MLB 2025 BEST BETS-NEWS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

[Cnotes53]

BEST BETS MLB PLAYOFFS !

10/16/2025......................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.....................+ 10.25
10/15/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/14/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%......................- 10.50
10/13/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/12/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.25
10/11/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/10/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/09/2025......................0 - 4 - 0.............................00.00%........................- 22.00
10/08/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 5.50
10/07/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/06/2025......................2 - 1 - 0.............................66.66%........................+ 5.00
10/05/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................+ 1.25
10/04/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 11.00
10/02/2025......................3 - 3 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.75
10/01/2025......................5 - 2 - 0.............................71.42%........................+ 15.00
09/30/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.............................25.00%........................ - 20.75

TOTALS.........................32 - 34 - 0.............................48.88%........................- 26.25

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
— Bengals 33, Steelers 31- Bengals kicked a 36-yard FG with 0:07 left.
— Dodgers 3, Brewers 1- Milwaukee has scored 3 runs in series; they trail, 3-0.
— Blue Jays 8, Mariners 2- SS Gimenez had 4 RBI; series is 2-2.
— East Carolina 41, Tulsa 27- Houser passed for 300 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Milwaukee Bucks signed AJ Green to a 4-year, $45M deal.
— Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti signed an 8-year, $93M deal to stay with the Hoosiers.

Quote of the Day
“I want to help 25 to 30 more families. The only way you do that is you’re transformational as a coach. You’re not transactional. If I become transactional — I’m going to pay you this to do this and that — then I won’t do this anymore. I don’t need to.”
Arkansas hoop coach John Calipari

Friday’s quiz
Toronto Blue Jays won consecutive World Series in 1992-93; who was their manager?

Thursday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

Wednesday’s quiz
Since 1988, David Cone/Curt Schilling have thrown the most pitches in a playoff game (147).

***************************************

Friday’s Den: Getting ready for college basketball…….​

Things to think about, with college/minor league basketball around the corner…….
— This will sound weird, but Sacramento State is going to be fascinating to follow this year; the Hornets haven’t had a winning season in Big Sky games since 2015, they’re on their fifth head coach in six years, but they’re going to be fun to watch this season.
The new coach is Mike Bibby, who played 14 years in the NBA, scoring 14.7 ppg; one of his new players is 6-8 F Shaqir O’Neal, whose father is Shaquille O’Neal.
Shaquille O’Neal is the new general manager for Sacramento State, which means we’re going to be seeing some Big Sky games on TV this season. Shaq is good at generating publicity.
Mikey Williams is a Hornet now; he was a big prospect a couple years ago, ran into some issues off the court, but he’s in Sacramento now, and is a key to Sacramento State’s season.

— Next year will be a dizzying year, with more teams changing leagues. There are a few teams changing leagues this year, but not that many.
Grand Canyon moves from the WAC to the Mountain West; Antelopes won 103 games the last four years, have been in four of last five NCAA Tournaments. Last year, Grand Canyon had the #29 eFG% in the country; they got 24% of their points on the foul line (#9 in country). Will they still get as many calls in their new, tougher league?
WAC was the #15 league last year; Mountain West was #6.

— Seattle is also bolting the WAC, which only has seven teams left; Redhawks are moving to the WCC, which won’t look the same at this time next year, with Gonzaga bolting to the Mountain West.
Seattle was 23-14 two years ago, but 14-18 last year; they were a terrible shooting team last year (#334 eFG%). Last four years, Redhawks were 44-28 in the WAC and they’ve got three starters back, but they need to make more shots.
WAC was the #15 league last year; WCC was #7 league.

— UMass bolted from the Atlantic 15 to the MAC, a huge help to their basketball program; MAC was the #23 league LY, A-15 was the #8 league— the move was football-based, but it should make life simpler on the hardwood.
UMass is 47-47 in three years under Frank Martin, was 24-30 in A-15 games. Minutemen have not been in the NCAA’s since 2014- they’ve brought in 10 new players after last year’s 12-20 season, when they shot 28% on the arc, 2nd-worst in the country.

— Two teams bolted to Conference USA, for football reasons…….
Delaware was in the NCAA’s in 2022, going 22-13, but they went 23-31 in CAA games since then.
Blue Hens were 16-20 LY, 5-13 in CAA, but they won four games in the CAA tourney and lost in the final, 76-72 to NC-Wilmington, playing for the fifth night in a row.
Delaware was #324 in defensive efficiency LY; CAA was #20 league last year, C-USA was #9, so this is a step up for the Blue Hens.

— Missouri State bolts to C-USA from the Missouri Valley, the #10 league; Bears were 9-23/2-19 last year, a dismal team that turned the ball over 20.7% of the time (#346).
Missouri State has had some good teams recently, but they haven’t been to the NCAA’s since Steve Alford led them there, in 1999. They’ve had seven 20-win seasons since then, but haven’t made it back to March Madness.

