MLB 5-23-13

EDM

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May 12, 2013
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2-2 (+2.73u)

DET -171 (1u)
The Tigers lead the majors with 5.41 runs per game and a .279 BA. It only gets better against LHP where they score 6.1 runs per game and are hitting .282. Cabrera is hitting .469 during an eight-game hitting streak and his 26 homers against the Twins are second-most versus any team while hitting .323 lifetime against them. Minnesota starters have a 8.41 ERA and have lasted more than 4 1-3 innings only twice during their current 8 game skid while the rotation's 5.69 ERA on the season is second-worst to only Houston at 5.88.

KC -130 (1u)
Blanton is 0-7 on the year in 9 starts with a 6.62 ERA. The Royals are finally home after a horrible road trip (3-6) with 2 of those wins coming against the Angels. Santana has gone at least six innings in each of his eight starts this year with a 2.77 ERA. LAA is started to heat up on their recent home stand but I like them to drop the opener on the road where they are 7-14 on the season.

CLE RL -150 (2u)
Tito returns to the house he built which may be emotional for him but I think Cleveland has the edge winning each of McAllister's last four starts while sporting a 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA. Dempster has good numbers against CLE (3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in four starts) but he's 0-2 in his past three starts, serving up 15 runs in 16 2-3 innings. Victorino likely out again and CLE is 10-3 in their last 13 games as an underdog. I see a possible SU Indians win but taking the RL on the road for insurance against any walk off heroics which I have seen too many times at Fenway.

CHC +123 (1u)
The Cub's last 4 out of 5 losses have been by one run so they haven't been getting blown out, just struggling to get men across the plate once on base. Jackson is 4-1 with a 3.09 ERA in seven starts against the Pirates. Bucco's have a worse BAA righties and think the Chicago avoids the sweep with Gomez not lasting past the 5th inning yet this season.

Parlay the above 4 with TOR risk .32 to win 5.5 units
 
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