MLB 2025 BEST BETS-NEWS THRU THE WORLD SERIES !

[Cnotes53]

Sunday, September 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SEA at ATL	12:05 PM	SEA +107	+500
CLE at TB	12:10 PM	TB -139	+500
TOR at NYY	01:35 PM	TOR +136 U 8.5	+500 +500
MIL at PIT	01:35 PM	PIT +133	+500
LAD at BAL	01:35 PM	LAD -159	+500
NYM at CIN	01:40 PM	NYM +105 O 8.5	+500 +500
CHW at DET	01:40 PM	CHW +159 U 9.0	+500 +500
MIN at KC	02:10 PM	MIN +115 U 8.5	+500 +500
SF at STL	02:15 PM	SF +131 U 8.0	+500 +500
WAS at CHC	02:20 PM	WAS +169 O 8.0	+500 +500
HOU at TEX	02:35 PM	TEX +113 U 8.5	+500 +500
SD at COL	03:10 PM	COL +182 U 11.5	+500 +500
ATH at LAA	04:07 PM	ATH -121	+500
BOS at AZ	04:10 PM	BOS -104	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB BEST BETS FOR SEPT !

09/07/2025...............6 - 6 - 0...................50.00%....................+ 7.10
09/06/2025.............10 - 7 - 1..................58.82%....................+ 23.65
09/05/2025...............6 - 7 - 1..................46.15%.....................- 8.40
09/04/2025...............3 - 4 - 0..................42.85%.....................- 4.35

TOTALS...................25 - 24 - 2..................51.02%.....................+ 18.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Rangers 4, Astros 2- Texas is 1.5 games out of the last Wild Card slot.
— Reds 3, Mets 2- Hunter Greene had 12 strikeouts in 7 IP.
— Marlins 5, Phillies 4- Phiilies SS Turner hurt his hamstring.
— Dodgers 5, Orioles 2- Ohtani hit two home runs.
— Brewers 10, Pirates 2- Milwaukee led 9-1 in the third inning.
— Guardians 2, Rays 1- Jose Ramirez got his 938th career RBI.

Quote of the Day
“We’re talking about after every game. … I’ve got confidence in Russ. We’ll go back, evaluate the tape. This game isn’t on Russell Wilson. It’s not on Russell Wilson. Let me make that clear. I have confidence in Russ. We have to do a better job all the way around.”
Giants’ coach Brian Daboll

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, who was the Colts’ QB the last time they won a Week 1 game?

Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson managed five different major league teams, led four of them to the postseason; Dodgers were the only team he didn’t make the playoffs with.

Saturday’s quiz
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin was once head coach of the Raiders (2007-08)

*******************************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

— Steelers 34, Jets 32
Steelers kicked a 60-yard FG with 1:03 left for the win.
Aaron Rodgers was 22-30/244 passing, with four TD’s.
Jets outgained Pittsburgh, 394-271, led 26-17 after three quarters..
Steelers’ last four drives: 20 plays, 115 yards, 17 points.

Jets’ first four drives: 31 plays, 212 yards, 19 points.
Jets rest of game: 33 plays, 162 yards, 13 points.
Jets were 0-2 on two-point conversions.
Justin Fields looked good; he threw for 218 yards, ran for 48 more.

— Bills 41, Ravens 40
Buffalo kicked a 32-yard field goal at the gun for a comeback win.
QB Allen was 33-46/394 passing, with two TD’s.
Buffalo is 20-5-1 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Bills’ last five drives: 36 plays, 264 yards, 22 points.

Ravens’ first five drives: 34 plays, 277 yards, 27 points.
Baltimore’s last three drives: 8 plays, 17 yards, no points.
Ravens led 34-19 after the third quarter.
Ravens ran ball 29 times for 238 yards, converted 6-11 on 3rd down.

— Bengals 17, Browns 16
Cleveland missed an extra point and a 36-yard field goal.
Cincy was 7-14 on third down, was +2 in turnovers.
Bengals won despite being outgained, 327-141.
Bengals gained only 7 yards the whole 2nd half, the fewest yards any winning team has scored in the 2nd half of a game over the last 25 years.

