MeesterM's NBA Plays for MON. ~ MAY 6TH

[Meestermike]

Sacramento is holding its opponents to a measly 88.6 points per game in the playoffs and 40.9 % from the field.

The UN won for the 5th straight SAC GM and also for 5 of the last 7 DAL games.
SAC are 17-27 OV\UN TY @ HM.
The Kings last 5 O\A have played UN.
The L3 meetings have played under.
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 17-6 UNDER when they score 96 to 105 points in a game this season.
DALLAS is 8-2 UNDER vs. teams scoring 103+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Last 5 GMS
Offense For ~ FG% ~ 3P% ~ FT% ~ Reb.
Dallas 101.0 ~ 42.6 ~ 38.4 ~ 83.5 ~ 42.2
Sacram 92.8 ~ 41.5 ~ 28.1 ~ 80.7 ~ 44.6

Defense Ags ~ FG% ~ 3P% ~ FT% ~ Reb.
Dallas 100.6 ~ 44.6 ~ 32.4 ~ 72.7 ~ 49.6
Sacram 88.6 ~ 40.9 ~ 30.0 ~ 68.2 ~ 43.2

By David DuPree, USA TODAY
In the paint: The Kings didn't try to disguise their game plan in Game 1. They made it known right away that they weren't going to try to outrun the Mavericks but instead pound the ball inside to Chris Webber and Vlade Divac. Dallas has to establish some sort of inside game, because Sacramento is too good defensively and too quick for the Mavericks to rely solely on their outside shots. The Kings outscored the Mavericks by 20 points in the paint and outrebounded them by 10. Raef LaFrentz has to establish some sort of presence inside or Divac, one of the most clever players in the league, will run circles around him again. Divac had 18 points, 16 rebounds and three assists in the first game.

DAL is 3-1 ATS & SU in the last four meetings.

I'm going the UNDER way and have them *** times. I see it around 202.

UN @ 209 -107.
UN @ 210 -110
UN @ 209.5 -110

and a small play on DAL +4

GL

 

[dogface]

MeesterMike...

MeesterMike...

Nice job on your posts, I am going opposite on your total in this one, but you are doing some excellent write-ups!

Keep it up!

dogface

 

[Meestermike]

Thanks for the kudos dogface.

GL to both of us cuz somebody should win.

 

[Dr Raider]

Looks like you were very, very unlucky. . . .

With 40 seconds left in the game, the score was 101 - 96 at which point Sac fouled which made it 103 - 96

I didn't play the game total - 'took the second half Under which came in for the second game in a row between these two - you might want to keep an eye out next time for the halftime total

I hate to see a guy with good numbers and stats get burned

 

[heleanth]

It seems to me that if the game had gone under, those that bet the over would have been extremely unlucky! I guess it is all in how you look at it (or which way you bet!).