Michigan Vs Syracuse - 2013 Final Four - KOD

THE KOD

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PLAY

Line is Michigan -2

..............................................................


Sport : NCAA Basketball

Selection : Michigan 4/6/2013 5:45PM - (PST)

Spread -1 -136 for Game

Buy 1 point


1,088/800


PLAY

 

THE KOD

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March Madness


8 - 2 + $ 1,575.00

80%


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I have been looking at alot of games for both these teams. '

Both teams have recognizable weaknesses.


It looks to be a very close game but I have to give the edge to Michigan as their shooting percentage cannot be set aside.

Syracuse has a top ten Defense there is no doubt.

But they struggle getting points at times and they will need to score to win this game.

Michigan pulls this out and goes on to play Louisville in the National Championship game.
 

Destructor D

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Why not just buy Michigan down to -1 at -130 odds? Your book is screwing you... not starting a fiasco, but how do they charge you 13% per point bought.

My main book has Michigan ML at -140 fyi and probably will drop.
 

THE KOD

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Michigan Wins If...

It hits better than 40 percent from three.

When it comes to the three ball, Syracuse's defense is an odd duck.

The Orange, unlike most zone-dominant teams, are exceptionally good at limiting opponents' success rate from beyond. In fact, Jim Boeheim's team ranks third nationally in three-point shooting percentage allowed.

Those figures, however, haven't stopped foes from gunning. Syracuse's opponents take 40.2 percent of their field goals from beyond the arc. Only 14 other D-I teams see their opposition shoot more from beyond.

Michigan is one of the country's best three-point shooting teams and the Wolverines chuck it a reasonably healthy rate.

Considering both sides of the equation, you'd expect the Wolverines to shoot pretty regularly from the outside on Saturday.

If they can hit at 40 percent or better?almost 12 percent better than what Syracuse generally allows?they stand a great chance of winning this ballgame.



Michigan Loses If...

It gets into foul trouble.

The Wolverines aren't a deep team, and it shows in their minute distribution.

Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nik Stauskas and Glenn Robinson III all play more than 75 percent of the team's available minutes, all made possible by the fact that each commits fouls at an exceptionally low rate.

It's a precarious strategy, if only because a couple of fluke calls can completely rearrange John Beilein's personnel equation.

Odds are Syracuse won't draw Michigan into silly fouls. But if it does, the Wolverines are in trouble.
.......................................................................

Michigan wins !

I smell money and it smells green ....
 

THE KOD

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PP0707.jpg

Paradice runs off Glory Rd, take a left
to Victory Lane and that is where I lives
 

THE KOD

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1. Get on the right side

2. Reduce your risk

3. Don't be a homer

4. Reduce the plays you make.

5. Reduce the no name college football games Mon-Fri. These games are for action.

6. When you lose, don't chase late plays.

7. Do not handcuff yourself with one type of wager. Be versatile.

8. Do not play parlays and teasers. Just do not !

9. Do not wager on games where you have not seen both teams play one full game.

10. No woman, No children

11. Cash the ticket.

12. Dont' be a pussy


THE KOD

.................................................................
 

bryanz

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Michigan Wins If...

It hits better than 40 percent from three.

When it comes to the three ball, Syracuse's defense is an odd duck.

The Orange, unlike most zone-dominant teams, are exceptionally good at limiting opponents' success rate from beyond. In fact, Jim Boeheim's team ranks third nationally in three-point shooting percentage allowed.

Those figures, however, haven't stopped foes from gunning. Syracuse's opponents take 40.2 percent of their field goals from beyond the arc. Only 14 other D-I teams see their opposition shoot more from beyond.

Michigan is one of the country's best three-point shooting teams and the Wolverines chuck it a reasonably healthy rate.

Considering both sides of the equation, you'd expect the Wolverines to shoot pretty regularly from the outside on Saturday.

If they can hit at 40 percent or better?almost 12 percent better than what Syracuse generally allows?they stand a great chance of winning this ballgame.



Michigan Loses If...

It gets into foul trouble.

The Wolverines aren't a deep team, and it shows in their minute distribution.

Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nik Stauskas and Glenn Robinson III all play more than 75 percent of the team's available minutes, all made possible by the fact that each commits fouls at an exceptionally low rate.

It's a precarious strategy, if only because a couple of fluke calls can completely rearrange John Beilein's personnel equation.

Odds are Syracuse won't draw Michigan into silly fouls. But if it does, the Wolverines are in trouble.
.......................................................................

Michigan wins !