Browns’ first four drives: 43 plays, 189 yards, 16 points.
Browns rest of the game: 30 plays, 129 yards, no points.
Last 2+ years, Browns are minus-35 in turnovers.
Last 3+ years, Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in AFC North home games.

— Buccaneers 23, Falcons 20
Mayfield threw a 25-yard TD pass to Egbuka with 0:59 left.
Falcons missed a 44-yard FG that would’ve forced an overtime.
Last 3+ years, Tampa Bay is 10-4 ATS on artificial turf.
Bucs won five of last seven visits to Atlanta.

Falcons outgained Tampa Bay, 358-260.
Atlanta had an 18-play TD drive that covered 91 yards, took 8:46.
Since 2019, Atlanta is 7-12 ATS in NFC South home games.
Last two years, Falcons are 7-17 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— Rams 14, Texans 9
Rams improved to 7-2 in season openers under Sean McVay.
Puka Nukua caught 10 passes for 130 yards.
Last 2+ years, Rams are 7-3-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Last 2+ years, Rams are 8-4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Rams were 7-13 on third down, Houston 2-9.
Matthew Stafford went over 60,000 career passing yards (#10 all-time)
Texans in first half: 34 plays, 119 yards, 9 points.
Texans rest of the game: 26 plays, 121 yards, no points.

— 49ers 17, Seahawks 13
49ers drove 68 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:34 left.
San Francisco outgained the Seahawks, 384-230
49ers won/covered last four visits to Seattle.
Last 3+ years, 49ers are 6-2-1 ATS in NFC West road games.

Seahawks led 10-7 after the third quarter.
49ers turned ball over on three of first four 2nd half drives.
Last 3+ years, Seahawks are 8-16-1 ATS at home.
Last 4+ years, Seattle is 4-9 ATS in NFC West home games.

— Packers 27, Lions 13
Green Bay’s first 3 drives: 21 plays, 184 yards, 17 points.
Packers led 17-3 at halftime.
QB Love was 16-22/188 passing, with two TD’s.
Packers won their 13th straight home opener, NFL’s longest streak since 1988.

Lions in first half: 32 plays, 69 yards, 3 points.
Total yardage in game: 266-246, Green Bay.
Detroit ran ball 22 times for only 46 yards.
Lions didn’t score a TD until a garbage time score with 0:55 left.

— Commanders 21, Giants 6
Giants scored only 3 points on two trips inside Washington’s 5-yard line.
Last three years, Giants were outscored 89-12 in their Week 1 games.
Last nine years, Giants are 1-8 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Washington outgained the Giants, 432-231.

Commanders ran ball 32 times for 220 yards.
Washington scored twice on first four drives, led 14-3 at halftime.
QB Daniels is 15-6 as an NFL starter.
Deebo Samuel caught 7 passes for 77 yards, also had a 19-yard run.

— Cardinals 20, Saints 13
Arizona’s first five drives: 39 plays, 229 yards, 20 points.
Cardinals led 17-10 at halftime.
Saints were in Arizona red zone on last drive, but couldn’t score.
Under Gannon, Cardinals are 4-3 ATS as a favorite.

QB Rattler is 0-7 as an NFL starter; they need to play rookie QB Shough.
Saints in second half: 48 plays, 171 yards, 3 points.
New Orleans had 13 penalties for 89 yards.
Last 4+ years, Saints are 7-12 ATS as a home underdog.

— Colts 33, Dolphins 8
Colts win a season opener for first time since 2013.
Indy scored on all of their seven drives: 70 plays, 418 yards.
Colts outgained Miami, 418-211, 211-43 in first half.
Under Steichen, Indy is 13-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Colts QB Jones was 22-29/272 passing, also ran for 26 yards.
Dolphins’ first five drives: 28 plays, 123 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
Miami was minus-3 in turnovers; they ran only 46 plays.
Since 2021, Miami is 11-16-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— Raiders 20, Patriots 13
Geno Smith was 24-34/362 passing, with a TD.
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 22-16 ATS as a road underdog.
Raiders are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road openers.
Last 2+ years, Raiders are 11-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

New England led 10-7 at halftime.
Patriots lost four of last five season openers.
NE is 8-17-3 ATS last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Maye is 3-10 as an NFL starter.