— Famous birthdays, October 17
Michael McKean, 78
Mike Bratz, 70
Dan Pasqua, 64
Jay Humphries, 63
Danny Ferry, 59
John Mabry, 55
Myles Straw, 31

— SEC had 14 of its 16 teams in the NCAA’s last year, which seems excessive; Florida was the first SEC team to win a national title since Kentucky in 2012.
Texas/Oklahoma both went 6-12 in SEC games, tied for 13th; if you finish tied for 13th in your league, you shouldn’t make the NCAA’s.

— Kentucky’s NIL budget/payroll is $22M this season; consensus is that nationally, top 10 teams have an average payroll of $10M or so. High expectations for coach Mark Pope.
Wildcats were 24-12 LY, making their first Sweet 16 since 2019; teams shot 53.9% inside the arc vs Kentucky (#295). Hopefully they spent some of that $22M on big guys who can defend.

— Auburn was 32-6, 15-3 in SEC, made the Final Four for the second time in seven years under Bruce Pearl, but last month, Pearl abruptly quit, so his son Steven could take his place. Bruce Pearl is going into the TV studio this season.
Auburn will play six top 40 teams before Christmas, as they prepare for the rigors on of SEC play, which worked for them LY, when they played the #19 non-conference schedule.

— Last five years, the ACC ranked #5-5-7-5-5 nationally, a downturn from 2014-19, when the ACC was a top 3 league every year. Only four ACC teams made the NCAA’s LY, but couple of new coaches figure to re-vitalize their programs.
Will Wade went 58-11 at McNeese State, made the NCAA’s five of six years before that at LSU, VCU. In the NIL era, Wade seems like a good man for the job.
Ryan Odom is the new coach at Virginia; his teams at VCU/Utah State were 78-30 the last three years. In 2018, he coached #16-seed UMBC to the first #16-seed over #1-seed upset in, when his Retrievers upset………Virginia.

— Four of the top 11 teams in the preseason top 25 are from the Big 18, a league that hasn’t won a national title since Michigan State in 2000.

— BYU signed AJ Dybantsa, the best recruit in the country; Cougars also bring back last year’s leading scorer, Richie Saunders- they’ve added four guards in the transfer portal.
Last year, BYU had the #7 eFG% in the country; 47.6% of their shots were 3’s- they made 36.8% of those. Cougars went 26-10, winning their first NCAA Tournament game since 2011.

— Last five years, Cal-Irvine went 68-23 in Big West games, but was 4-5 in their conference tournament- they surprisingly haven’t been to the NCAA’s since 2019.
Last year, Anteaters were 32-7; they lost the NIT final in overtime. This year, they get G Derin Saran back; he went to Stanford LY, but it didn’t work out well, so he is back in Irvine, where hopefully the Anteaters will fare better in the conference tournament.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, October 17

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 17

MLB

Friday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto VS Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games.
Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games against Toronto.
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto.

Milwaukee VS Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against LA Dodgers.
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games.
LA Dodgers is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers' last 8 games against Milwaukee.
LA Dodgers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, October 17​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TOR at SEA	06:08 PM	TOR -115 U 7.0	+500 +500
MIL at LAD	08:38 PM	MIL +175 U 7.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

BEST BETS MLB PLAYOFFS !

10/17/2025......................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.....................- 11.25
10/16/2025......................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.....................+ 10.25
10/15/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/14/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%......................- 10.50
10/13/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/12/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.25
10/11/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/10/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/09/2025......................0 - 4 - 0.............................00.00%........................- 22.00
10/08/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 5.50
10/07/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/06/2025......................2 - 1 - 0.............................66.66%........................+ 5.00
10/05/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................+ 1.25
10/04/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 11.00
10/02/2025......................3 - 3 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.75
10/01/2025......................5 - 2 - 0.............................71.42%........................+ 15.00
09/30/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.............................25.00%........................ - 20.75

TOTALS.........................33 - 37 - 0.............................47.14%........................- 37.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-paid major leaguers in 1985, 40 years ago:
$2,130,000— Mike Schmidt, Phil
$2,090,000— Jim Rice, Bos
$1,950,000— George Foster, Mets
$1,745,000— Dave Winfield, NYY
$1,728,000— Gary Carter, Mets
$1,600,000— Dale Murphy, Atl

Quote of the Day
“We still have home-field advantage. All we can do is enjoy the flight back to Toronto, enjoy our beds at our homes and our families, and we’re going to get after it on Sunday. … We’ll get after it on Sunday. We’ll be ready to play.”
Blue Jays manager John Schneider

Saturday’s quiz
Which bowl game is played in El Paso, TX every December?

Friday’s quiz
Toronto Blue Jays won consecutive World Series in 1992-93; Cito Gaston was their manager.

Thursday’s quiz
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert played his college football at Oregon.

**********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a fall Friday…….​

— Mariners 6, Blue Jays 2
Eugenio Suarez hit a grand slam in the bottom of the 8th
Cal Raleigh also homered in 8th to tie game, 2-2.
Mariners took their starting P out after only 56 PT
Seattle leads series, 3-2; Game 6 is in Toronto Sunday.

— Dodgers 5, Brewers 1
Ohtani threw six shutout IP, also hit three home runs.
Milwaukee had five hits, was 0-8 with RISP.
Dodgers sweep Milwaukee 4-0; Brewers scored one run in every game.

— Bengals 33, Steelers 31
Bengals drove 52 yards, kicked 36-yard FG with 0:07 left for the win.
Flacco threw for 342 yards, three TD’s
WR Chase had 23 targets; he caught 16 passes for 161 yards.
Bengals were 7-14 on third down, Pittsburgh 7-10.
Bengals’ first two drives: 13 plays, 53 yards, two punts.
Bengals rest of game: 63 plays, 416 yards, 33 points.
Steelers led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Pittsburgh has allowed 369+ yards in five of six games.

— Louisville 24, Miami 21
Louisville had four INT’s, was +3 in turnovers.
Louisville led 14-10 at halftime.
Miami ran the ball 24 times for only 63 yards.
Cardinals were a 10.5-point underdog.

— Minnesota 24, Nebraska 6
Minnesota outscored Nebraska 17-0 in second half.
Gophers sacked Nebraska’s QB nine times.
Gophers outgained the Cornhuskers, 339-213.
Both teams are 5-2.

— Utah State 30, San Jose State 25
Utah State kicked 44-yard FG with 1:58 left for the win.
Aggies threw a 74-yard TD pass in 3rd quarter; they led 17-9.
San Jose State outgained the Agues, 534-461.
Spartans were 9-17 on third down, Utah State 5-15

— Famous birthdays, October 18th:
Mike Ditka, 86
George Hendrick, 76
Pam Dawber, 74
Alex Cora, 50
Yoenis Cespedes, 40
Zac Efron, 38
Osvaldo Bido, 30
Terance Mann, 29

— Most starting pitchers used, last two years:
31- White Sox, Marlins
27- Dodgers, Brewers
24- Angels, Mets, Giants
23- Braves, Red Sox

— Fewest starting pitchers used, last two years:
10- Mariners
12- Cardinals
14- Bronx, Nationals
16- Rockies, Royals, Phillies

— Dodgers-Brewers, Blue Jays-Mariners. This year’s Final Four
Only one player ever has played for all four of those teams: Henry Blanco, who played 16 years in the big leagues, for 11 different teams.

— Dolphins-Browns Sunday will have two lefty QB’s starting, first time that has happened in the NFL since 2006, an Atlanta-Tampa Bay game (Vick-Chris Simms)
By the way, this game could have winds as high as 60 MPH, with a 94% chance of rain.

— Since 2016, there have been 16 college football teams that started a season 0-6 ATS; those teams went 5-10-1 ATS in their 7th game. Penn State fits that bill this week.
Since 2020, there have been eight teams that started a season 6-0 ATS; those teams went 2-6 ATS in their 7th game. Memphis, Texas Tech fit the bill this week.

 

[Udog]

No games today. ALCS game 6 is tomorrow.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 9-pack:
Highest-paid players in the NBA this year:
$59,606,817— Steph Curry, GSt
$55,224,526— Joel Embiid, Phil
$55,224,526— Nikola Jokic, Den
$54,708,609— Kevin Durant, Hst
$54,126,450— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
$54,126,450— Luka Doncic, LAL
$54,126,450— Jimmy Butler, GSt
$54,126,450— Anthony Davis, Dal
$54,126,450— Jayson Tatum, Bos

Quote of the Day
“We wanted to play with fanatical effort, and the second thing was poise. The third thing was we talked about staying together, no matter what.”
UAB interim football coach Alex Mortensen, who led the Blazers to an upset win over Memphis Saturday. Alex is the son of the late Chris Mortensen, the great reporter on ESPN.

Sunday’s quiz
Who was QB for the Vikings, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl is played in El Paso, TX every December.

Friday’s quiz
Toronto Blue Jays won consecutive World Series in 1992-93; Cito Gaston was their manager.

*******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……​

— Vanderbilt 31, LSU 24
Commodores are 6-1 for the first time since 1950.
Vandy ran ball 45 times for 239 yards (5.3 yards/carry)
Commodores snapped a 10-game losing skid vs LSU.

— Georgia 43, Ole Miss 35
QB Stockton threw for 289 yards, four TD’s.
Georgia outscored the Rebels 17-0 in fourth quarter.
Dawgs ran 80 plays for 510 yards, had 34 first downs.

— Arizona State 26, Texas Tech 22
Sun Devils drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:34 left.
First loss of year for Tech, who played without starting QB Morton.
WR Tyson caught 10 passes for 105 yards and a TD for ASU.

— UCLA 20, Maryland 17
Bruins kicked a 23-yard FG with 0:02 left for the comeback win.
Maryland had tied the game on a TD with 0:40 left.
UCLA is 3-0 since they fired their coach after an 0-4 start.

— Missouri 23, Auburn 17 OT
Mizzou led 10-7 at halftime.
Auburn RB Cobb ran ball 19 times for 111 yards.
Auburn is 0-4 in SEC, scoring 17-10-10-17 points.

