MLB Trends for Boston/Detroit Game 6

[WildBillPicks7]

Pro Baseball

Trend Report

DETROIT (98 - 74) at BOSTON (103 - 68) - 4:35 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.[/B]
DETROIT is 98-74 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 7-14 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
DETROIT is 127-196 (-54.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 86-88 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-19 (-14.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-30 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 94-71 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

BOSTON is 103-68 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 56-29 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 30-15 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 91-60 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 68-46 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

BUCHHOLZ is 15-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 13-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

SCHERZER is 26-8 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 66-34 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 470-349 (-55.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
BOSTON is 49-51 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 186-180 (-46.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-6 (-0.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. BOSTON since 1997
SCHERZER is 2-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.480.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-1. (+6.0 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

 

[T]

In each of the past two seasons Scherzer has been the starting pitcher in the game that sent the Tigers home for the winter. In 2011, he was overwhelmed by the Rangers to the tune of six earned runs in just 2 ⅓ innings of a 15?5 Texas rout in the deciding Game 6 of the ALCS. Last year with Detroit?s Sunday softball-caliber offense overmatched by Giants pitching in Games 1 through 3, Scherzer surrendered three earned runs over 6 ⅓ innings which wasn?t good enough to prevent the Giants from completing the sweep.

He also failed to clinch the 2012 ALDS for the Tigers in a start against the A?s in Oakland, losing Game 4, thus setting the stage for Justin Verlander?s complete-game shutout in the win-or-go-home Game 5.

 

[T]

BOSTON RED SOX CAREER STATISTICS VS. MAX SCHERZER
BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
Mike Carp 8 2 0 0 0 0 1 5 .250 .333 .250 .583
Stephen Drew 8 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 .125 .222 .250 .472
Jacoby Ellsbury 9 5 1 0 1 5 3 1 .556 .667 1.000 1.667
Jonny Gomes 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 .333 .333 .333 .667
Ryan Kalish 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
John McDonald 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Will Middlebrooks 6 1 0 0 0 2 0 4 .167 .167 .167 .333
Mike Napoli 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .111 .111 .111 .222
Daniel Nava 9 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 .111 .200 .111 .311
David Ortiz 15 7 1 0 3 6 3 2 .467 .556 1.133 1.689
Dustin Pedroia 17 4 0 0 2 5 0 2 .235 .235 .588 .824
David Ross 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 .250 .400 .500 .900
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 12 5 0 0 1 2 0 4 .417 .417 .667 1.083
Shane Victorino 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 .200 .200 .300 .500
Totals 117 33 5 0 7 20 9 32 .282 .339 .504 .843

 

[T]

Boston is 9-3 all-time in the 6th game of a
postseason set, including 5-0 at home in Game 6...The club
is 5-0 all-time in the 6th game of an ALCS, with 2 of those
contests on Yawkey Way (1986, 2007).
This is the 1st time in the club?s 10 ALCS that Boston
has held a 3-2 lead after 5 games...The Sox have taken
3 of the 1st 5 decisions in a postseason series for the
4th time...They also did it in the World Series in 1912
(3-2-1 after 6 G), 1918, 1946, and 1986, winning the
set in 1918 and 1946, but losing in 1946 and 1986

 

[T]

GOING THE DISTANCE: Each of Boston?s last 4 ALCS
since 2003 have gone the full 7 games...No other ALCS
have gone the distance since a Red Sox win in 1986

 

[EDM]

I don't have a lot of confidence in Clay - he has been getting lit up. Boston bats starting to get going so I am probably going to ride the trend with the over. These teams have seen their opposing pens enough to make adjustments by now although Uehara is on another level all together.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

I don't have a lot of confidence in Clay - he has been getting lit up. Boston bats starting to get going so I am probably going to ride the trend with the over. These teams have seen their opposing pens enough to make adjustments by now although Uehara is on another level all together.

Umpire Trends - Dan Iassogna


?Home team is 6-0 in Iassognas last 6 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
? Road team is 9-1 in Iassognas last 10 games behind home plate.
? Under is 5-1 in Iassognas last 6 Saturday games behind home plate.
? Home team is 5-1 in Iassognas last 6 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Boston.
? Under is 4-1 in Iassognas last 5 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
? Under is 20-6-3 in Iassognas last 29 games behind home plate.
? Home team is 12-4 in Iassognas last 16 games behind home plate vs. Boston.
? Under is 8-3-1 in Iassognas last 12 games behind home plate vs. Boston.
? Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Iassogna behind home plate.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

? Red Sox are 8-1 in Buchholzs last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
? Red Sox are 6-1 in Buchholzs last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
? Red Sox are 6-1 in Buchholzs last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
? Red Sox are 29-6 in Buchholzs last 35 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
? Red Sox are 22-5 in Buchholzs last 27 starts vs. American League Central.
? Red Sox are 8-2 in Buchholzs last 10 home starts.

Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
? Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
? Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
? Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
? Tigers are 12-5 in Scherzers last 17 road starts.
? Tigers are 1-4 in Scherzers last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Head to Head


?Red Sox are 4-0 in Buchholzs last 4 home starts vs. Tigers.
? Over is 7-1-1 in Scherzers last 9 starts vs. Red Sox.
? Red Sox are 6-1 in Buchholzs last 7 starts vs. Tigers.
? Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 road starts vs. Red Sox.
? Over is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings.
? Tigers are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings in Boston.
? Tigers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
? Tigers are 1-4 in Scherzers last 5 road starts vs. Red Sox.