YTD: 1-1 (-0.4 UNIT)
Tough loss with the Cubs yesterday.....they had plenty of runners on, just couldn't cash in. Playing 2 games today:
CLEVELAND -105 (1 UNIT)
OVER 9 OAKLAND -115 (1 UNIT)
Not a lot of time today for big writeups today, but here's a few of the angles I like in these 2 games.
As far as the Cleveland game goes, I believe Sabathia will have a very solid outing tonight. This kid is very confident of his abilities and should be focused, especially after the great pitching performance by Colon.
Sabathia faced the Angels 3 times last year, and pitched very well in 2 of the 3.
Appier, on the other hand, is back in the AL and I believe this will hurt him a little bit. He won't have all those pitchers to face to bail him out.
Home Plate Ump is scheduled to be Ted Barrett who has a very large strikezone. Last year in over 30 games behind the plate he averaged over 15 K's per game! This I believe will help Sabathia a little more than Appier. Heres the pitching stats last year for the 2 pitchers:
Sabathia: 180.1 IP, 149 Hits, 95 Walks, 171 K's
Appier in NL: 206.2 IP, 181 Hits, 64 Walks, 172 K's
If you look at the 2, they both look solid, but remember Appier's stats were in the NL last year. Take a look at his numbers the year before in the AL.
Appier in AL 2000: 195.1 IP, 200 Hits, 102 Walks, 129 K's
There's a huge difference here, and I think the edge definately goes to Sabathia and Cleveland. Ted Barrett also was around 50% on home and road, so he plays no favortism for the home team.
I also think being out on this West Coast Road trip, the extra day off helps the Tribe.
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As far as Playing the Over in the Texas-Okland game, I really like this one.
Both pitchers have rather large ERA's in past Aprils. 5.30 and 5.85 the past 3 years.
Oakland pounded lefties last year. In over 38 games, they averaged over 5 runs per game.
Texas pounded righties last year averaging around 5 runs per game as well.
Neither pitcher faired well last year vs their opponent. Rogers vs Oakland last year was 0-2 with 12.51 ERA!! Hudson was just as bad vs Texas going 0-3 with 6.62 ERA!
To make things worse for these pitchers is that Tim Tschida is scheduled to be the Home Plate Ump. Tschida has a very tight strikezone. Last year he averaged 7.2 Walks per nine innings which is very high. Last year wasn't just a fluke for this Ump either, as a matter of fact he has called an average of 7 or more walks per game for the last 6 years!!
These are 2 very good hitting teams, and believe over 9 Runs is a bargain, I believe Hudson's keeping this line low, but definately plenty of value here.
Good luck in all your plays today!!
-ndnfan
Tough loss with the Cubs yesterday.....they had plenty of runners on, just couldn't cash in. Playing 2 games today:
CLEVELAND -105 (1 UNIT)
OVER 9 OAKLAND -115 (1 UNIT)
Not a lot of time today for big writeups today, but here's a few of the angles I like in these 2 games.
As far as the Cleveland game goes, I believe Sabathia will have a very solid outing tonight. This kid is very confident of his abilities and should be focused, especially after the great pitching performance by Colon.
Sabathia faced the Angels 3 times last year, and pitched very well in 2 of the 3.
Appier, on the other hand, is back in the AL and I believe this will hurt him a little bit. He won't have all those pitchers to face to bail him out.
Home Plate Ump is scheduled to be Ted Barrett who has a very large strikezone. Last year in over 30 games behind the plate he averaged over 15 K's per game! This I believe will help Sabathia a little more than Appier. Heres the pitching stats last year for the 2 pitchers:
Sabathia: 180.1 IP, 149 Hits, 95 Walks, 171 K's
Appier in NL: 206.2 IP, 181 Hits, 64 Walks, 172 K's
If you look at the 2, they both look solid, but remember Appier's stats were in the NL last year. Take a look at his numbers the year before in the AL.
Appier in AL 2000: 195.1 IP, 200 Hits, 102 Walks, 129 K's
There's a huge difference here, and I think the edge definately goes to Sabathia and Cleveland. Ted Barrett also was around 50% on home and road, so he plays no favortism for the home team.
I also think being out on this West Coast Road trip, the extra day off helps the Tribe.
____________________________________________________
As far as Playing the Over in the Texas-Okland game, I really like this one.
Both pitchers have rather large ERA's in past Aprils. 5.30 and 5.85 the past 3 years.
Oakland pounded lefties last year. In over 38 games, they averaged over 5 runs per game.
Texas pounded righties last year averaging around 5 runs per game as well.
Neither pitcher faired well last year vs their opponent. Rogers vs Oakland last year was 0-2 with 12.51 ERA!! Hudson was just as bad vs Texas going 0-3 with 6.62 ERA!
To make things worse for these pitchers is that Tim Tschida is scheduled to be the Home Plate Ump. Tschida has a very tight strikezone. Last year he averaged 7.2 Walks per nine innings which is very high. Last year wasn't just a fluke for this Ump either, as a matter of fact he has called an average of 7 or more walks per game for the last 6 years!!
These are 2 very good hitting teams, and believe over 9 Runs is a bargain, I believe Hudson's keeping this line low, but definately plenty of value here.
Good luck in all your plays today!!
-ndnfan