— Upsets of the Week:
UAB (+20.5) 31, Memphis 24
Coastal Carolina (+10.5) 45, Appalachian State 37
Louisville (+10.5) 24, Miami 21
Arizona State (+9.5) 26, Texas Tech 22
Florida International (+9.5) 25, Western Kentucky 6
Minnesota (+8.5) 24, Nebraska 6
Arkansas State (+8.5) 15, South Alabama 14
SMU (+5.5) 35, Clemson 24
— Indiana 38, Michigan State 13

Five highest-paid coaches in college football:
$13M/year- Kirby Smart, Georgia
$12.5M- Ryan Day, Ohio State
$11.6M- Curt Cignetti, Indiana
$11.5M- Lincoln Riley, USC
$11.3M- Dabo Swinney, Clemson

— UAB 31, Memphis 24
Blazers fired their coach this week, then pulled biggest upset of the day.
UAB had good balance; ran ball for 219 yards, threw it for 251.
Blazers covered 9-13 third down plays, 6-1 Memphis 5-11.

— Georgia Tech 27, Duke 18
Tech had a 95-yard fumble return for TD in first quarter.
Game was tied 10-10 after the third quarter.
Tech was outgained 441-376; they’re quietest 7-0 team in country.

— California 21, North Carolina 18
TE on North Carolina fumbled on 1-yard line with 3:48 left.
Tar Heels are 1-4 vs I-A teams; the win was over 1-6 Charlotte.
Cal barely won, despite being +3 in turnovers.

— Famous birthdays, October 19th:
John Lithgow, 80
Lynn Dickey, 76
Lionel Hollins, 72
David Palmer, 68
Brad Daugherty, 60
Keith Foulke, 53
Leonard Little, 51
Michael Young, 49
Rajai Davis, 45
JA Happ, 43
Anthony Santander, 31
Zack Gelof, 26

— Houston 31, Arizona 28
Houston kicked a 41-yard FG at the gun, improved to 6-1.
Cougars ran ball 45 times for 232 yards.
Arizona was first team to score TD Saturday; they were 50-1 to do that at the South Point Casino in Las Vegas.

— Marshall 40, Texas State 37 OT
Bobcats lost in overtime for the second week in a row.
Texas State QB Jackson threw for 44 yards, 2 TD’s in a losing cause.
Bobcats turned ball over three times, had 12 penalties for 80 yards.

— Tulane 24, Army 17
6-1 Green Wave scored two TD’s in last 1:54 for the comeback win.
Total yardage: Tulane 402, Army 358
Army ran ball 63 times for 233 yards.

— Alabama 37, Tennessee 20
Vols QB Aguilar threw a 99-yard pick-6 on last play of first half.
If Tennessee had kicked FG there, they would’ve trailed 16-10 at the half.
Vols outgained Alabama 409-373, but had 10 penalties for 67 yards.

— Texas 16, Kentucky 13 OT
Longhorns led 7-0 at halftime.
Kentucky kicked a 45-yard FG with 0:09 left to force OT.
In OT, Wildcats went for it on 4th-and-goal from the 1-yard line, but failed.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, October 19

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 19

MLB

Sunday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle VS Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games.
Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday, October 19​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SEA at TOR	08:03 PM	SEA +110 O 7.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

BEST BETS MLB PLAYOFFS !

10/19/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%....................- 0.50
10/17/2025......................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.....................- 11.25
10/16/2025......................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.....................+ 10.25
10/15/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/14/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%......................- 10.50
10/13/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/12/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.25
10/11/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/10/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/09/2025......................0 - 4 - 0.............................00.00%........................- 22.00
10/08/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 5.50
10/07/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/06/2025......................2 - 1 - 0.............................66.66%........................+ 5.00
10/05/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................+ 1.25
10/04/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 11.00
10/02/2025......................3 - 3 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.75
10/01/2025......................5 - 2 - 0.............................71.42%........................+ 15.00
09/30/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.............................25.00%........................ - 20.75

TOTALS.........................34 - 38 - 0.............................47.22%........................- 38.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for next week:
— Baylor @ Cincinnati (-4)
— Ole Miss @ Oklahoma (-4)
— Auburn @ Arkansas (even)
— Kansas State @ Kansas (-2)
— Texas (-7) @ Mississippi State
— Texas A&M (-1) @ LSU

Quote of the Day
“It’s a blast. Sometimes travel is tough, but once you get out here, the fans are great, people are great.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford, on playing in London Sunday

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, who has the most hits?

Sunday’s quiz
Joe Kapp was QB for the Vikings, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl is played in El Paso, TX every December.

*************************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Sunday……..

— Blue Jays 6, Mariners 2
Addison Barger went 2-for-3 with a homer, three RBI
Trey Yesavage allowed two runs, got 17 outs.
Blue Jays led 4-0 in third inning, coasted home from there.
Winner-take-all Game 7 for the AL title is Monday night at 8:00.

— Broncos 33, Giants 32
Giants led 26-8 with 6:00 left in the game.
Denver is first 3 quarters: 42 plays, 112 yards, no points.
Denver in 4th quarter: 35 plays, 295 yards, 33 points.
Broncos kicked a 39-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.

Giants drove 65 yards, scored TD to take 32:30 lead with 0:37 left.
Giants missed two extra points, which proved costly.
Rookie QB Dart threw for 283 yards and three TD’s.
Denver survived committing 12 penalties for 127 yards.

— Packers 27, Cardinals 23
Cardinals led 20-13 after the third quarter.
Packers had TD drives of 67-48 yards in the 4th quarter.
Packers are 4-14-1 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
Green Bay is 4-0-1 SU when it scores 27+ points.

Cardinals lost last five games by total of 13 points.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 19-10 ATS as an underdog.
Last four games, Cardinals converted 29-59 third down plays.
TE McBride caught 10 passes for 74 yards, two TD’s.

— Eagles 28, Vikings 22
DeVonta Smith caught nine passes for 183 yards and a TD.
Eagles are 5-2, but have been outgained in all seven games.
Eagles are 13-2-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points
Last four games, Philly was held to 86-88-45-73-45 rushing yards.

Minnesota was in red zone six times: one TD, five FG’s.
Vikings were 7-15 on third down, Eagles 3-10.
Vikings in first half: 31 plays, 127 yards, six points.
Vikings in second half: 42 plays, 214 yards, 16 points.

— Famous birthdays, October 20:
Juan Marichal, 88
Isaac Curtis, 75
Dave Collins, 73
Dave Krieg, 67

Herman Moore, 56
Eddie Jones, 54
Calvin Broadus, 54 (Snoop Dogg)
Jose Soriano, 27

Today would’ve been the great actor Jerry Orbach’s 90th birthday.

— Rams 35, Jaguars 7
Stafford threw 5 TD passes; Davante Adams caught 3 of them.
Rams first four drives: 27 plays, 199 yards, 21 points.
Jaguars’ first four drives: 23 plays, 58 yards, mo points.
Rams allowed 9-19-20-3-7 points in wins, 33-26 in losses.

Rams are 5-0 SU/ATS vs AFC teams this season.
Rams are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a favorite.
Jaguars committed 13 penalties for 119 yards.
Jaguars are +7 in turnovers in their wins, only plus-1 in losses.

— Panthers 13, Jets 6
Panthers are over .500 this late in year for first time since 2019.
QB Young left late in 3rd quarter with a sprained ankle.
Panthers were only 5-17 on third down, but 3-4 on fourth down.
Carolina won its last three games, by 3-3-7 points.

Jets lost first seven games, five of them by 7 or fewer points.
Last two weeks, Jets lost 13-11/13-6.
In those games, Jets were outgained 548-302.
Fields threw for 46 yards in first half; Taylor threw for 126 yards in 2nd half.

— Colts 38, Chargers 24
Colts led 23-3 at halftime, improved to 6-1.
Colts’ first seven drives: 49 plays, 368 yards, 38 points (5 TDs/FG).
Indy scored 29+ points in all six of its wins.
Colts are 15-6 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Herbert threw INTs on two of Chargers’ first four drives.
Bolts ran ball 16 times for only 54 yards.
Chargers’ first three drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 222 yards, 21 points.
Last three games, Chargers allowed 27-27-38 points.

— Chiefs 31, Raiders 0
Chiefs in first half: 48 plays, 270 yards, 21 points.
Raiders in first half: 14 plays, 39 yards, no points.
For game, KC ran 77 plays for 434 yards, Raiders 30 for 95 yards
Raiders have run for 106 or fewer yards in six of seven games.

Chiefs won/covered four of their last five games.
Last five games, Kansas City is +6 in turnovers.
Chiefs converted 31 of last 64 third down plays.
Last 4 games, Chiefs threw ball for 264/318/248/282 yards.

— Browns 31, Dolphins 6
Cleveland led 17-6 at halftime.
Tagovailoa threw a pick-6 on first drive of third quarter.
Dolphins in 2nd half: 33 plays, 109 yards, 3 turnovers.
Miami was 1-13 on 3rd down, had 11 penalties for 103 yards.

RB Judkins ran ball 25 times for 84 yards and three TD’s.
Browns’ first four drives: 29 plays, 193 yards, 17 points.
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Home teams are 7-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.

— Movie of the Day: American Underdog (2021)- The true story of NFL QB Kurt Warner, who went from playing Arena Football and working in a supermarket, to being the Super Bowl MVP, and later getting inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Zach Levi, Anna Paquin, Dennis Quaid, Bruce McGill are in the cast; this movie is better than Moneyball because…….well, the good guys win in the end.

— Patriots 31, Titans 13
NE outgained Tennessee 387-255 in Vrabel’s return to Nashville.
New England outscored the Titans 17-0 in the second half.
Patriots won last four games, scoring 42-23-25-31 points.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.

Tennessee is 1-6 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26-10-18 points.
Titans in second half: 24 plays, 60 yards, two turnovers.
Tennessee only ran the ball 12 times for 39 yards.
Titans have five TD’s, 14 FG’s on their 67 drives.

— Bears 26, Saints 14
Bears won their last four games, scoring 31-25-25-26 points.
RB Swift ran ball 19 times for 124 yards and a TD.
Bears have forced 3+ turnovers in their last four games.
Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.

