Missouri State @ The Vols(MVC experts chime in!)

Skipper

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Cannot wait to see where this line comes out, but I will be shocked if the Vols are more than a 4-5 point favorite. There are a couple of different factors that will make this game interesting.

Tennessee
Starting PG Melvin Goins is listed as doubtful for tonight's game, but I just heard Pearl on the radio and it seems to me that he is saying that Goins will NOT play tonight. That means true freshman Trae Golden will start at point and Soph. Skyler McBee will back him up. The Vols had 10 guys with double digit minutes, not including starting Center Brian Williams, who fouled out with only 9 minutes.

Scotty Hopson had his best game of the year by far, leading the Vols with 18 points. He is still struggling from beyond the arc going 1-4, but I like the fact that he is not settling for just 3's. Tobias Harris is going to be a steady force inside all year. He is a freak for a freshman, and can knock down the mid range jumper, which is a lost art in college basketball. Cam Tatum was 2-3 from beyond the arc and went 6-7 from the line, so he is recovering well from injury.

Missouri State
Will want some input from some MO Valley conference experts, but this is a very experienced team, and a team that many pick to win the conference. They are going to be very physical inside, and should shoot the ball well outside.

Four of the five starters are seniors, and backup center Caleb Patterson is a junior who will play alot of minutes. Adam Leonard had an off shooting night last night, which I don't expect to happen again. Leonard, along with Kyle Weems, can knock it down and led the Bears in scoring last year.

The Bears are coming off a 24-12 season last year, but here is the interesting stat that you need to look at:
In the 12 losses, they lost by
4 @ Arkansas
8 @ No. Iowa
3 vs Wichita State
11 @ Drake
18 @ Bradley
4 @ Creighton
1 vs No. Iowa
6 @ So. Illinois
2 @ Wichita State
4 @ Illinois State
3 @ Indiana State
10 @ Wichita State
12 losses by an average of 6 ppg. Take away the bad week of Drake and Bradley and you have 10 losses by an average of 4.5 ppg.

Here are the keys IMO
1 - Missouri State had 4 players with 28+ minutes. They are experienced, but will they be tired playing B2B nights?

2 - Can Trae Golden run the offense for a significant amount of minutes against an experienced, physical defense?

3 - Can the Vols shoot 80% again from the FT line again?

Back later when the line comes out:0corn
 

Skipper

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OK, I am not going to hammer like last night, but going against the Vols again. 4 seniors and a junior in the starting five going against my Vols with a true freshman PG will be very tough. Goins is out and Hopson is still not playing well enough for me to trust this team.

Missouri State +7- for two units
Missouri State +245 for a half unit


Also taking Belmont -3- against Arky State. Belmont did not shoot well last night, especially from the FT line. Coach Rick Byrd will get that corrected.

Belmont -3- for two units
 
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Full court press

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Gl Skip. I don't recall that anybody here really gets into the MVC much. I dabble in it at times and used the Bears a few times last year. They can play the game and didn't lose much from last seasons squad. As I recall they came out of the gate fast last season doing very well with their non conference foes.

I like it
 

Skipper

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50-46 Vols up four with under 4 minutes to play. Do all freshman Tobias Harris just picked up foul #4.

Bears will have two shots to cut it to two.
 

Skipper

BITCH!!
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Winnah, winnah

Vols win 60-56

YTD 2-0 +$700:00hour :00hour
ML 0-2 -$100

Still have Belmont -3- for two units in the second game over Arky State.

Vols - Virginia Commonwealth should be a great game in the Garden next week.
 

Skipper

BITCH!!
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Damn, Belmont came out on fire. 52 points in the first half. Love it!!

YTD 3-0 +$900:00hour :00hour
ML 0-2 -$100
 
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