Yesterday: 0-2 
Season: 1-3 (-2.6 units)
Sides: 1-2
Totals: 0-1
Just one of those days yesterday. Let's get things back to the winning track. Playing 4 games today:
NY METS -210 (1 UNIT)
UNDER 9.5 HOUSTON -120 (1 UNIT)
MINNESOTA -130 (1 UNIT)
OAKLAND -175 (1 UNIT)
Alot of chalk, but those are the plays I came up with, so I gotta go with 'em. Remember it's a long season and it's early.
A few angles I like in these:
In the Mets game, Steve Trachsel should be able to have a solid outing vs. this horrible Pirate team. He faced them one time last year and pitched a complete game shutout.
Pittsburg was one of the worst teams last year vs Righty starters on the road, going 13-38 only averaging 3.4 runs per game....just plain horrific. As a matter of fact the $100 bettor would have lost $2110 on these games.
Kip Wells, who is going for the Pirates has never faired well in past Aprils going 2-3 with an ERA of 6.34 the last 3 years. Trachsel although hasn't been any better in Aprils, but remember this is the Pirates.
Wells also, for some reason, just does not fair well in Day games. The last 3 years, he's just 2-9 with an ERA of 6.57
The Mets are an improved offensive team this year and should be able to hit Wells pretty good.
Home plate Ump Rapuano will not hurt....as he slightly favored the home team last year.
____________________________________________________
UNDER 9.5 Houston....Well, we have 2 strikeout pitchers going in this one and a Big Strikeout Ump behind the Plate in Mike Winters.
Winters averaged 14.7 K's per game last year in 30 games and I think he was an Ump that really took to the bigger strikezone call last year, as his strikeout to walk ratio was huge compared to the year before.
Last years stats:
Oswalt 141.2 IP 144 K's
Quevedo 56 IP 60 K's
Should be plenty of strikeouts especially with the free swinging Brewers.
Last year these 2 pitchers dominated vs these teams. Oswalt was a perfect 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and Quevedo was 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA.
18 of the 27 Games Winters Umped went under the Total last year.
____________________________________________________
In the Minnesota game: KC struggle bigtime vs lefty starters last year going 8-23. Of course Milton is a southpaw and was a perfect 3-0 vs KC last year with an ERA of 2.84. Milton is also has a career record of 9-2 vs KC.
Milton seems to pitch better away from the Dome, so being on the road shouldn't hurt except to get a little better value in the line.
Home plate Ump is Charles Reliford, who has a smaller than average strikezone....not a major factor in this game, but should help, as Reichert can be wild at times.
Last two years stats:
Milton walked 105 in 420 Innings pitched
Reichert walked 158 in 276 Innings pitched
____________________________________________________
Oakland's Zito has been outstanding in the past vs Texas. He was a perfect 4-0 vs Texas last year and is a perfect 6-0 lifetime vs the Rangers.
Last year Texas was just 2-9 vs lefty starters on the road.
Oakland on the other hand was 26-16 vs Righty starters at home.
I think this will continue as evidence of the opener with Mulder pitching a nice game vs. the Rangers.
Home Plate Umpire Mark Wegner is one of those "Homer" Umps. Last year he was 26-15 favoring the home team, so Texas will have their hands full today.
___________________________________________________
Good luck in all your plays!
-ndnfan
Season: 1-3 (-2.6 units)
Sides: 1-2
Totals: 0-1
Just one of those days yesterday. Let's get things back to the winning track. Playing 4 games today:
NY METS -210 (1 UNIT)
UNDER 9.5 HOUSTON -120 (1 UNIT)
MINNESOTA -130 (1 UNIT)
OAKLAND -175 (1 UNIT)
Alot of chalk, but those are the plays I came up with, so I gotta go with 'em. Remember it's a long season and it's early.
A few angles I like in these:
In the Mets game, Steve Trachsel should be able to have a solid outing vs. this horrible Pirate team. He faced them one time last year and pitched a complete game shutout.
Pittsburg was one of the worst teams last year vs Righty starters on the road, going 13-38 only averaging 3.4 runs per game....just plain horrific. As a matter of fact the $100 bettor would have lost $2110 on these games.
Kip Wells, who is going for the Pirates has never faired well in past Aprils going 2-3 with an ERA of 6.34 the last 3 years. Trachsel although hasn't been any better in Aprils, but remember this is the Pirates.
Wells also, for some reason, just does not fair well in Day games. The last 3 years, he's just 2-9 with an ERA of 6.57
The Mets are an improved offensive team this year and should be able to hit Wells pretty good.
Home plate Ump Rapuano will not hurt....as he slightly favored the home team last year.
____________________________________________________
UNDER 9.5 Houston....Well, we have 2 strikeout pitchers going in this one and a Big Strikeout Ump behind the Plate in Mike Winters.
Winters averaged 14.7 K's per game last year in 30 games and I think he was an Ump that really took to the bigger strikezone call last year, as his strikeout to walk ratio was huge compared to the year before.
Last years stats:
Oswalt 141.2 IP 144 K's
Quevedo 56 IP 60 K's
Should be plenty of strikeouts especially with the free swinging Brewers.
Last year these 2 pitchers dominated vs these teams. Oswalt was a perfect 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and Quevedo was 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA.
18 of the 27 Games Winters Umped went under the Total last year.
____________________________________________________
In the Minnesota game: KC struggle bigtime vs lefty starters last year going 8-23. Of course Milton is a southpaw and was a perfect 3-0 vs KC last year with an ERA of 2.84. Milton is also has a career record of 9-2 vs KC.
Milton seems to pitch better away from the Dome, so being on the road shouldn't hurt except to get a little better value in the line.
Home plate Ump is Charles Reliford, who has a smaller than average strikezone....not a major factor in this game, but should help, as Reichert can be wild at times.
Last two years stats:
Milton walked 105 in 420 Innings pitched
Reichert walked 158 in 276 Innings pitched
____________________________________________________
Oakland's Zito has been outstanding in the past vs Texas. He was a perfect 4-0 vs Texas last year and is a perfect 6-0 lifetime vs the Rangers.
Last year Texas was just 2-9 vs lefty starters on the road.
Oakland on the other hand was 26-16 vs Righty starters at home.
I think this will continue as evidence of the opener with Mulder pitching a nice game vs. the Rangers.
Home Plate Umpire Mark Wegner is one of those "Homer" Umps. Last year he was 26-15 favoring the home team, so Texas will have their hands full today.
___________________________________________________
Good luck in all your plays!
-ndnfan
