick.

[h=4]27. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., #17 Best Buy/Valvoline/Zest, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class B][/h]Stenhouse had some bright spots during his rookie year, but they certainly didn't come at Martinsville. He finished 25th in the spring race at the track, and fell to 31st in the fall event. Until Stenhouse shows he can deliver a decent finish at Martinsville, there is no reason to use him.

[h=4]28. Casey Mears, #13 GEICO, Germain Racing [Yahoo Class B][/h]He is quietly having the best year of any driver for a single-car team, and Mears could have another serviceable afternoon at Martinsville. After all, he has five straight top-25 finishes at the track. During the stretch, he also has a pair of top-20 finishes, including a 16th-place run last spring. In deeper leagues, Mears can help out.

[h=4]29. Justin Allgaier, #51 Brandt, HScott Motorsports [Yahoo Class C][/h]The rookie will be making his Cup debut at Martinsville, and while there is no real data to predict how he will do, Allgaier could hold his own. Out of the smaller teams, he has been one of the better drivers in 2014, and he has generally stayed out of trouble. Allgaier should keep his car in one piece and finish around the top 30, but that obviously limits his value to only the deepest of leagues.

[h=4]30. David Gilliland, #38 Love's Travel Stops/A&W Restaurants, Front Row Motorsports [Yahoo Class B][/h]Gilliland grabs the final spot in this week's rankings mainly because he has been less bad than the rest of the remaining drivers. He has finished in the top 30 in four straight starts at the track, and while he should avoid major trouble, you have to be desperate to deploy Gilliland this weekend.
 

Old School

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:0008
SIA
[h=2]Friday, March 28, 2014[/h]
[h=3]12:00 STP 500 - Outright More Betting (6)

[/h]
  • Jimmie Johnson +303
  • Jeff Gordon +595
  • Denny Hamlin +800
  • Brad Keselowski +800
  • Kyle Busch +800
  • Kevin Harvick +1000
  • Clint Bowyer +1000
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr +1700
  • Kasey Kahne +1800
  • Tony Stewart +1800

  • Matt Kenseth +1800
  • Joey Logano +2500
  • Kurt Busch +2500
  • Ryan Newman +3500
  • Carl Edwards +4000
  • Jamie McMurray +4800
  • Greg Biffle +5000
  • Brian Vickers +5000
  • Reed Larson +5000
  • Field +2000
 

Old School

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Intertops


Nascar STP 500 - To Win Outright
ORDER BY Odds Title
icon_pfeildownrnews.gif


<tbody>
</tbody>
Mar 28, 2014 12:00
Nascar STP 500: To Win Outright
Odds for other drivers available upon request.

<tbody>
</tbody>
Option
Win Odds
Place Odds
Jimmie Johnson
+300
-167
Jeff Gordon
+650
+130
Brad Keselowski
+800
+160
Denny Hamlin
+800
+160
Kyle Busch
+800
+160
Clint Bowyer
+1000
+200
Kevin Harvick
+1000
+200
Dale Earnhardt Jr
+1600
+320
Kasey Kahne
+1600
+320
Matt Kenseth
+1600
+320
Tony Stewart
+1800
+360
Joey Logano
+2500
+500
Kurt Busch
+2500
+500
Carl Edwards
+3300
+660
Greg Biffle
+4000
+800
Kyle Larson
+4000
+800
Ryan Newman
+4000
+800
Brian Vickers
+5000
+1000
Jamie McMurray
+5000
+1000
Marcos Ambrose
+5000
+1000
Paul Menard
+5000
+1000
Austin Dillon
+6600
+1320
Martin Truex Jnr
+8000
+1600
Ricky Stenhouse
+8000
+1600
Danica Patrick
+20000
+4000

<tbody>
</tbody>
Place Odds: This allows you to choose the competitor/participant/team that you think will finish in the top three (1st, 2nd, 3rd) of the specified tournament/event/competition/race. Place odds are calculated as 1/5 of the outright odds to win the tournament/event/competition/race

<tbody>
</tbody>
 

Looselugs

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I`m actually leaning this way


Dale Jr over Bowyer +115
Matt Kenseth over Bowyer +115

If it rains out qualifying and it looks like it will be close. This will bury Bowyer starting 23 while the Dale Jr and Kenseth will start 2nd and 5th. There could be 200 laps before we could see Bowyer in the top 10. While JR and Kenseth get to enjoy those great chosen pit stalls. Practice Saturday could also be a wash adding more spice to the top starters.

Haven`t done anything yet, will wait until morning to decide. I live a few minutes from the track and should get a good read on the weather.

Its all gone but we had 5 inches of snow here on Tuesday:scared


Looks like they will get most if not all activities in today..
Thinks I`ll pass on bets until I see some seat time today.
Its cool here and the track will be fast..
 

DeadPrez

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Added Hamlin +850 before practice cause of Shiner :0008 and a little more after practice at +515

Added a little bit more to Bowyer +1600 this time to the +1000 earlier, Bowyer top 3 +440, Bowyer top 5 +220

really like Biffle to finish under 15.5 (-115) and McMurray over Edwards (+100)

Kyle to win +950, Kenseth to win +1800

Hit a semi-longshot top 3 last week with Larson, going to try again this week with McMurray +1500

Longshot to win McMurray +5200

Good Luck :0008
 

DeadPrez

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To support the Biffle finishing position under 15.5 play, his last 5 at Martinsville his average start was 25.2 and he finished under 15 each race, including the last 3 in the top 10. Today he starts 11th
 

Old School

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latest from SIA

13:13 STP 500 - Outright More Betting (19)


  • Jimmie Johnson +303
  • Jeff Gordon +489
  • Denny Hamlin +489
  • Kyle Busch +611
  • Kevin Harvick +1000
  • Clint Bowyer +1200
  • Matt Kenseth +1400
  • Brad Keselowski +1500
  • Tony Stewart +1500
  • Joey Logano +1500

  • Dale Earnhardt Jr +1700
  • Carl Edwards +3000
  • Jamie McMurray +3500
  • Kasey Kahne +3600
  • Kurt Busch +4000
  • Greg Biffle +5000
  • Ryan Newman +5100
  • Brian Vickers +5800
  • Reed Larson +7600
  • Field +3000
 
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