Thanks BlueChip.
I think I'm closing this thread for the season.
The original intent, after an unsuccessful first half, was to see if I could SIMPLIFY and bring myself to a winning record.
To those of you still reading this, I think it is a good way to learn about capping baseball. Instead of looking at just a few factors when capping a lot of teams, this kind of experiment really lets you look at a lot of factors when capping a FEW teams.
There's probably still a lot more out there I'm not looking at. It was easy for me to follow the O's, but I was also regularly reading the opponents home town paper -- checking for injuries, bull pen use, weather, etc.
I never really took umps into consideration, and maybe I should have looked more at that.
Maybe I put too much weight on starting pitchers recent performances, and weighed those performances against the MLs trying to find value. One thing I did find was that my capping got more "streamlined". That is, finding info on the web (here and many other sites) became a much quicker job when I was looking in a lot of the same places every day.
Another thing I noticed was that the plays I felt real good about didn't come in any more often than the plays I just felt luke warm about.
One last thing, most important of all, is that I just didn't find wagering on baseball that fun. The spread in football makes things interesting, and the totals in FB seem to be close calls more often then in baseball. Too many times, results were determined by the 5th inning. You don't get that "down to the wire feeling" like football gives -- you know, following the clock and timeouts to see if they'll be able to run it out, or have to go in for one more score.
You know, baseball is such a relaxing sport to watch. There's no jumping around and yelling. For me, it's read-a-book, chat with the wife, do the crossword kind of watching. Football is so much more engrossing (IMO).
Overall from this thread, I lost less than $100 (which will give you some idea of just what my UNITS are), which is hopefully a good day of poker for me. I was able to play a couple leans that cashed in that didn't go to the record so overall, I wasn't quite -4.55, but that's neither here nor there.
I don't want to call it a failure necessarily because I only played 20 games, but I never really got into it, and obviously didn't show a great ability at it.
Thanks to all for reading, and the occasionaly comment in the thread. If I look into plays on some days, I'll pop this this thing up again, but with football kicking in, I'm finding myself much less interested in the bases.
TheShrimp
edit -> btw, I'm leaning on driskill +180 vs. Radke today. I know the twins have been down right NASTY against righties and at home, but they've also kind of entered a funk and TD's been good on the road this year. And Radke's still coming back off the surgery, so that's a question mark, and with such a good price, well. . .
