MJer's Help/WSOP/Cunningham

BleedDodgerBlue

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okay mjer's. need a bit of help here.

sitting on this ticket:

xxxxxxx
20-Jul-06 12:00pm
28-Jul-06 Future Poker - World Series Of Poker - 2006 WSOP ... +99000 10.00 9,900.00
World Series Of Poker
2006 WSOP 10K No Limit Holdem (Main Event)
Odds to win Main Event (All bets are action)
Allen Cunningham

put in 100 in small bets on various players to make the event somewhat interesting although i didn't play in it and don't do tournamnents.

its only a small ten dollar bet that was i'm sure -ev when i made it, but here i am. 10 k payday if it hits.

i probably shouldn't even bother to hedge at all because its only ten bucks, and i feel he's far and away the class of the final table, but anything can happen, and probably want to lock in 1k or something like that.

i need help finding any book with will cunningham win- "NO"

as of now, pinny is only putting a yes/no on top 2 which does me zero good if he finishes second.

again, i really do honestly think he wins, but would probably be silly not to get something for my time.

if you do see a yes/no to win bet at a book of yours, could you please respond which book in this thread. i haven't looked around to hard yet, but was hoping pinny would do it, but it seems they don't want the hedgehogs. they must have written more future tickets than i think they are comfortable with at these ridiculous odds.

anway, thanks, gl and go cunningham

p.s. i played with him in the late 90's when he was just coming up and was a great guy back then, and all indications he still is. would be a great ambassador to poker.

also found this article, although i'm not too sure what to make of whether or not he means it about chip leader gold. thought a few of you might find this interesting(excerpt from espn interview):

In the middle of this is Jamie Gold the poker player, the real thing, running over what's left of the field of 8,773 players to take that massive chip lead in the greatest reality show in poker: the World Series main event.


Now it gets interesting. Now the question has guts. Now you wonder if Gold the agent would tell Gold the producer that the story was too Hollywood even for Hollywood.


"There might be a story,'' Gold said, "if I dump at the end because I don't want to be famous.''


Excuse me? "Dump at the end''? Isn't it every player's dream to win this one event?


"I don't want to be famous,'' Gold said while sitting in the Bodog lounge before Day 6 of the event Monday. "I'm not sure if I want to win. And I'm in control of that.''


The stunning epiphany hit the 36-year-old Malibu, Calif., resident earlier that morning.


"I just thought about what would happen if I won,'' Gold said. "Out of the goodness of their heart, a lot of people would feel like they needed to talk to me, they'd want to know what I was doing, cameras would follow me around. I don't want my life on display. I don't have anything to hide. I'm just not that person. I've always been behind other people. I like making other people famous. I'm not comfortable being in the spotlight. I like my private life.


"I also don't want to be responsible for being the ambassador of poker or anything like that. What Greg Raymer does is amazing. Good for him. I'm not looking to quit my job. I like the job I do. I don't need the money. I'm not doing this for the money. I love the competition.''


The money, though. It's $12 million.


"The money will help my father,'' Gold said. "But $6 million will help him, too. I would rather come in second.''


Suddenly, this raises the question of the way he might play his hands. The integrity issue comes into play.


"I haven't decided what I'm doing,'' he said. "If it's inappropriate, I won't do it. I'm just telling you that if I had to plan it out, coming in second would be more satisfying to me.''




gl
 

MadJack

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then WTF did he play for? what an idiot, if you ask me. OR, he's trying to make himself even MORE famous with this BS tactic?
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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MadJack said:
then WTF did he play for? what an idiot, if you ask me. OR, he's trying to make himself even MORE famous with this BS tactic?


i've never heard of, or played with the guy to my knowledge. he's definitely loaded and a real hollywood heavyweight. from what i've read, his client list has some "a" listers and he likes to be the brains behind the operations i guess.

i've also read that he's been really hit with the deck and isn't all that great. but again that's internet speculation and such. he's playing the big stack so he might be doing things differently. general consensus is that he's not great.

i highly doubt he would throw the thing and maybe is just using it as a crutch in case he bombs miserably at the ft.

apparently hes a real prick too, but again speculation. but if hes the prototype hollywood guy then that wouldn't surprise me.


gl
 

Dell Dude

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That's silly to say you'll dump. If he wins and doesn't want to become a spokesman for poker or celebrity poker player, he doesn't have to. He'll have his two to three weeks of fame and then he can go back to Hollywood behind the scenes. I don't see this as something that will make him a papparrazi target or anything. But if he intentionally dumps, then he might get hounded since that would make him infamous. Probably gonna bust anyway.
 

dawgball

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What odds would you consider playable on Cunningham not winning? Just wondering.
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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dawgball said:
What odds would you consider playable on Cunningham not winning? Just wondering.


he's -109 to NOT finish in top 2, so I guess off the top of my head I think a fair price would be -160 to -180 or thereabouts.

I just want to hedge if I can, and if I can't, it's certainly not the end of the world. Like I said, small bet. Just would like to get something out of it.

I suppose I'd go up to -200 and lay 2k to win 1k. Higher than that, let it roll. Again, not a big investment by any means.


gl
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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For my one adoring fan, I shorted at wsex.

ended up locking up 1k profit at -213

win around 8k if he wins. 1k if he doesn't.


go cunningham.


for those who want to watch and not wait til october, espn is doing a ppv event for 25 bucks or so, and live webcast for 25 bucks.

sirius radio channel 125 is doing live audio if you are a subscriber

and gutshot is doing a live virtual table.

sirius will be live, espn will be on a 5 minute delay, and gutshot will take as long as necessary to input their data and get it out.

before you buy the espn package, realize that hole cards will NOT be shown if that's your sort of thing. also, if it goes longer than 18 hours, you are s.o.l on the ppv from direct tv or your cable provider as they will cut it off.


gl
 

rouxdog

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Blue,
Congratulations on your bet(s). Made for an interesting thread; as well as, a nice size payout for you. Always enjoy your posts.
 
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