— Jaguars 26, Panthers 10
Liam Coen wins his first game as an NFL head coach.
Jaguars’ first five drives: plays, 129 yards, no points.
Jacksonville ran ball 32 times for 200 yards.
There was a 76-minute lightning delay in the 2nd quarter.

Carolina was 8-15 on third down, but had 3 turnovers on 9 drives.
Panthers are 7-14 ATS last 21 games vs AFC opponents.
Last 4+ years, Panthers are 11-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Young is 6-23 as an NFL starter.

— Broncos 20, Titans 12
Titans kicked 4 FG’s, but 3 of those drives started in Denver territory.
Tennessee 133 yards of total offense, 131 penalty yards.
Last 2+ years, Tennessee is 4-12 ATS as a road underdog.
Titans’ defense had four takeaways (+2).

Denver outgained the Titans, 317-133.
Broncos ran ball 30 times for 151 yards.
Broncos led only 13-12 after the third quarter.
Denver has covered nine games in a row when favored.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners

 

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 8

 

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 8

 

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, September 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kansas City VS Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the American League.

Washington VS Miami
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Washington is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games against Miami.
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Washington.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington.

New York VS Philadelphia
NY Mets is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games against Philadelphia.
NY Mets is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against NY Mets.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets.

Chicago VS Atlanta
Chicago Cubs is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Atlanta.
Chicago Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Chicago Cubs is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago Cubs' last 20 games played on a Monday.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games against Chicago Cubs.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home.

Milwaukee VS Texas
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Texas.
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas' last 5 games.
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Minnesota VS Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 13 games.
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against LA Angels.
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels' last 10 games.
LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels' last 6 games played in September.

Cincinnati VS San Diego
Cincinnati is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games.
Cincinnati is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games against San Diego.
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Cincinnati is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
San Diego is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

St. Louis VS Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games.
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis' last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games.
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

Arizona VS San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games.
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Arizona.
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.

Boston VS Athletics
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Athletics.
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Athletics.
Athletics is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Athletics' last 7 games at home.
Athletics is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Athletics' last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.

Colorado VS Los Angeles
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Colorado is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road.
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 5 games.
LA Dodgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games against Colorado.
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday, September 8​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
WAS at MIA	06:40 PM	WAS +115	+500
KC at CLE	06:40 PM	KC +102	+500
NYM at PHI	06:45 PM	PHI +113	+500
CHC at ATL	07:15 PM	ATL +101	+500
MIL at TEX	08:05 PM	TEX +102	+500
MIN at LAA	09:38 PM	MIN +110	+500
CIN at SD	09:40 PM	CIN +124	+500
STL at SEA	09:40 PM	STL +197	+500
AZ at SF	09:45 PM	SF -173	+500
BOS at ATH	10:05 PM	BOS -159	+500
COL at LAD	10:10 PM	COL +298	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB BEST BETS FOR SEPT !

09/08/2025...............7 - 4 - 0...................63.63%....................+ 17.05
09/07/2025...............6 - 6 - 0...................50.00%....................+ 7.10
09/06/2025.............10 - 7 - 1..................58.82%....................+ 23.65
09/05/2025...............6 - 7 - 1..................46.15%.....................- 8.40
09/04/2025...............3 - 4 - 0..................42.85%.....................- 4.35

TOTALS..................32 - 28 - 2..................53.33%.....................+ 35.05

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Since 2023, TD rates on plays run inside the 3-yard line:
85.7%— Ravens
70%— Saints
61.5%— Bears
61.1%— Cardinals
58.8%— Broncos
57.7%— Buccaneers

Quote of the Day
“You don’t demand respect, you earn it.”
Steve Spurrier

Tuesday’s quiz
Who played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they won a playoff game?

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, Andrew Luck was Colts’ QB the last time they won a Week 1 game, in 2013.

Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson managed five different major league teams, led four of them to the postseason; Dodgers were the only team he didn’t make the playoffs with.

***************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Vikings 27, Bears 24
Vikings’ first nine drives: 30 plays, 122 yards, 6 points (and a pick-6)
Vikings’ last four drives: 21 plays, 183 yards, 21 points
Vikings are 15-11-4 ATS in last 30 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Chicago led 17-6 when they got a pick-6 early in third quarter.
Bears in second half: 33 plays, 145 yards, 7 points
Vikings won nine of last ten series games.
Minnesota is 6-0 SU/5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to Chicago.

— Biggest questions for teams who draft a QB; when do you start him?
Titans. Giants. Saints. Browns.
Tennessee’s Cam Ward is the only one of the four who started this week; all four of these teams lost in Week 1. It is a fascinating decision as to when the rookie QB becomes a starter.

— A quick look back:
Patrick Mahomes started one game (the last game) as a rookie
Jared Goff didn’t start until the 10th game his rookie year.
Jalen Hurts started four games as a rookie.
Justin Herbert started in Week 2 his rookie year.
Josh Allen started in Week 2 his rookie year.
Caleb Williams started every game last year.
Trevor Lawrence, Kyler Murray started every game when they were rookies.

— Week 1 of the NFL:
Home teams were 8-6 ATS
Favorites were 8-7 ATS
Under was 12-3.

— In college football so far:
AAC teams are 8-8 ATS out of conference; 5-1 as road dogs, 1-4 at home.
ACC 8-12 ATS; 3-7 as home favorite, 3-1 as road favorite, 2-4 as an underdog.
Big 18 11-15 ATS; 9-10 as a home favorite.
Big X 8-11 ATS; 3-5 as a home favorite, 1-4 as an underdog.
C-USA 7-4 ATS; 6-3 as a road underdog.
MAC 11-9 ATS; 9-6 as a road underdog.
Mountain West 12-5 ATS; 9-3 as an underdog.
SEC 11-10 ATS; 5-8 as home favorite, 3-1 as underdog.
Sun Belt 8-10 ATS; 2-4 at home.
— Since 2000, Cleveland Browns have started 20 different QB’s; Washington Commanders have started 17 QB’s.

— Russell Wilson is the ninth QB to start for the Giants in the last 5+ seasons.
Sunday vs Washington, Giants ran seven plays inside the 3-yard line; they had a net minus-1 yard on those seven plays.

— Famous birthdays, September 9th:
Dick LeBeau, 88
Joe Theismann, 76
Hugh Grant, 65
Jack Trudeau, 63
Todd Zeile, 60
Adam Sandler, 59
Eric Stonestreet, 54
Mike Hampton, 53
Edwin Jackson, 42
Otto Kemp, 26

— Phillies put SS Trea Turner (hamstring), 3B Alec Bohm (shoulder) on the IL; playoffs start in three weeks, Phillies need Turner healthy by then.

— Phillies 1, Mets 0
Aaron Nola allowed only 5 baserunners in six IP.
Nick Castellanos knocked in only run with a 2nd inning single.
Phillies lead Mets by 8 games in NL East; their magic number is 11.

— Nationals 15, Marlins 7
Josh Bell went 4-6 with six RBI; he homered from both sides of plate.

— Giants 11, Diamondbacks 5
San Francisco hit five home runs; game was 4-4 after five innings.
Giants are within three games of Mets for NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Mariners 4, Cardinals 2
Seattle was down 2-0, scored four runs in bottom of 6th.
Bryan Woo improved to 13-7, 3.02 with the win.
Mariners lead Texas by 1.5 games for AL’s last Wild Card spot.

— Padres 4, Reds 3 (10)
Cincinnati led 3-0 in sixth inning.
Fernando Tatis had the walk-off sacrifice fly.
Reds are 5-12 in their last 17 games.

— Dodgers 3, Rockies 1
Dodgers lost a no-hitter in 9th inning for second time in three nights.
Tyler Glasnow struck out 11, didn’t allow a hit in his 7 IP.
Ryan Ritter had Colorado’s only hit.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners