Here is my System that I use to tease sides by 11 points. I play underdogs where the total defense was between -3 to -6 ppg difference last season and the total is 38 or less. For example last season Green Bay defense @ Home ( 15.8 ppg) / Minnesota defense away ( 21.0 ppg ) . That is a 5.2 ppg difference therefore I will tease Minnesota 11 points. I focus on Games that are expected to be low scoring IMO and on defenses that can keep you within striking distance.