Saints ran the ball 17 times for only 44 yards.
Saints lost their three road games, 44-13/31-19/26-14.
New Orleans has been outscored 140-72 in first half of games.
Saints are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.

— Cowboys 44, Commanders 22
First four Dallas drives: 12 plays, 170 yards; 2 TD’s, FG, safety
Prescott threw for 264 yards and three TD’s.
Lamb caught five passes for 110 yards, including a 74-yard TD.
DaRon Bland scored on a 68-yard pick-6.

Cowboys led 27-15 at halftime.
Washington’s foes’ over/under total: over 5-1 last six games.
QB Daniels hurt his hamstring, left late in third quarter.
Commanders are 2-8 SU/ATS in last ten visits to Dallas.

— 49ers 20, Falcons 10
49ers ran the ball 39 times for 174 yards.
McCaffrey ran ball for 129 yards, also had 72 receiving yards.
San Francisco led 10-3 at halftime.
49ers allowed 26-30 points in losses, 23 or less in wins.

Falcons’ only TD drive was 48 yards, on first drive of 3rd quarter.
Atlanta ran ball 20 times for only 62 yards.
Under is 5-1 in Falcons’ games this season.
Atlanta scored 22-34-24 points in its wins, 20-0 in losses.

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, October 20

MLB

Monday, October 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle VS Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games.
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Toronto.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games.
Toronto is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 20

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday, October 20​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SEA at TOR	08:10 PM	TOR -135 O 7.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

BEST BETS MLB PLAYOFFS !

10/20/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%...................- 0.50
10/19/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%....................- 0.50
10/17/2025......................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.....................- 11.25
10/16/2025......................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.....................+ 10.25
10/15/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/14/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%......................- 10.50
10/13/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/12/2025......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.25
10/11/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/10/2025......................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.......................+ 10.00
10/09/2025......................0 - 4 - 0.............................00.00%........................- 22.00
10/08/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 5.50
10/07/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/06/2025......................2 - 1 - 0.............................66.66%........................+ 5.00
10/05/2025......................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%........................+ 1.25
10/04/2025......................3 - 4 - 0.............................42.85%........................- 11.00
10/02/2025......................3 - 3 - 0.............................50.00%........................- 1.75
10/01/2025......................5 - 2 - 0.............................71.42%........................+ 15.00
09/30/2025......................2 - 6 - 0.............................25.00%........................ - 20.75

TOTALS.........................35 - 39 - 0.............................47.29%........................- 38.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Vikings @ LA Chargers (-2.5)
— Jets @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
— Bears @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Dolphins @ Atlanta (-7.5)
— Bills (-7.5) @ Carolina
— Giants @ Philadelphia (-7.5)

Quote of the Day
“The at-bats before me. If it’s not for those guys, that at-bat doesn’t happen. I’m just so happy for our team, out fans, our city, our country. I’m so happy right now.”
George Springer

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series, who did they play?

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Ichiro Suzuki has the most hits.

Sunday’s quiz
Joe Kapp was QB for the Vikings, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3
George Springer hit a 3-run homer in the 7th inning.
Toronto’s bullpen got 16 outs, allowed only one hit.
Blue Jays are in the World Series for first time since 1993.
Game 1 of the World Series is Friday night

— Lions 24, Buccaneers 9
Jahmyr Gibbs had 20 touches for 218 yards, two TD’s.
Lions outgained Tampa Bay, 379-251.
Detroit has won five of its last six games.
Lions are 17-8 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Bucs’ first seven drives: 20 plays, 54 yards, 5 punts, 2 turnovers.
Tampa Bay lost WR Evans (broken collarbone)
Bucs ran the ball only 12 times for 41 yards.
Previous four games, Tampa Bay had scored 30.5 points/game.

— Seahawks 27, Texans 19
Seattle’s first 3 drives: 18 plays, 133 yards, 14 points.
Seattle scored 17 points on 3 drives that started in Seattle territory.
Seahawks held last four foes to 66 rushing yards/game.
Texans had 10 penalties for 105 yards, Seattle 12 for 93
Houston’s first four drives: 18 plays, 19 yards, 4 punts.
Texans ran the ball only 17 times for 56 yards.
Houston was 2-15 on 3rd down, 1-4 on 4th down.
Texans were +3 in turnovers and still lost; unusual.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East
Home teams 12-4 ATS divisional games
8-9 ATS non-divisional games

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
6-13 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
4-2 ATS non-divisional favorite

AFC West
4-9 ATS non-divisional favorite

NFC East
Home teams 4-2 ATS divisional games
10-8 ATS non-divisional games

NFC North
5-2 ATS non-divisional home favorite

NFC South
12-11 ATS non-divisional games

NFC West
13-6 non-divisional games

— College football trends, conference games:
American
Favorites 17-8 ATS

ACC
Road teams 19-11 ATS

Big 18
Underdogs 21-15 ATS

Big X
Favorites 18-13 ATS

Conference USA
Home teams 9-6 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 16-5 ATS

Mountain West
Home teams 8-9 ATS

SEC
Home teams 18-11 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 14-8 ATS

— Famous birthdays, October 21st:
Bill Curry, 83
Bill Russell, 77 (Dodgers’ SS)
Franklin Stubbs, 65
Zack Greinke, 42
Ricky Rubio, 35
Greg Robinson, 33

— 10 college football head coaches have been fired already this season; Florida, Colorado State are the most recent schools to tell their coach to take a hike.

