MAY 15th...Pay Day For CHIEF WAHOO

[Subcloser]

957 Tampa Bay Rays/Cleveland Indians Under 7? +102

Cleveland games over the last 21 days are 3-14(2-6 @home) to the under and 1-10 to the under in the last 2 weeks...The Indians have only had 2 or more over games in a row once this year, with the Sunday tilt against the Twins going over the total it brings this trend into play...Tampa is 5-5 on the road in the past 3 weeks and 7-6 overall the past 2 weeks (no real trend on tampa)...normally I look for a situation where both teams are trending in the same direction and then I look to play that total every game in the series until the series is won...In this series its a 3 game series starting on Monday, so I would play the under on Monday & Tuesday, if the under hits in both games then I will most likely lay off the 3rd game of the series. If the first 2 games split then I would play under in the 3rd game of the series...I try and pick 2 separate series to play that start mon/tues, then again on Thur/Fri...The decision to play the under in this match up becomes even easier when you look at the two starting pitchers...Rays have Archer on the bump who is rated a A13 in the USA Today Sagarin Pitcher Rankings...The tribe have Carrasco on the hill who is a A5 in the Sagarin Rankings, Carrasco games this year have also gone 0-7 to the under not having one of his starts go for more than 7 runs...add in the fact we are getting a total of 7.5...now anything can happen in a baseball game but I feel if this game were played multiple times this game is going under 8 runs at least 7/10 times...good luck on your Monday wagers men.

 

[Subcloser]

Will have one more total posted and write up on the game in 2-3 hours...some very compelling numbers for this one:0003

 

[Subcloser]

951 New York Mets/Arizona Diamondbacks Over 9? -105

Always take an interest in the D'backs and their infamous open roof nights...I spent a few years myself watching pitchers struggle through desert nights in towns like El Paso, Pheonix, and Yuma. The altitude, winds, and hot air can make the ball do things that you wouldn't believe...The problem with ball parks like Arizona or Colorado isn't so much the ball carrying (although it does) its the fact that to compensate for the perceived extra carry a ball gets at these altitudes they make the ball parks bigger. This intern makes for Huge gaps. Outfielders must play very deep at these parks to cover those gaps which makes for a lot more duck fart type hits. You will see more balls fall in front of outfielders that off the bat you thought would be outs than in any other ball park. Unfortunately for pitchers your breaking stuff doesn't get the same late action that it would in say parks like San Diego or Frisco. This leads to more balls in play...Well I have heard some say, "you need a ground ball pitcher in Zona to be succesful"...sorry my friends if any of you have experienced baseball fields in desert towns you can agree that those fields are rock hard most of the time...in Zona a complaint I consistently hear from managers is that the infield is too hard...ground balls shoot through the infield, balls fall in for hits on account of outfielders playing "no doubles" practically the whole game, and oh yeah the ball flies like a F'n rocket launcher.

Stats....Since 2012 when the roof is open and the wind is blowing out to right field at Chase Arizona games have an over record of 15-4...in that same time span when the wind is 10+ mph the over is 5-0...In the last ten years when there is a wind of 10+ mph out to right field the over is 11-2

Mets...hottest over team in baseball, thats all...they are 12-2 to the over the last 21 days, during that same time frame they are 7-0 to the over in road games...last two weeks overall are 8-2 to the over...pitchers in tonights contest are not the worst I have seen on todays card but are far from the best, not sure it really matters in game with these weather conditions...I could go on with stats supporting this with Zona's home record but I think this should be enough to support my wager...I have some interest in the Brewer game tonight but I want to look into it further...gl tonight men

 

[gk51]

Nice looking play. Right now the winds are blowing out to right field at 20+mph and gusting between 30-35 mph. By game time winds should be around 10-15 mph and diminishing as game goes on. If the roof is open tonight this could very well be a high scoring game. Hope you hit.

 

[Subcloser]

I played a half unit on MIL +105 live...will put another half unit on em if they don't score in the top half of the ninth...not counting this as an official play, just passing along what I'm up too tonight