MIAMI-O/BOWLING GREEN Under 58.5 - Although both of these teams are renowned for their offenses, they apparently know how to defend each other pretty well. These clubs have met 3 times since the 2000 season, and the average total score of those games is only 40.7 points, more than 17 points lower than this posted total! In fact, NONE of those 3 meetings exceeded 45 points, including a 33-10 victory by Miami Ohio during this regular season. Yes, Miami is averaging 42.0 points per game, but the Under is still 4-1 in all their games that had a posted total this season, thanks to an unheralded defense that is allowing only 18.1 points per contest. The same can be said for Bowling Green, who while averaging 34.6 points on the year, is only allowing 19.3 points per. While I feel that this game may be closer than the regular season meeting, I do not expect the point production to vary that much from the last 3 meetings. I project a final total in the neighborhood of 48 points, which would result in a safe Under.