I smell money and it smells green ....

first off, I think you are on the right side, if you want to be on the side of the books .... ATS money looks split but ML likes syracuse..... BUT : IF YOU ARE COUNTING ON 3PT PRODUCTION FROM MICH.... MICH 38% L5 .... SYR ALLOWS 18% L5.... that's not 12%.... that's 22% ......
 

yyz

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Why not just buy Michigan down to -1 at -130 odds? Your book is screwing you... not starting a fiasco, but how do they charge you 13% per point bought.

My main book has Michigan ML at -140 fyi and probably will drop.


Money is no object to Scooter!


It's more important to be a loud 8-2 +$1,575 80%


than a pretty good 7-3 and +$2,705, by playing the actual line.


It drives me crazy, but Scott's happy, and I'm sure the book is ecstatic!
 

Dirty Juice

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i almost never agree with KOD's methods. But in this case, I can't AGREE more. I will be on this BIG

:toast:
 

ripken8

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Money is no object to Scooter!


It's more important to be a loud 8-2 +$1,575 80%


than a pretty good 7-3 and +$2,705, by playing the actual line.


It drives me crazy, but Scott's happy, and I'm sure the book is ecstatic!

it doesn't seem to bother him, try not to let it drive you crazy so much... :toast:
 

Wilson

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John Beliein is 0-9 versus Syracuse 2-3 zone. Most games not even close. Most of these losses were with those WVU teams that went to 2 sweet 16's, won the NIT and went to the Elite 8.

But, he has tremendous guards and a week to prepare them. I am with you.
 

Dirty Juice

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The zone is great, but they aren't keeping Burke and Co. below 65 or 70 points. Meanwhile, Syracuse has scored 62 points or less 8 times in their last 14 games. Its the Cuse OFFENSE that will be its downfall.

IMO
 

THE KOD

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The zone is great, but they aren't keeping Burke and Co. below 65 or 70 points. Meanwhile, Syracuse has scored 62 points or less 8 times in their last 14 games. Its the Cuse OFFENSE that will be its downfall.

IMO

exactly my thought and why I see Michigan advancing to the National Championship game
 

THE KOD

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Money is no object to Scooter!


It's more important to be a loud 8-2 +$1,575 80%


than a pretty good 7-3 and +$2,705, by playing the actual line.


It drives me crazy, but Scott's happy, and I'm sure the book is ecstatic!

Money is no object to Scooter!


It's more important to be a loud 8-2 +$1,575 80%


than a pretty good 7-3 and +$2,705, by playing the actual line.


It drives me crazy, but Scott's happy, and I'm sure the book is ecstatic!
.......................................................................

I remember a long time ago when yyz made the statement that no one could win at gambling.

It was a 50% winning game and no one ever ever beats the books or Vegas.

So years after when not only I but others on Madjacks have risen , yyz still crys in his beer

It cant be KOD, it just cant be.....

Yeh ok yyz , go back to the Gen Forum where you at least get a laugh every 1,000 posts or so.
 

yyz

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.......................................................................

I remember a long time ago when yyz made the statement that no one could win at gambling.

It was a 50% winning game and no one ever ever beats the books or Vegas.

So years after when not only I but others on Madjacks have risen , yyz still crys in his beer

It cant be KOD, it just cant be.....

Yeh ok yyz , go back to the Gen Forum where you at least get a laugh every 1,000 posts or so.


I just wish you'd win what you should be winning. You're hitting at a pretty good clip for a change, so it would be nice to see you get paid.


And yes......far more people pay "Vegas", than the other way around. Far more. For ever and ever. Amen.
 

THE KOD

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The Associated Press player of the year already came up huge in the regionals, leading the Wolverine back from a 14-point deficit against Kansas with less than 7 minutes remaining. He knocked down a long 3-pointer at the end of regulation to tie the game, then finished off the upset of the top-seeded Jayhawks in overtime.

Syracuse (30-9) has taken its trademark D to new levels of stinginess in the NCAA tournament.
The Orange has surrendered a paltry 45.75 points per game, holding Montana (34), top-seeded Indiana (50) and Marquette (39) to their lowest scoring totals of the season. Overall, Syracuse's four tournament opponents have combined to shoot just 28.9 percent from field (61 of 211) and 15.4 percent from 3-point range (14 of 91).
None of those teams had a player like Burke.

Michigan (30-7) prefers to get in the open court as much as possible, a style that is even more advantageous against a team such as Syracuse, which has a size advantage at almost every position.
The Wolverines are averaging 75.5 points a game on the season, even more (78.8) in their four NCAA games. Last weekend, after stunning Kansas, they romped past one of the nation's best defensive teams, beating Florida 79-59 in the regional final.
They are certainly not intimidated by Syracuse.
"If their zone was unbeatable, then they would be 39-0," Hardaway scoffed. "We're just going to go out there, play our game, not worry about what they're going to do, and just play Michigan basketball."

.....................................................................

And then their were two .


:0008
 
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