MAY 31st - JUNE 6th

Subcloser

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Jun 24, 2015
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Louisiana
5/31

CHC/SD un 7.5 +100
OAK/CLE un 9 -115
NYY/BAL un 9 +100


Have some interest with the late game in Seattle...want to see where the line moves a bit, back sometime after supper with that game...going to keep this thread open for the week, trying to change it up a bit...this wagering season so far has been pretty docile to say the least...this sport is a grind for a reason, at some point things will get hot hot hot...been a strange year for totals...anytime things get stagnate I try to take a deeper look at what is going on throughout the league...this season as I have looked at totals across the board the last few weeks they are increasingly larger and larger...I have never seen so many totals open at >=9...The little profit I have seen this year has revolved around overs...the last week or so I have started to see the inevitable correction as these totals inflate the unders will start to consistently hit...there will still be some spots for overs but I think there will be more value in the unders between now and the break...I have my opinions on why pitching is slacking throughout the league (bullpens especially) but that is a conversation for another day...back later, gl men
 

Subcloser

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5/31...con.

BOS -1.5 +115
TB -1.5 +120


I'm also on Nash +130 tonight in puck...still waiting to make a decision on Sea game, off to dinner
 

Subcloser

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If i was gonna play i wd do da undie

I hear ya...line is a bit off to me...I originally circled this game as a possible under play based off numbers, but looking further into it...Paxton coming off injury, I feel he was pitching a bit over his head earlier this season...I love the kid from Colorado, been a $$$ maker this year under the radar...right now I lean over simply because of them opening the line at 8...looking at both of these numbers and the fact that they are playing in a pitchers yard I would have guessed <=7 as the opener, maybe 7.5 but 8 implies that one of these guys is going to shit the bed tonight...if I can pull out this under in the yanks game I will probly sit back and watch...puck game is much more interesting tonight anyhow...really like LSU on Friday in baseball vs. Texas Southern, any thoughts here?
 

Subcloser

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lost the yanks game...for now going to lay off the total in Seattle, gut says under but that number 8 is keeping me away...I am also getting conflicting percentages with public wagers, one place has 60% on the under while another has 57% on the over...if anyone has any concrete thoughts on this game please share them...I did find a play I like this evening

WAS -1.5 +100

this is an old system that normally works extremely well in the 2nd half of the season and has turned in some pretty good numbers in the month of June in years past...try easy here as this system a few years back shit the bed in June but that said Im going to give it a whirl
 

Subcloser

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5/31...5-1...+4.35

6/1

CLE -205


Gonna lay the wood here...been doing a good bit of research on >= -180 favs...not going to do a full blown write up until it shows some life...its a fairly complicated process but to give ya an idea from a volume standpoint its 5-1 since May 21st this year...see how it plays out this month...good chance I will also be back with a play on the total in this matchup...taking a hard look at the total in Baltimore as well...There will be a RL play this evening following the same system as the Washington play last night...back in a bit
 

Subcloser

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6/1...con

BOS/BAL un 9 -105


as of right now I am laying off Arizona tonight, line movement issue...most likely just going to play this one game and ensure a positive day
 

Subcloser

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5/31...5-1...+4.35
6/1...2-1...+.95

Back later this afternoon...looking at 3-4 totals and 2 run lines...nothing in the afternoon game...have a good bit of action going in NCAA throughout the day and a total in soccer that I like a good bit
 

drewmac19

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liked your bos under play last night so i played it. what a joke that was. was a winner until 2 outs in the 9th :facepalm:
 

Subcloser

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5/31...5-1...+4.35
6/1...2-1...+.95
6/2...2-3...-.95

6/3

CLE -1.5 +100

looking into one more afternoon total
 
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Subcloser

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6/3

PIT/NYM ov 9 -113


get this in now the line is going to keep shooting up...this game qualifies as a GAS CAN ALERT for me...both these guys have been throwing better as of late but are still both garbage...METS 28-5 to the over in night games this year...at some point they will regress with unders but until there are signs of that I will keep riding this money train
 
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