MD and GT OV/UN is 38.5? :confused:

kenman

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:confused: why is the total in the MD and GT game so low? Checking this total out. Ga.Tech,has only 1 game near 50 pts.,and that was 29-21 over N.C.State. Other Tech totals were,37,20,27,42,41,and 31 . Maryland is a little higher scoring,with totals of,32,45,61 vs Citadel,41,50,28,and 53 vs Duke. Just wondering what everyone thoughts on the OVer 38? Thanks.
 

kenman

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Another one I found, Pen St/Iowa -11 ov/un 38 :shrug: :confused: That mean PSU can only score 10pts for Iowa to cover and keep it under the total.
 

Bubba

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Why so low? Quote from cov*rs:
"Maryland's defense is holding its own during the streak, too. The Terps are making it a habit to shut down at least one aspect of their opponent's attack, whether it be the run or pass.
They're giving up just 9.4 points, on 262.2 total yards every four quarters. Before their bye week, the Terps 'D' held the Blue Devils scoreless through three quarters before subs came on in the fourth."
 

mw

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why is the total in the MD and GT game so low? Checking this total out. Ga.Tech,has only 1 game near 50 pts.,and that was 29-21 over N.C.State. Other Tech totals were,37,20,27,42,41,and 31 .
I'm not sure I understand. You point out that six of seven Tech games have been very low-scoring and that Maryland's games have also been low-scoring for the most part, and then you ask why the total is low.
 

JEFF

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I can see why its so low. Both defense have been dominant lately, especially against the run. Neither offense has really exploded either.

That said, I see no value in taking the under.
 

gardenweasel

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take a look

take a look

at some of the numbers....md averaging 29.9 pts per game....take out 33 vs pitiful duke....37 vs pitiful e.mich...61 vs the citidel.....that brings it down to 19.5.....other than an inexplicable 34 pts vs a decent west va team,md hasn`t really clicked vs decent competion....and honestly,for some reason,md has owned west va recently....

g.t. has put up 24 vs wake....29 vs a less than stellar nc st defense and 24 in an o.t. win vs a not so special vandy club...17 in regulation....none of these clubs has a defense comparable to maryland`s......

3 vs clemson...17 vs auburn before auburn got untracked...and 13 vs fla st....

i think this MIGHT be low scoring.... steve suter should be healthy for the terps....he`s capable of putting up special teams points...this guys just fantastic when healthy...but,maryland hasn`t exactly been strokin` it on the road this year...that eastermn michigan performance was abysmal...

38 to 40 seems about right....maryland really isn`t nearly the powerful offense of last year....this looks like a struggle...

the o/u looks well set to me...
 
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gardenweasel

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ksyas

ksyas

how can i argue with that analysis?...:D .....my point is that it`s a well lined total and not worth the coin flip necessary to blow good money on....

a gun to my head,if it were 43-44,might be worth a small look at the under....

but,g.l. with your play...
 

KsYaS

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Yeah, but I really beleive each team is handicapping at this time, no matter what else happen in the past with other teams, I always took 3 fundaments to do a bet, and this is for the total and a side:

1.- Momentum and emotional things.

2.- Trends and previous encounters.

3.- The way the teams are playing.


And is kind of weird, but the 1 and 2 are strongest then the 3, why?? I do not know, maybe a programed chip in their neck but the way the teams are playing not always is the right side, why?? just because if the logic always win, vegas lose! :D
 

SNID

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Hi Everyone,

This game sets up in almost the exact same scenario at the game last fall albeit for the change in venue. Maryland was a 2 to 3 point home favorite with the O/U at 48. Final Score Maryland 34 GT 10. The Halftime score in the game was only 6-3 favor of the Terps. The score midway thru the 4th was 27 to 3 Terps and a GT fumble was run in for a score and GT added a garbage TD with a couple minutes left.

Now, I know that was last year but these are basically the same two teams (both having 14 starters back) and I see no reason to expect anything other than the same type of game. Neither team will have success running the ball tonight. The advantage if the running games don't produce falls to Maryland with the more experienced QB and a somewhat better Passing defense.

I think this number on the O/U is about right considering these teams performances this year and taking into account the last couple Thursday games they have played. and will be going with the under. Leaning toward the Terps also but no final decision on the outcome of the game yet.
SNID
 

JEFF

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What did you guys expect this total to be?Both teams have won with defense.


weasel- If you are going to exclude the big outbursts against carapy teams in your capping, you probably have to exclude the results of the FSU game as well. Just a thought.

SNID- These are not the same teams. They may have a bunch of starters back, but the complexions are totally different. This GT team has a much better, more athletic QB. The defense is playing a lot better than it was when they played last year.

As for MD, EJ Henderson is gone and the OL hasn't been nearly as good. The QB has not been as sharp as last year either. Chris Downs, the RB, killed GT last year and he is gone.
 
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