— Florida State has lost its last nine ACC games, but coach Mike Norvell’s buyout is $54M, so he ain’t going anywhere until that number comes down a little.

— Texas A&M’s football team is 7-0 for the first time since 1994.

— Arkansas has lost five games in a row, only one by more than six points.

— I’d like to thank the NFL for doing such a lousy job designing the coaches’ baseball caps this season; saves me $40. Ugly hats, hard to even see the logos.

— NFC is 25-12 SU against the AFC so far this season.

 

[Udog]

The World Series is set. Dodgers vs. Blue Jays begins Friday.

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Browns @ New England (-6.5)
— Buccaneers (-3.5) @ New Orleans
— Titans @ Indianapolis (-14.5)
— Cowboys @ Denver (-3.5)
— Packers (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Commanders @ Kansas City (-10.5)

Quotes of the Day
“They found a little spark with that quarterback (Jaxson Dart) . I was talking to John Mara not too long ago, and I said we were hoping that that change would have happened long after our game.”
Sean Payton
“Classless … but not surprised … Didn’t realize you’re still bounty hunting 15+ years later through the media.”
Russell Wilson, who played briefly for Payton in Denver
Apparently, Payton/Wilson aren’t friends.

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Kevin Durant play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series, they beat the Phillies.

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Ichiro Suzuki has the most hits.

****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Going off on a tangent…….​

October 22 has been a memorable day for me:
Flash back to October 22, 1972; I was 12 years old, the A’s were playing Game 7 of the World Series in Cincinnati. Big day; when Joe Rudi caught a fly ball in left field for the last out, the A’s had won their first of three consecutive World Series. 12-year old me was very happy.
Some stuff about that game:

— Game 7 of that World Series started at 1:00 on a Sunday afternoon; things have changed. All seven games in this year’s World Series will start at 8:00- none of the games are on a Sunday.

— Rollie Fingers got the last six outs for the save; back then, closers often got more than three outs to get a save. So when you hear people describe Mariano Rivera as “the best closer ever” remember that he almost always got three outs per game. Guys like Fingers and Bruce Sutter did more than that.

— Hall of Famer Catfish Hunter got eight outs and the win in Game 7, two days after he started Game 5; he was 7-2, 2.55 in 14 playoff games with the A’s. He threw a perfect game in May 1968.
So the A’s won the World Series, then the 4:00 NFL games came on TV; Rams wound up beating the Bengals 15-12 on a last-second field goal. All in all, October 22, 1972 was a very good day.
12-year old me was really, really happy.

Flash forward to October 22, 2019; on October 12, the retina in my right eye detached while I was in Las Vegas. I knew it was bad, but I had no idea what the problem was; I saw a few doctors when I got home, and on October 22, Dr Mallick fixed my retina.
Thanks for my cousins for driving me to the hospital that day.
I am forever grateful to Dr Mallick and Dr Lemanski (she did my cataract surgery 10 months later) for fixing my eye. Must be a cool job, helping people to see again.
Anyway, that is why October 22 stands out on the calendar for me.

— Famous birthdays, October 22nd:
Christopher Lloyd, 87
Wilbur Wood, 84
Jeff Goldblum, 73
Jamie Quirk, 71
Bob Odenkirk, 63
Carmen Ejogo, 52
Ichiro Suzuki, 52
Jeff McInnis, 51
Leonard Marshall, 44
Robinson Cano, 43
Corbin Burnes, 31
Geraldo Perdomo, 26

— Thunder 125, Rockets 124, 2 OTs
Gilgeous-Alexander had 5 points at halftime, wound up with 35.
Thunder shot 13-52 on the src, 33-52 inside the arc.
Houston had 21 turnovers, Thunder only 11.
Alperen Sengun scored 39 points for Houston

— Kennesaw State 45, Florida International 26
Owls led 24-14 at half, snapped a 13-game road losing streak.
Both teams ran ball for 200+ yards.
Kennesaw played two QB’s, averaged 16.7 yards/pass attempt
QB Jenkins threw for 296 yards and a TD for FIU

— Western Kentucky 28, Louisiana Tech 27 OT
WKU scored TD, then scored on a 2-point conversion for the OT win.
Hilltoppers led 20-7 at halftime.
Tech outgained WKU 449-340; they were 10-19 on third down.
WKU is 6-2 and is now bowl eligible.

— Los Angeles Angels hired Kurt Suzuki as their new manager; Suzuki hit .255 in his 16-year career as a catcher, for five different teams. He was with the Washington Nationals when they won the 2019 World Series.
Suzuki has no professional coaching experience; the Angels have the longest playoff drought in the major leagues- they last made the postseason in 2014. Suzuki is the Angels’ fifth manager in eight years.

— Dodgers are -210 to win the World Series; Blue Jays are +175.

— Toronto P Trey Yesavage started this season in Class A ball; he threw 98 IP for four different minor league teams this year, then pitched 14 innings for Toronto in the regular season and has now thrown 15 more innings in the playoffs. Impressive season for the 21-year old.

— Blue Jays OF Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .442 in this year’s playoffs, with 12 RBI in 11 games.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Minnesota @ Iowa (-8.5)
— San Diego State (-2.5) @ Fresno State
— Baylor @ Cincinnati (-3.5)
— Texas A&M (-2.5) @ LSU
— Tennessee (-7.5) @ Kentucky
— Houston @ Arizona State (-6.5)

Quote of the Day
“I don’t have any animosity toward the organization. Obviously, I wish that things had been better in our last year there, but I have a great relationship with a lot of people still in that organization, and this is not a revenge game for me.”
Aaron Rodgers, whose Steelers host Green Bay Sunday night

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the only baseball player that hit 100+ home runs for both the Blue Jays and the Dodgers?

Wednesday’s quiz
Kevin Durant played his college basketball at Texas.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series, they beat the Phillies.

*********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— San Francisco Giants hired former Tennessee Vols coach Tony Vitelloas their new skipper, the first time a big league team has hired a manager directly from a college program without any experience as a professional coach. Vitello won the College World Series with the Vols in 2024.
Giants have missed the playoffs the last four years; they went 81-81 this past season.

— Sounds like there will be two Japanese sluggers moving to the major leagues next year.

Munetaka Murakami is a 3B/1B who has hit 246 home runs in 892 games for the Yakult Swallows, including a 56-homer season in 2022.
1B/3B Kazuma Okamoto has hit 248 home runs for the Yomiuri Giants, hitting 30+ homers six years in a row, from 2018-23. Okamoto hit two homers, had 7 RBI when Japan won the World Baseball Classic in 2023.

— Freddie Freeman has homered in six of his last seven World Series games.

— Baseball is expected to expand by two teams in the next four years; MLB hasn’t expanded since 1998 (Arizona/Tampa Bay). When the expansion happens, will realignment happen too?
Geographic realignment would cut down on travel costs, and probably raise attendance with more games between regional rivals.

— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (hamstring) won’t play when the Commanders play in Kansas City Monday night. Backup Marcus Mariota will start his third game this year.

— NFL coaches’ instant replay challenges have succeeded 60% of time this year, compared to 39.6% at this time last year.
This season, coaches and club staffers in the coaching booth can watch the same camera feed as the replay official at the game, which has helped them make better decisions.

— Miami Dolphins won consecutive Super Bowls in the early 70’s; when they beat the Vikings 24-7 in the Super Bowl after the 1973 season, their QB, Bob Greise, threw only seven passes the whole game. Griese was 6-7/73 passing. Total yardage in the game was 259-238, Miami.
Football sure has changed a lot.

— Famous birthdays, October 23rd:
Weird Al Yankovic, 66
Doug Flutie, 63
Mike Tomczak, 63
Keith Van Horn, 50
Ryan Reynolds, 49
John Lackey, 47
Kyle Gibson, 38
Jordan Crawford, 37
Dylan Carlson, 27

— Delaware 31, Middle Tennessee 28
QB Minicucci threw for 276 yards, four TD’s.
Blue Hens led 24-14 at halftime.
Delaware improves to 4-3 in its first year as a I-A team.

— Missouri State 24, New Mexico State 17 OT
NM State scored TD with 1:49 left to force overtime.
Missouri State outgained Aggies, 409-289.
Bears won despite committing 12 penalties for 110 yards..

— 76ers 117, Celtics 116
VJ Edgecombe scored 34 points in his debut, the most points anyone scored in his first NBA game since Wilt Chamberlain scored 43, in 1959.
Tyrese Maxey scored 40 points to lead the 76ers.
76ers were +18 in the 32:00 Quentin Grimes played.

— Spurs 125, Mavericks 92
Victor Wembanyama scored 40 points, had 15 rebounds.
Spurs outscored Dallas 65-41 in the second half.
Dallas was minus-29 with rookie Cooper Flagg on the floor.
ESPN’s announcers wouldn’t shut up about Flagg, who shot 4-13 “He’s done nothing but win”; the kid played one year in college and Duke didn’t win the national title. Let him play some before you induct him into the Hall of Fame.

— Knicks 119, Cavaliers 111
OG Anunoby had 24 points, 14 rebounds.
Knicks led 65-50 at halftime.
Knicks were 31-36 on the foul line, Cleveland 12-18.

— Jazz 129, Clippers 108
10-point underdog Utah led 43-19 after first quarter, 78-47 at half.
Walker Kessler had 22 points, nine rebounds.
Jazz made 17 of 44 3-point shots.

— Timberwolves 118, Trail Blazers 114
Minnesota outscored Portland 30-19 in the fourth quarter.
Anthony Edwards scored 41 points, had one assist (his job is to score points)
Timberwolves made 15 of 30 shots on the arc.