UNDER 8.5 METS:
Really love the Under in this game, especially with Dan Iassogna as the Home Plate Umpire.
Iassogna has a very large strikezone with his strike % being over 64% which is considered very high. In the last 42 games that Iassogna has been behind the plate, 28 of those 42 have gone UNDER the total.
Both pitchers should really benefit from him today.
Ryan Jensen's, who's going for the Giants today, has pretty good all season so far. He has allowed 11 total runs this year and if you take into consideration that 8 of those runs came in one game, it shows you that overall he's been very sharp except for one game which he just did not have it for some reason.
What impressed me is the fact that after that one horrible game in which he gave up 8 runs, the next game out, he pitched in an emergency role in the game that Jason Schmidt got hurt in and pitched 6.1 strong innings only allowing 1 base hit, while walking just 1 and striking out 5. What was even more impressive was the fact that Jerry Layne was the Home Ump in that game. Layne has been known for a tight strikezone. Definately impressed me!!
Mets look like they are starting to have problems scoring runs again. They have only scored a total of 5 runs in their last 4 games. So this coupled with the fact that Iassogna being the Home Ump, look for Jensen to have an easy time of it today.
Jensen is worse on the road than at home, however he does seem to love pitching at night. He has started 5 night games in his career and his career ERA in those games is just 1.95
Jensen has not faced many of these Mets players yet, but the ones that do have at bats vs him are a career 0-7. .000 average.
Also, the bullpen factor. Expect Jensen to go around 6 + innings, but don't be alarmed by the pen. The Giants have had a pretty solid bullpen all year, and the last 10 games, the pen has a solid ERA of 2.12
Pedro Astacio for the Mets has been great all year. His last 3 starts, he's only allowing an average of 9.5 runners to reach base per 9 innings which is superb.
Astacio should also benefit with Iassogna as the Home plate ump.
As far as career numbers of Giants players vs Astacio go, they are decent, but you can't apply to much weight to this due to the fact those numbers got inflated by playing at Coors field alot.
Astacio had 1 start vs the Giants last season and pitched a complete game, only allowing 3 hits in nine innings.
As far as the Mets bullpen goes, the pen has been pretty solid all season. Lately it has been a little shaky, plus you have the fact that Franco is on the DL. But expect Astacio to go very deep into this game, possibly not even seeing the pen. He has been averaging 103 pitches per game.
Finally, a couple sweet trends :
Iassogna's 4 games as the home ump in San Fran's games have all gone UNDER the total.
Iassogna's 2 games as home ump in Mets games, have gone UNDER the total.
Might wanna get this one early. Line is already 8 at some books.
Good Luck :thumb:
